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Real Madrid vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 93-86
18-13 17-27 31-26 27-20
Position#3
Record23-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game77.3
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#13
Record11-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game80.2
SpainACBRound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza
16 May 2027
MAD v ZAR
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
MAD99
ZAR78
06 Oct 2024
MAD101
ZAR95
24 Sep 2023
MAD101
ZAR70
30 Apr 2023
MAD93
ZAR86
16 Jan 2022
MAD94
ZAR69
25 Sep 2020
MAD102
ZAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
90-104
90
104
-14
88avg 71
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
108-75
108
75
+33
102avg 71
H02/04
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 71
H06/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
67avg 71
A08/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
no box
A13/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
68avg 71
A16/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
-746avg 71
H19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
86-76
86
76
+10
78avg 71
A23/04
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
77avg 71
H25/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 71
H27/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
15-28
34-29
18-26
30-15
29-22
22-21
27-17
19-13
21-23
16-8
23-23
12-21
22-18
17-31
21-26
18-16
24-21
20-28
24-21
24-17
22-30
17-31
19-19
19-11
25-21
27-19
18-19
30-18
15-20
26-19
15-19
22-22
22-26
20-15
23-26
21-31
16-20
25-24
18-20
173.8Avg total
86.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.277.3165.4+10.979%
Season at home (14)92.075.9167.9+16.186%
Season away (15)84.678.6163.2+6.073%
Last 10 (10)86.986.9173.8+0.040%
Last 5 (5)84.885.4170.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.093.0175.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)87.590.3177.7-2.827%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.477.1166.4+12.394%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 70
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 70
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 70
H11/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
83avg 70
A19/03
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
87avg 70
H26/03
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 70
A01/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 70
H08/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A16/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
67avg 70
H23/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
99-88
99
88
+11
96avg 70
H26/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
21-13
22-22
11-16
19-12
27-12
23-30
16-29
13-16
12-13
16-28
37-22
28-20
21-19
24-21
14-11
24-22
14-14
20-19
28-20
16-18
8-15
23-23
21-25
16-19
19-15
18-23
23-16
8-17
15-13
25-18
26-31
20-17
18-15
19-26
13-16
22-24
27-19
35-15
15-30
158.2Avg total
80.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.580.2158.8-1.738%
Season at home (15)80.980.7161.7+0.247%
Season away (14)75.979.7155.6-3.829%
Last 10 (10)80.877.4158.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)77.479.0156.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.784.6163.2-5.933%
vs Similar (15)78.278.3156.5-0.140%
vs Weaker (3)79.070.0149.0+9.067%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
Real MadridBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#6
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A31/03
Euroleague
Granada
#16
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H02/04
ACB
Bayern
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H06/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A08/04
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/04
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H19/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A23/04
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H25/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H27/04
Euroleague
84.3Avg total
42.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.538.182.6+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.338.382.6+6.076%-
Last 30 away (13)44.837.882.6+6.969%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.484.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.286.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.039.078.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (11)42.342.985.2-0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.535.281.6+11.394%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/03
ACB
Breogan
#10
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A19/03
ACB
Valencia
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/03
ACB
Bilbao
#12
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A01/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H08/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A16/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H26/04
ACB
71.2Avg total
37.9Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.537.372.9-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.136.773.7+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)34.038.072.0-4.020%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.371.2+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.468.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.238.475.7-1.242%-
vs Similar (15)33.637.170.7-3.527%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.372.7+4.033%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.8
57.4%
52.1%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.0
40.7%
34.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
73.9%16.3
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
52.1%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
34.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.414.5
67.8%
73.9%14.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWWLLLWWL
Basket Zaragoza
WLLWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#13
+3.4
Net rating
+5.0
117.7
Offensive rating
106.0
114.2
Defensive rating
101.0
58.9%
Effective FG%
54.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.7%
3-point %
34.5%
62.8%
Assist %
57.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 106.0Defence114.2 · 101.0Shooting58.9% · 54.0%3-point %40.7% · 34.5%Ball care17.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds25.1% · 23.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
06/11/22Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid94-89
16/01/22Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza94-69
04/12/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid65-86
02/05/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid89-98
25/09/20Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza102-83
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23HPartizan80-95
25/04/23HPartizan87-89
23/04/23AJoventut Badalona86-76
19/04/23HBasquet Girona89-70
16/04/23ABarcelona82-97
13/04/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv96-100 OT
08/04/23ABreogan72-96
06/04/23HBayern79-67
02/04/23HGranada108-75
31/03/23APartizan90-104
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/23HManresa99-88
23/04/23HUnicaja70-74
16/04/23AMurcia74-79
08/04/23HGran Canaria76-73
01/04/23ABilbao68-81
26/03/23HValencia86-75
19/03/23ABreogan87-71
11/03/23HObradoiro CAB78-79
04/03/23HBarcelona85-83
11/02/23AFuenlabrada85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW79%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWLLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %79%86%73%
Points / game88.292.084.6
Allowed / game77.375.978.6
Point differential+10.9+16.1+6.0
Avg total165.4167.9163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%86%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeLWWLW47%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %38%47%29%
Points / game78.580.975.9
Allowed / game80.280.779.7
Point differential-1.7+0.2-3.8
Avg total158.8161.7155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%20%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (12)38% (8)0% (4)
Overtime %14%20%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2924583%84.173.4+10.6
2 Baskonia2924583%92.683.0+9.6
3 Real Madrid2923679%88.277.3+10.9
4 Tenerife3022873%82.573.0+9.5
5 Unicaja2920969%87.177.1+10.0
6 Joventut Badalona29181162%82.277.7+4.6
7 Gran Canaria29171259%83.678.6+5.0
8 Valencia30161453%84.183.5+0.6
9 Breogan29131645%77.879.7-1.9
10 Murcia30131743%80.583.7-3.2
11 Bilbao30131743%76.780.4-3.8
12 Obradoiro CAB30121840%78.182.9-4.8
13 Basket Zaragoza29111838%78.580.2-1.7
14 Basquet Girona29101934%76.481.2-4.8
15 Manresa3092130%83.089.7-6.6
16 Real Betis2982128%77.484.3-6.9
17 Granada3082227%76.287.0-10.8
18 Fuenlabrada3042613%76.691.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1817312793
Basket Zaragoza1327262086
← all games of the day
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