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Real Madrid vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-76
27-19 26-18 18-20 15-19
Position#5
Record0-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game91.3
vs
Position#11
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4· Movistar Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Real Madrid v Partizan
08 Oct 2026
MAD86
PAR76
15 Oct 2025
MAD93
PAR86
10 Oct 2024
MAD93
PAR86
21 Dec 2023
MAD91
PAR75
10 May 2023
MAD98
PAR94
27 Apr 2023
MAD80
PAR95
25 Apr 2023
MAD87
PAR89
24 Nov 2022
MAD105
PAR97
28 Feb 2014
MAD80
PAR57
14 Dec 2011
MAD101
PAR83
19 Jan 2011
MAD78
PAR58
11 Dec 2008
MAD68
PAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 87
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
76avg 87
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 87
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 87
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 87
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 87
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 87
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 87
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 87
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
112avg 87
A04/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
17-16
20-22
17-24
19-26
29-30
25-18
14-20
26-21
24-27
25-23
22-27
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
188.0Avg total
94.2Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.391.3177.7-5.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)86.391.3177.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)94.293.8188.0+0.430%
Last 5 (5)92.493.6186.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (10)91.087.8178.8+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.591.3184.8+2.242%
This opponent (Partizan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 79
H18/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
92avg 79
A21/05
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
93-99
93
99
-6
85avg 79
A04/06
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
79avg 79
A06/06
ABA League
Dubai
#1
W
84-70
84
70
+14
76avg 79
H10/06
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 79
H12/06
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 79
H25/09
Euroleague
Paris
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
85avg 79
A29/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 79
A02/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#18
W
83-59
83
59
+24
43avg 79
H05/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
27-27
26-13
22-35
28-16
21-17
18-20
22-25
24-29
20-24
22-16
27-30
24-20
18-22
24-26
15-18
23-10
24-24
20-21
17-15
21-23
18-17
20-20
22-23
20-16
22-20
21-22
29-18
15-18
29-22
23-23
25-16
22-27
24-20
11-18
29-19
22-18
20-15
21-12
20-14
168.9Avg total
88.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.079.7169.7+10.3100%
Season at home (1)92.076.0168.0+16.0100%
Season away (2)89.081.5170.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.180.8168.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)86.876.2163.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)88.284.2172.3+4.067%
vs Similar (14)87.384.2171.5+3.157%
vs Weaker (10)87.071.5158.5+15.5100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Real MadridPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/10
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
95.2Avg total
46.8Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.744.490.0+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.944.290.1+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)45.544.590.0+0.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.848.495.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.894.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (10)45.443.588.9+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.845.090.8+0.863%-
This opponent (Partizan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H18/05
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/05
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A04/06
ABA League
Dubai
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A06/06
ABA League
Dubai
#1
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H10/06
ABA League
Dubai
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H12/06
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/09
Euroleague
Paris
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A29/09
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A02/10
Euroleague
Mega Basket
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/10
ABA League
85.1Avg total
44.7Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.939.683.5+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.781.3+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)45.140.585.7+4.660%-
Last 10 (10)44.740.485.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.281.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.542.082.5-1.533%-
vs Similar (14)45.040.385.3+4.771%-
vs Weaker (10)44.437.281.6+7.270%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.9
59.3%
55.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.2
32.7%
35.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws24.919.8
79.5%
77.1%19.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.8
57.8%
55.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.8
75.2%
77.1%15.8
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLWLLWLLL
Partizan
WWWWLWLLWW
#5
League position
#11
+0.4
Net rating
+7.5
104.1
Offensive rating
103.5
103.6
Defensive rating
96.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
56.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.7%
3-point %
36.3%
55.3%
Assist %
73.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 103.5Defence103.6 · 96.0Shooting55.4% · 56.5%3-point %32.7% · 36.3%Ball care14.2% · 14.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Partizan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
01/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv98-102
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87
24/09/26ADubai77-78
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
04/06/26ATenerife118-83
02/06/26HTenerife97-98
29/05/26AManresa87-94
27/05/26HBaskonia83-88
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/26HMega Basket83-59
02/10/26ABayern86-84
29/09/26AParis92-79
25/09/26HOlimpia Milano92-76
12/06/26HDubai81-83
10/06/26HDubai84-70
06/06/26ADubai81-86
04/06/26ADubai93-99
21/05/26ACrvena zvezda89-78
18/05/26HCrvena zvezda100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
Home--
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %0%-0%
Points / game86.3-86.3
Allowed / game91.3-91.3
Point differential-5.0--5.0
Avg total177.7-177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Partizan
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.092.089.0
Allowed / game79.776.081.5
Point differential+10.3+16.0+7.5
Avg total169.7168.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%93.873.0+20.8
2 Valencia440100%101.289.0+12.2
3 Partizan330100%90.079.7+10.3
4 Fenerbahce43175%82.075.5+6.5
5 Olympiacos32167%97.792.0+5.7
6 Barcelona32167%90.386.0+4.3
7 Crvena zvezda42250%77.873.5+4.2
8 Virtus Bologna42250%85.886.5-0.8
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv42250%87.289.2-2.0
10 Dubai42250%74.079.2-5.2
11 Lyon-Villeurbanne42250%88.294.2-6.0
12 Besiktas31233%95.094.7+0.3
13 Zalgiris Kaunas31233%84.084.0+0.0
14 Anadolu Efes31233%82.783.3-0.7
15 Baskonia31233%87.797.7-10.0
16 Paris41325%82.289.8-7.5
17 Bayern41325%83.291.0-7.8
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv41325%82.890.5-7.8
19 Olimpia Milano41325%79.590.0-10.5
20 Real Madrid3030%86.391.3-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2726181586
Partizan1918201976
← all games of the day
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