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Real Madrid vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 99-78
21-22 24-19 20-14 34-23
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game82.5
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Basket Zaragoza
Spain
Position#17
Record6-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game91.3
SpainACBRound 18· Movistar Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza
16 May 2027
MAD v ZAR
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
MAD99
ZAR78
06 Oct 2024
MAD101
ZAR95
24 Sep 2023
MAD101
ZAR70
30 Apr 2023
MAD93
ZAR86
16 Jan 2022
MAD94
ZAR69
25 Sep 2020
MAD102
ZAR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 82
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
106-77
106
77
+29
114avg 82
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
93avg 82
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
103-85
103
85
+18
103avg 82
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
91avg 82
A27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
30-23
24-13
24-19
28-22
23-13
31-18
17-22
19-25
19-19
24-24
27-22
33-20
18-24
24-26
24-25
26-23
175.6Avg total
93.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)92.182.5174.6+9.688%
Season at home (8)92.179.8171.9+12.488%
Season away (9)92.184.9177.0+7.289%
Last 10 (10)93.382.3175.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)97.083.4180.4+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (8)88.089.0177.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)92.382.1174.4+10.290%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 80
H21/12
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
80-100
80
100
-20
61avg 80
A02/01
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
87-77
87
77
+10
78avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 80
H10/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
73-115
73
115
-42
65avg 80
A12/01
ACB
Sassari
#23
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A18/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
90-94
90
94
-4
83avg 80
H24/01
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
70-86
70
86
-16
66avg 80
A28/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
27-30
27-18
35-20
16-17
12-17
28-28
27-33
22-21
11-27
22-25
25-27
22-13
22-21
13-20
30-23
18-19
25-22
27-16
25-27
25-32
17-18
19-34
12-31
21-19
21-15
23-18
29-23
24-18
10-27
20-32
30-13
22-26
29-19
13-24
26-25
18-22
14-16
21-25
17-23
176.8Avg total
86.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)87.291.3178.5-4.135%
Season at home (9)89.389.2178.6+0.133%
Season away (8)84.993.6178.5-8.838%
Last 10 (10)86.390.5176.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)82.292.0174.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.395.0178.3-11.79%
vs Similar (12)89.290.0179.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (7)95.074.9169.9+20.186%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.1+1.1
Real MadridBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H20/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H22/01
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A24/01
ACB
Paris
#16
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A27/01
Euroleague
85.8Avg total
44.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.987.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.144.190.3+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.984.1+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.741.185.8+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)47.240.687.8+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (8)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.743.788.4+1.052%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H21/12
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H27/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A02/01
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/01
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A12/01
ACB
Sassari
#23
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Murcia
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A18/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H24/01
ACB
Peristeri
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A28/01
FIBA Europe Cup
81.4Avg total
39.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.385.1+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.242.485.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)42.442.284.6+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.081.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.047.087.0-7.09%-
vs Similar (12)42.441.483.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)47.736.484.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.922.5
61.0%
50.0%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.210.5
43.4%
42.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.218.0
74.4%
74.7%18.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.0
54.0%
50.0%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.7
30.5%
42.2%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.7
75.3%
74.7%17.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWL
Basket Zaragoza
LLLWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#17
+12.7
Net rating
-11.0
118.4
Offensive rating
100.5
105.8
Defensive rating
111.6
62.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.7%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.36
43.4%
3-point %
30.5%
64.2%
Assist %
54.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 100.5Defence105.8 · 111.6Shooting62.6% · 51.2%3-point %43.4% · 30.5%Ball care14.7% · 17.7%Off. rebounds35.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
02/11/25Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid83-95
30/05/25Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid89-104
06/10/24Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza101-95
21/04/24Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid70-79
24/09/23Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza101-70
30/04/23Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza93-86
06/11/22Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid94-89
16/01/22Real Madrid v Basket Zaragoza94-69
04/12/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid65-86
02/05/21Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid89-98
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/26AParis92-98
24/01/26ABreogan103-85
22/01/26HMonaco90-78
20/01/26HOlimpia Milano106-77
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
Basket Zaragozalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26APeristeri70-86
24/01/26HBasquet Girona90-94
18/01/26AMurcia84-90
14/01/26ASassari94-75
12/01/26AValencia73-115
10/01/26HGran Canaria95-84
04/01/26AForca Lleida87-77
02/01/26ABarcelona80-100
27/12/25HManresa83-95
21/12/25HMoraBanc Andorra107-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game92.192.192.1
Allowed / game82.579.884.9
Point differential+9.6+12.4+7.2
Avg total174.6171.9177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%75%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL35%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game87.289.384.9
Allowed / game91.389.293.6
Point differential-4.1+0.1-8.8
Avg total178.5178.6178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1715288%92.182.5+9.6
2 Valencia1713476%94.681.6+12.9
3 Barcelona1712571%88.080.3+7.7
4 Baskonia1611569%94.288.8+5.5
5 Unicaja1812667%88.084.5+3.5
6 Murcia1711665%87.881.7+6.1
7 Tenerife1710759%87.083.8+3.2
8 Joventut Badalona1810856%83.681.4+2.2
9 Bilbao1810856%84.385.1-0.8
10 Basquet Girona189950%86.490.2-3.7
11 Forca Lleida178947%82.185.8-3.8
12 Breogan1881044%90.492.3-1.8
13 Manresa1871139%85.492.4-7.1
14 Basket Zaragoza1761135%87.291.3-4.1
15 Gran Canaria1761135%78.182.6-4.5
16 MoraBanc Andorra1851328%84.891.8-7.1
17 San Pablo Burgos1831517%87.192.4-5.3
18 Granada181176%79.990.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2124203499
Basket Zaragoza2219142378
← all games of the day
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