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Herlev Wolfpack vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 87-72
17-16 32-8 18-35 20-13
Position#9
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#5
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game84.2
DenmarkBasketligaen· Herlevhallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v Randers
12 Oct 2024
HERL87
RAND72
15 Feb 2024
HERL78
RAND86
15 Apr 2023
HERL54
RAND85
03 Nov 2022
HERL77
RAND85
15 Jan 2022
HERL96
RAND107
31 Mar 2021
HERL109
RAND106
16 Oct 2019
HERL67
RAND88
12 Dec 2018
HERL78
RAND107
02 Nov 2017
HERL78
RAND77
18 Dec 2014
HERL99
RAND84
18 Oct 2014
HERL93
RAND87
04 Jan 2014
HERL73
RAND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolfpack
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
94avg 67
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
69avg 67
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
40avg 67
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
88-79
88
79
+9
90avg 67
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
94-97
94
97
-3
78avg 67
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 67
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 67
H21/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 67
A26/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
80-94
80
94
-14
73avg 67
H28/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
81avg 67
A03/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
24-19
23-18
16-20
23-20
16-20
15-17
19-28
14-21
28-15
8-26
24-16
20-19
27-20
20-26
21-14
14-22
18-22
30-21
32-32
17-16
15-22
17-27
16-17
22-22
7-21
18-29
17-21
21-26
16-14
25-22
20-27
23-31
18-24
21-20
18-19
16-15
20-21
28-15
22-20
163.9Avg total
79.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.086.8164.8-8.825%
Season at home (2)72.093.5165.5-21.50%
Season away (2)84.080.0164.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)79.484.5163.9-5.130%
Last 5 (5)75.485.8161.2-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.093.4168.4-18.45%
vs Similar (5)83.476.6160.0+6.880%
vs Weaker (3)92.790.7183.3+2.033%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 85
A01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
103-87
103
87
+16
98avg 85
A04/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
86-101
86
101
-15
74avg 85
H08/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 85
A11/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 85
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
106-65
106
65
+41
104avg 85
H21/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 85
A25/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
93-73
93
73
+20
89avg 85
H28/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
109-114 OT
109
114
-5
97avg 85
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-93
81
93
-12
73avg 85
H08/10
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
21-26
28-16
18-20
27-24
27-26
22-23
27-14
16-31
24-22
24-25
22-23
17-21
18-38
26-24
25-15
19-21
25-25
24-22
16-25
25-18
25-20
27-18
29-9
14-12
27-23
21-21
12-20
21-23
23-19
33-12
16-19
21-23
25-18
32-33
23-27
19-21
20-23
23-19
19-30
179.4Avg total
90.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)92.684.2176.8+8.440%
Season at home (3)93.377.0170.3+16.367%
Season away (2)91.595.0186.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)90.988.5179.4+2.440%
Last 5 (5)92.684.2176.8+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.095.3181.3-9.331%
vs Similar (5)85.485.6171.0-0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)97.082.1179.1+14.983%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
Herlev WolfpackRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#11
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H16/03
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/03
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A26/03
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/04
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A23/04
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#4
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H21/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A26/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H28/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A03/10
Basketligaen
79.4Avg total
38.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.844.383.0-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.043.482.4-4.429%-
Last 30 away (16)38.645.083.6-6.431%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.079.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.042.477.4-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.646.484.0-8.814%-
vs Similar (5)40.637.077.6+3.660%-
vs Weaker (3)42.742.785.3+0.067%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A04/04
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H08/04
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A11/04
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H15/04
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/09
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/09
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#11
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H28/09
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A03/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H08/10
Basketligaen
89.1Avg total
43.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.744.490.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.744.989.5-0.233%-
Last 30 away (15)46.743.990.7+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.789.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.084.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.548.091.5-4.531%-
vs Similar (5)47.842.089.8+5.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.241.588.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Herlev Wolfpacktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Herlev Wolfpack: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.1
51.0%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.0
26.1%
32.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.315.2
65.2%
70.2%15.2
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.8
56.1%
51.9%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
32.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.314.2
77.6%
70.2%14.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Herlev Wolfpack
WLLLLLWLLW
Randers
LLWLWLLLWW
#9
League position
#5
-6.3
Net rating
+3.3
97.4
Offensive rating
112.4
103.7
Defensive rating
109.0
46.3%
Effective FG%
55.0%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.1%
3-point %
35.6%
66.9%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 112.4Defence103.7 · 109.0Shooting46.3% · 55.0%3-point %26.1% · 35.6%Ball care18.7% · 17.0%Off. rebounds30.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Herlev Wolfpack   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
9
Randers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24AVaerlose86-71
28/09/24HHorsens80-94
26/09/24ATeam FOG Naestved82-89
21/09/24HSvendborg64-93
27/04/24HCopenhagen65-82
23/04/24AAmager94-97
07/04/24HBears Academy88-79
26/03/24AHolbaek-Stenhus74-78
23/03/24ACopenhagen73-85
16/03/24HAmager88-77
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24HBakken Bears81-93
03/10/24ATeam FOG Naestved109-114 OT
28/09/24HBears Academy93-73
25/09/24ASvendborg74-76
21/09/24HVaerlose106-65
15/04/24HSvendborg84-93
11/04/24AHorsens86-98
08/04/24HTeam FOG Naestved86-101
04/04/24AVaerlose103-87
01/04/24ABakken Bears87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.072.084.0
Allowed / game86.893.580.0
Point differential-8.8-21.5+4.0
Avg total164.8165.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game92.693.391.5
Allowed / game84.277.095.0
Point differential+8.4+16.3-3.5
Avg total176.8170.3186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Svendborg550100%82.469.6+12.8
2 Horsens440100%89.077.2+11.8
3 Team FOG Naestved550100%97.689.8+7.8
4 Bakken Bears54180%88.882.6+6.2
5 Randers52340%92.684.2+8.4
6 Holbaek-Stenhus31233%84.393.7-9.3
7 Herlev Wolfpack41325%78.086.8-8.8
8 Vaerlose41325%72.287.5-15.2
9 Amager51420%90.490.6-0.2
10 Copenhagen4040%82.293.0-10.8
11 Bears Academy4040%76.290.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1732182087
Randers168351372
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