PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Baskonia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 98-96
29-27 19-26 25-23 25-20
Position#18
Record10-24
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Position#2
Record22-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 35· Fernando Buesa Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Baskonia v Real Madrid
15 Nov 2026
BAS v MAD
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
BAS86
MAD104
03 Apr 2026
BAS98
MAD96
12 Oct 2025
BAS105
MAD100
06 Jun 2025
BAS103
MAD112
06 Jan 2025
BAS82
MAD89
15 Oct 2024
BAS76
MAD72
01 May 2024
BAS98
MAD102
07 Jan 2024
BAS85
MAD99
06 Oct 2023
BAS77
MAD79
29 Dec 2022
BAS92
MAD86
23 Oct 2022
BAS88
MAD82
07 Jun 2022
BAS77
MAD85
25 Nov 2021
BAS60
MAD88
31 Oct 2021
BAS65
MAD83
14 Mar 2021
BAS74
MAD85
02 Oct 2020
BAS76
MAD63
22 Mar 2019
BAS86
MAD76
30 Dec 2018
BAS74
MAD91
19 Jun 2018
BAS85
MAD96
17 Jun 2018
BAS78
MAD83
03 Jan 2018
BAS69
MAD81
14 Nov 2017
BAS105
MAD75
18 Feb 2017
BAS99
MAD103
03 Feb 2017
BAS71
MAD79
03 Jan 2017
BAS77
MAD62
01 Apr 2016
BAS89
MAD88
20 Feb 2016
BAS80
MAD86
03 Jan 2016
BAS86
MAD80
20 May 2015
BAS94
MAD81
15 Feb 2014
BAS74
MAD90
10 Mar 2013
BAS92
MAD100
31 May 2012
BAS66
MAD76
29 May 2012
BAS82
MAD79
09 Apr 2012
BAS67
MAD66
18 Dec 2010
BAS67
MAD72
06 Jun 2010
BAS64
MAD56
30 May 2010
BAS85
MAD80
28 May 2010
BAS62
MAD60
20 Feb 2010
BAS50
MAD78
19 Dec 2009
BAS80
MAD62
06 Jun 2009
BAS89
MAD80
30 May 2009
BAS91
MAD80
01 Nov 2008
BAS91
MAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baskonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaskoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
L
81-97
81
97
-16
72avg 85
H06/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-90
93
90
+3
91avg 85
H08/03
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
94-100
94
100
-6
85avg 85
A12/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
96-107
96
107
-11
83avg 85
A15/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
75avg 85
A19/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
94-81
94
81
+13
90avg 85
H22/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
100-108 OT
100
108
-8
96avg 85
H25/03
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
118-109
118
109
+9
113avg 85
H27/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
88-79
88
79
+9
77avg 85
A29/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
115-88
115
88
+27
119avg 85
H01/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
17-34
23-26
21-13
17-21
17-21
30-23
29-25
21-29
24-30
22-24
27-17
24-29
19-30
19-32
34-16
24-19
16-22
22-28
18-21
21-23
22-21
26-23
25-14
27-28
25-14
15-24
24-25
28-31
39-33
25-17
26-28
25-21
21-18
20-15
22-25
38-17
24-26
34-23
19-22
190.8Avg total
95.9Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.193.5181.7-5.429%
Season at home (17)90.290.0180.2+0.253%
Season away (17)86.197.1183.1-11.06%
Last 10 (10)95.994.9190.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)103.093.0196.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)90.499.1189.5-8.718%
vs Similar (6)85.587.8173.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (13)97.085.9182.9+11.185%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
100avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 84
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 84
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 84
H15/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 84
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 84
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 84
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 84
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
95-93
95
93
+2
88avg 84
A28/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
34-21
25-14
15-23
22-23
24-17
18-21
28-23
20-25
26-13
16-18
20-24
20-19
31-24
24-22
21-14
16-17
31-9
28-27
20-25
29-25
26-28
17-15
13-19
15-18
36-15
20-20
24-23
24-19
21-16
26-25
21-23
11-21
31-12
18-20
22-18
22-13
15-23
29-24
29-33
170.8Avg total
90.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.782.5170.2+5.265%
Season at home (18)91.879.9171.7+11.994%
Season away (16)83.085.4168.4-2.431%
Last 10 (10)90.780.1170.8+10.690%
Last 5 (5)89.882.0171.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (9)91.785.6177.2+6.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.881.3173.2+10.590%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +9.7+9.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +9.7+9.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
BaskoniaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#16
L
37-58
37
58
-21
H06/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H08/03
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A12/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
43-59
43
59
-16
A15/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A19/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H22/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H25/03
