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Real Madrid vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 101-70
33-18 24-13 26-19 18-20
Position#1
Record-
FormLLLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainACBRound 1· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza
16 May 2027
MAD v ZAR
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
MAD99
ZAR78
06 Oct 2024
MAD101
ZAR95
24 Sep 2023
MAD101
ZAR70
30 Apr 2023
MAD93
ZAR86
16 Jan 2022
MAD94
ZAR69
25 Sep 2020
MAD102
ZAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 73
A31/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 73
H06/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 73
H08/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 73
A10/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
94-73
94
73
+21
88avg 73
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
78avg 73
A16/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
82avg 73
A18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
75avg 73
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 73
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
88-81
88
81
+7
78avg 73
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-19
28-19
22-25
22-18
17-24
25-25
19-26
22-14
14-26
27-19
27-14
25-16
23-16
22-11
13-30
17-17
21-18
25-14
31-24
23-28
27-19
11-16
27-34
19-20
22-25
24-23
20-18
21-20
20-18
25-29
16-26
22-25
20-15
25-19
23-21
21-17
23-14
17-25
27-25
170.2Avg total
87.2Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.283.0170.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)86.687.4174.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)86.587.9174.4-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.676.5164.1+11.188%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 70
A01/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 70
H08/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A16/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
67avg 70
H23/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
99-88
99
88
+11
96avg 70
H26/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
82avg 70
A30/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 70
H06/05
ACB
Granada
#16
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 70
A09/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
no box
H13/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
66avg 70
A23/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
8-15
23-23
21-25
16-19
19-15
18-23
23-16
8-17
15-13
25-18
26-31
20-17
18-15
19-26
13-16
22-24
27-19
35-15
15-30
13-18
27-17
26-31
20-27
19-17
24-12
19-22
25-26
30-14
9-21
17-17
12-19
17-15
18-18
20-24
21-19
25-17
12-27
15-20
17-28
160.8Avg total
78.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.582.3160.8-3.830%
Last 5 (5)79.685.6165.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.585.0164.5-5.533%
vs Similar (14)80.379.4159.7+0.943%
vs Weaker (4)76.270.2146.5+6.050%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
Real MadridBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#7
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A31/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H08/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A10/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A16/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A18/06
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H20/06
ACB
Barcelona
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A16/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/09
Supercopa ACB
80.5Avg total
41.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.483.2+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.540.683.1+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)43.140.283.3+2.965%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.780.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.283.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (13)43.145.588.5-2.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.736.278.9+6.469%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A01/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H08/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A16/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H26/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A30/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H06/05
ACB
Granada
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A09/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/05
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A23/05
ACB
71.1Avg total
36.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.172.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.334.171.4+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.938.273.1-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.871.1+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.274.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.236.574.7+1.750%-
vs Similar (14)33.636.369.9-2.636%-
vs Weaker (4)38.534.573.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.222.2
61.3%
53.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.2
33.2%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
75.6%16.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.5
51.4%
53.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.6
36.9%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.5
71.4%
75.6%13.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLLLWWWLW
Basket Zaragoza
LLLWLWLLWL
#1
League position
#12
+4.6
Net rating
-2.9
116.3
Offensive rating
102.9
111.7
Defensive rating
105.8
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
23.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
36.9%
52.3%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 102.9Defence111.7 · 105.8Shooting56.7% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 36.9%Ball care15.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds26.2% · 23.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/23AUnicaja88-81
16/09/23ABarcelona90-80
20/06/23HBarcelona82-93
18/06/23ABarcelona85-86
16/06/23ABarcelona88-97
12/06/23AJoventut Badalona94-73
10/06/23AJoventut Badalona83-73
08/06/23HJoventut Badalona90-73
06/06/23HJoventut Badalona83-93
31/05/23AGran Canaria89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/23ATenerife69-92
13/05/23HBasquet Girona88-95 OT
09/05/23AGranada68-71
06/05/23HJoventut Badalona87-77
30/04/23AReal Madrid86-93
26/04/23HManresa99-88
23/04/23HUnicaja70-74
16/04/23AMurcia74-79
08/04/23HGran Canaria76-73
01/04/23ABilbao68-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja110100%98.075.0+23.0
2 Obradoiro CAB110100%84.064.0+20.0
3 Basquet Girona110100%89.085.0+4.0
4 Murcia110100%104.0101.0+3.0
5 Granada1010%101.0104.0-3.0
6 Valencia1010%85.089.0-4.0
7 Palencia1010%64.084.0-20.0
8 Tenerife1010%75.098.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid33242618101
Basket Zaragoza1813192070
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