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Real Madrid vs Hapoel Tel-Aviv Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 09 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:45
Scheduled
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#6
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Movistar Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Real Madrid v Hapoel Tel-Aviv
09 Mar 2027
MAD v HTA
upcoming
01 May 2026
MAD102
HTA75
29 Apr 2026
MAD86
HTA82
24 Mar 2026
MAD92
HTA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hapoel Tel-Aviv win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
119-84
119
84
+35
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
122-86
122
86
+36
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
196.0Avg total
108.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.288.0184.2+8.267%
Season at home (3)97.381.3178.7+16.0100%
Season away (6)95.791.3187.0+4.350%
Last 10 (10)108.287.8196.0+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)110.686.2196.8+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)94.089.9183.9+4.156%
vs Weaker (20)99.589.8189.3+9.660%
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#4
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H01/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A08/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A11/10
Super League
Besiktas
#11
W
100-82
100
82
+18
H14/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Ashdod
#10
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/10
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H21/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H25/10
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
118-88
118
88
+30
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
34-23
12-32
27-23
17-29
23-18
17-27
25-19
24-23
20-12
20-27
31-20
22-18
21-21
32-16
25-27
29-25
19-21
20-15
23-20
23-28
23-20
14-7
21-12
23-25
13-23
28-14
26-19
14-16
13-18
20-17
13-19
27-21
36-20
27-18
28-29
22-19
18-26
20-29
23-23
174.1Avg total
90.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.387.3179.7+5.067%
Season at home (5)98.887.0185.8+11.880%
Season away (4)84.287.8172.0-3.550%
Last 10 (10)90.283.9174.1+6.370%
Last 5 (5)86.480.6167.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.486.1171.6-0.743%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.989.4172.3-6.643%
vs Weaker (16)83.873.9157.6+9.981%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +3.1+3.1
Real MadridHapoel Tel-Aviv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
97.4Avg total
55.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.944.593.4+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.743.292.9+6.571%-
Last 30 away (16)48.245.693.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)55.342.197.4+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)54.043.097.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.146.192.2+0.056%-
vs Weaker (20)50.443.994.3+6.575%-
This opponent (Hapoel Tel-Aviv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Tel-AvivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#4
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H01/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/10
Super League
Besiktas
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H14/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Ashdod
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H18/10
Super League
Virtus Bologna
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H21/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H25/10
Super League
Anadolu Efes
#14
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H28/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/10
Euroleague
87.6Avg total
45.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.342.286.5+2.262%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.343.188.4+2.256%-
Last 30 away (13)43.241.084.2+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.687.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.285.6-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.742.985.6-0.171%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.941.784.6+1.143%-
vs Weaker (15)45.842.187.9+3.767%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
55.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.615.3
43.0%
35.5%45.9
🏀 Free throws26.621.9
82.3%
77.3%21.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hapoel Tel-Avivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hapoel Tel-Aviv: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.9
56.3%
55.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.8
40.6%
35.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
77.3%14.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
LWLWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#6
+22.2
Net rating
+7.3
114.9
Offensive rating
105.2
92.7
Defensive rating
97.8
60.7%
Effective FG%
58.2%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.2%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
43.0%
3-point %
40.6%
64.9%
Assist %
51.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 105.2Defence92.7 · 97.8Shooting60.7% · 58.2%3-point %43.0% · 40.6%Ball care13.2% · 12.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Hapoel Tel-Aviv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
2
Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADubai83-97
28/10/26HAnadolu Efes118-88
25/10/26HHapoel Jerusalem60-70
21/10/26HVirtus Bologna90-81
18/10/26HMaccabi Ashdod81-67
16/10/26APanathinaikos91-81
14/10/26HBesiktas100-82
11/10/26AHapoel Beer Sheva95-82
08/10/26AValencia82-93
01/10/26HReal Madrid102-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game96.297.395.7
Allowed / game88.081.391.3
Point differential+8.2+16.0+4.3
Avg total184.2178.7187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game92.398.884.2
Allowed / game87.387.087.8
Point differential+5.0+11.8-3.5
Avg total179.7185.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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