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H27/03
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A29/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
62-43
62
43
+19
H01/04
ACB
96.0Avg total
46.9Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.945.891.7+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.746.896.5+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)42.144.786.8-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)46.949.196.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)54.046.4100.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)46.250.596.7-4.445%-
vs Similar (6)44.344.889.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker (13)46.442.288.5+4.262%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/03
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A28/03
ACB
84.3Avg total
47.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.485.3+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.786.2+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)43.141.184.3+2.057%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.084.3+10.3100%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.084.0+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)47.639.887.3+7.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.940.584.4+3.465%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.716.9
77.9%
60.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.1
34.8%
35.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
78.2%10.3
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.014.2
64.5%
60.4%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.3
39.8%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws10.78.7
81.3%
78.2%8.7
They take 50.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baskonia
WWWLWLLLWL
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWWW
#18
League position
#2
+5.7
Net rating
+7.1
67.3
Offensive rating
68.2
61.6
Defensive rating
61.0
63.2%
Effective FG%
61.8%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.8%
3-point %
39.8%
73.0%
Assist %
79.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence67.3 · 68.2Defence61.6 · 61.0Shooting63.2% · 61.8%3-point %34.8% · 39.8%Ball care19.1% · 16.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Baskonia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baskonia wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Real Madrid v Baskonia94-87
12/10/25Baskonia v Real Madrid105-100
06/06/25Baskonia v Real Madrid103-112
03/06/25Real Madrid v Baskonia82-76
16/03/25Real Madrid v Baskonia83-78
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/26HBasket Zaragoza115-88
29/03/26AMoraBanc Andorra88-79
27/03/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv118-109
25/03/26HCrvena zvezda100-108 OT
22/03/26HBasquet Girona94-81
19/03/26AOlympiacos80-90
15/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos96-107
12/03/26ADubai94-100
08/03/26HForca Lleida93-90
06/03/26HParis81-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26ABasquet Girona95-93
26/03/26HAnadolu Efes82-71
24/03/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-83
22/03/26ABarcelona95-76
20/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-87
15/03/26HForca Lleida95-78
12/03/26HValencia96-79
08/03/26AGran Canaria82-80
05/03/26HVirtus Bologna92-84
26/02/26HBayern93-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baskonia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLLLW53%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %29%53%6%
Points / game88.190.286.1
Allowed / game93.590.097.1
Point differential-5.4+0.2-11.0
Avg total181.7180.2183.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%6%6%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %65%94%31%
Points / game87.791.883.0
Allowed / game82.579.985.4
Point differential+5.2+11.9-2.4
Avg total170.2171.7168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%61%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos35231266%90.183.8+6.3
2 Fenerbahce35231266%82.480.5+1.9
3 Real Madrid34221265%87.782.5+5.2
4 Valencia34211362%90.086.3+3.7
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv34211362%87.984.7+3.2
6 Zalgiris Kaunas35211460%88.583.3+5.2
7 Panathinaikos35201557%86.985.3+1.6
8 Barcelona35201557%84.683.8+0.8
9 Monaco35191654%90.387.3+3.0
10 Crvena zvezda35191654%87.085.7+1.3
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv34181653%90.491.7-1.3
12 Dubai35181751%89.188.5+0.5
13 Olimpia Milano35171849%86.186.7-0.5
14 Bayern35152043%80.683.5-2.8
15 Partizan35152043%81.887.1-5.3
16 Paris35142140%90.091.3-1.4
17 Virtus Bologna34132138%82.086.4-4.4
18 Baskonia34102429%88.193.5-5.4
19 Anadolu Efes35102529%80.584.8-4.3
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3582723%79.186.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baskonia2919252598
Real Madrid2726232096
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.