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Real Madrid vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 101-95
23-20 24-26 28-23 26-26
Position#1
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game86.0
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game91.0
SpainACBRound 2· Perea O.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza
16 May 2027
MAD v ZAR
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
MAD99
ZAR78
06 Oct 2024
MAD101
ZAR95
24 Sep 2023
MAD101
ZAR70
30 Apr 2023
MAD93
ZAR86
16 Jan 2022
MAD94
ZAR69
25 Sep 2020
MAD102
ZAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 85
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
104-98
104
98
+6
99avg 85
H31/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
95-92
95
92
+3
101avg 85
A02/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
74avg 85
H08/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 85
H10/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
84-73
84
73
+11
85avg 85
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
70avg 85
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
70avg 85
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 85
A29/09
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
89-97
89
97
-8
86avg 85
A03/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
20-22
28-26
25-16
22-24
22-16
29-22
31-36
28-20
21-25
23-31
23-16
18-13
19-20
27-15
20-28
18-15
22-15
17-22
22-11
17-19
15-21
34-16
18-17
20-18
21-24
26-19
22-22
19-32
26-17
18-19
17-22
22-16
22-21
19-23
22-26
29-26
22-26
22-12
16-33
172.2Avg total
88.6Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.086.0171.0-1.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)85.086.0171.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)88.683.6172.2+5.070%
Last 5 (5)85.485.8171.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar (3)85.389.3174.7-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)89.082.1171.1+7.080%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
68avg 75
A23/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-102
94
102
-8
92avg 75
A30/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-79
98
79
+19
97avg 75
H06/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 75
A13/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 75
H21/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
82avg 75
A01/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
87avg 75
H05/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 75
H10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
89-79
89
79
+10
80avg 75
A12/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
101-91 OT
101
91
+10
91avg 75
H29/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
21-20
16-25
27-21
18-30
22-28
26-23
28-21
27-23
21-23
20-26
30-7
13-26
15-23
16-18
28-16
17-20
9-17
19-26
25-16
24-22
16-16
13-23
24-21
28-13
14-17
16-23
32-27
21-19
25-21
16-25
15-19
23-11
17-21
20-35
29-12
21-19
17-20
27-30
22-18
169.2Avg total
84.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)101.091.0192.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)101.091.0192.0+10.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.884.4169.2+0.440%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.790.7168.3-13.017%
vs Similar (16)83.680.5164.1+3.156%
vs Weaker (2)95.588.0183.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +8.2+8.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -6.5-6.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +8.2+8.2
Real MadridBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/05
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A02/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/06
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/06
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H22/09
Supercopa ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A29/09
ACB
Bayern
#7
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A03/10
Euroleague
83.1Avg total
42.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.083.5+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.940.785.6+4.372%-
Last 30 away (12)41.438.980.3+2.567%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.483.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.086.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (3)53.746.099.7+7.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.438.881.2+3.676%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A23/03
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A30/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H06/04
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A13/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H21/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H05/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H10/05
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A12/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H29/09
ACB
79.3Avg total
38.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.078.6-3.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.239.980.1+0.367%-
Last 30 away (15)34.942.177.0-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.879.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.144.279.3-9.225%-
vs Similar (16)38.338.676.9-0.356%-
vs Weaker (2)46.041.087.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.8
54.8%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.4
36.7%
35.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.920.0
80.3%
76.4%20.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.922.0
53.8%
54.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.416.6
70.9%
76.4%16.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLLWWWWWWW
Basket Zaragoza
WWLWLLLWLL
#1
League position
#12
+6.8
Net rating
+0.5
115.5
Offensive rating
108.3
108.6
Defensive rating
107.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.7%
3-point %
33.1%
58.2%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 108.3Defence108.6 · 107.7Shooting54.9% · 52.2%3-point %36.7% · 33.1%Ball care16.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds29.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
21/04/24Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid70-79
24/09/23Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza101-70
30/04/23Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza93-86
06/11/22Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid94-89
16/01/22Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza94-69
04/12/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid65-86
02/05/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid89-98
25/09/20Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza102-83
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/24ABayern89-97
29/09/24ALeyma Coruna85-86
22/09/24HUnicaja80-90
21/09/24HBarcelona89-83
12/06/24AMurcia84-73
10/06/24HMurcia79-63
08/06/24HMurcia84-76
02/06/24ABarcelona95-92
31/05/24HBarcelona104-98
29/05/24HBarcelona97-78
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HForca Lleida101-91 OT
12/05/24ABasquet Girona89-79
10/05/24HGranada77-84
05/05/24HManresa90-80
01/05/24AMurcia77-82
21/04/24HReal Madrid70-79
13/04/24AUnicaja72-83
06/04/24HObradoiro CAB98-79
30/03/24ABaskonia94-102
23/03/24AMoraBanc Andorra80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game86.0-86.0
Point differential-1.0--1.0
Avg total171.0-171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game101.0101.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential+10.0+10.0-
Avg total192.0192.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona110100%91.065.0+26.0
2 Gran Canaria110100%91.071.0+20.0
3 Unicaja110100%90.073.0+17.0
4 Basket Zaragoza110100%101.091.0+10.0
5 Tenerife110100%88.080.0+8.0
6 Manresa110100%77.073.0+4.0
7 Leyma Coruna110100%86.085.0+1.0
8 Valencia21150%78.568.5+10.0
9 Bilbao21150%86.580.5+6.0
10 Joventut Badalona21150%75.580.0-4.5
11 Murcia21150%82.587.0-4.5
12 MoraBanc Andorra21150%83.091.0-8.0
13 Real Madrid1010%85.086.0-1.0
14 Baskonia2020%85.591.5-6.0
15 Forca Lleida1010%91.0101.0-10.0
16 Basquet Girona1010%73.090.0-17.0
17 Breogan1010%72.090.0-18.0
18 Granada1010%65.091.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid23242826101
Basket Zaragoza2026232695
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