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Basquet Girona vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 93-95
13-22 23-15 24-29 33-29
Position#12
Record11-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game89.6
Basquet Girona
Spain
vs
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
Position#2
Record21-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game82.0
SpainACBRound 24· Pavello Fontajau
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Basquet Girona v Real Madrid
21 Mar 2027
GIR v MAD
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
GIR93
MAD95
27 Apr 2025
GIR71
MAD79
08 Oct 2023
GIR74
MAD93
28 Sep 2022
GIR88
MAD94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
85avg 77
H04/01
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
85-96
85
96
-11
75avg 77
H11/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
no box
A18/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
91avg 77
A24/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 77
H31/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
89avg 77
A08/02
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
93-81
93
81
+12
81avg 77
A15/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
83-90
83
90
-7
75avg 77
H08/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 77
H15/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
81-94
81
94
-13
75avg 77
A22/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
26-26
18-20
23-31
16-22
25-20
25-25
19-29
17-16
14-13
22-18
21-24
26-22
19-29
24-13
25-26
21-22
17-13
19-17
20-19
22-32
18-20
27-20
25-25
24-18
25-21
24-18
20-24
17-20
16-27
26-19
24-24
18-12
23-15
19-17
22-31
23-21
21-22
23-26
14-25
170.8Avg total
85.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)86.489.6176.0-3.248%
Season at home (12)87.184.6171.7+2.558%
Season away (11)85.695.0180.6-9.436%
Last 10 (10)85.085.8170.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)86.287.4173.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.491.8172.2-11.515%
vs Similar (16)91.289.1180.2+2.162%
vs Weaker (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
94avg 84
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
100avg 84
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 84
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 84
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
96-79
96
79
+17
97avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 84
H15/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
77avg 84
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 84
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
91avg 84
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
82-71
82
71
+11
81avg 84
H26/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
19-31
34-25
23-11
19-12
34-21
25-14
15-23
22-23
24-17
18-21
28-23
20-25
26-13
16-18
20-24
20-19
31-24
24-22
21-14
16-17
31-9
28-27
20-25
29-25
26-28
17-15
13-19
15-18
36-15
20-20
24-23
24-19
21-16
26-25
21-23
11-21
31-12
18-20
22-18
170.8Avg total
90.8Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)92.582.0174.4+10.591%
Season at home (11)93.279.4172.5+13.891%
Season away (12)91.884.3176.2+7.592%
Last 10 (10)90.880.0170.8+10.890%
Last 5 (5)89.879.0168.8+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (9)91.785.6177.2+6.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.580.8172.2+10.890%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +9.3+9.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +0.4+0.4
Basquet GironaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H04/01
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H11/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A24/01
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H31/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A15/02
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H15/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/03
ACB
81.7Avg total
41.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.639.480.9+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.548.490.9-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.781.7+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.683.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.843.581.3-5.623%-
vs Similar (16)45.843.889.5+2.056%-
vs Weaker (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A15/02
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/03
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#15
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/03
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H12/03
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H15/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A20/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A22/03
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H24/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/03
Euroleague
86.5Avg total
47.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.340.685.9+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.639.786.2+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)43.841.685.4+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)47.539.086.5+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)48.036.084.0+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)47.639.887.3+7.878%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.440.985.2+3.565%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.0
56.2%
50.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.3
36.5%
42.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
74.7%14.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.414.8
66.1%
50.0%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.9
40.4%
42.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws11.08.8
80.0%
74.7%8.8
They take 49.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basquet Girona
LWLWLWWWLL
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#2
-0.9
Net rating
+7.5
101.1
Offensive rating
68.9
102.0
Defensive rating
61.4
55.6%
Effective FG%
63.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.5%
3-point %
40.4%
65.0%
Assist %
79.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 68.9Defence102.0 · 61.4Shooting55.6% · 63.1%3-point %36.5% · 40.4%Ball care16.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds35.1% · -Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Basquet Girona   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Basquet Girona wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
14/12/25Real Madrid v Basquet Girona112-76
27/04/25Basquet Girona v Real Madrid71-79
20/10/24Real Madrid v Basquet Girona95-67
04/02/24Real Madrid v Basquet Girona92-79
08/10/23Basquet Girona v Real Madrid74-93
19/04/23Real Madrid v Basquet Girona89-70
28/09/22Basquet Girona v Real Madrid88-94
Basquet Gironalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ABaskonia81-94
15/03/26HMoraBanc Andorra82-75
08/03/26HUnicaja83-90
15/02/26AForca Lleida93-81
08/02/26ABarcelona92-97
31/01/26HSan Pablo Burgos77-71
24/01/26ABasket Zaragoza94-90
18/01/26AJoventut Badalona74-71
11/01/26HBaskonia85-96
04/01/26HBilbao89-93
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HAnadolu Efes82-71
24/03/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv92-83
22/03/26ABarcelona95-76
20/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas85-87
15/03/26HForca Lleida95-78
12/03/26HValencia96-79
08/03/26AGran Canaria82-80
05/03/26HVirtus Bologna92-84
26/02/26HBayern93-70
15/02/26AUnicaja96-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basquet Girona
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeLLWLW58%
AwayWWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%58%36%
Points / game86.487.185.6
Allowed / game89.684.695.0
Point differential-3.2+2.5-9.4
Avg total176.0171.7180.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %91%91%92%
Points / game92.593.291.8
Allowed / game82.079.484.3
Point differential+10.5+13.8+7.5
Avg total174.4172.5176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%82%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)0% (1)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2321291%92.582.0+10.5
2 Valencia2317674%95.381.8+13.4
3 Murcia2417771%89.383.4+5.9
4 Baskonia2215768%93.187.8+5.4
5 Barcelona2315865%88.380.8+7.5
6 Joventut Badalona2315865%85.080.5+4.5
7 Unicaja2315865%88.785.3+3.3
8 Tenerife2314961%87.483.2+4.2
9 Bilbao25141156%85.686.8-1.2
10 Basquet Girona23111248%86.489.6-3.2
11 Breogan24101442%89.492.5-3.0
12 Manresa2491538%84.491.8-7.5
13 Forca Lleida2481633%82.288.3-6.1
14 Gran Canaria2371630%79.184.1-5.0
15 Basket Zaragoza2371630%87.792.9-5.2
16 San Pablo Burgos2361726%89.093.3-4.3
17 MoraBanc Andorra2361726%85.593.3-7.8
18 Granada2432112%81.291.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basquet Girona1323243393
Real Madrid2215292995
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