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Obradoiro CAB vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 107-114 (OT)
22-22 21-32 26-21 30-24 8-15
Position#12
Record1-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game87.0
SpainACBRound 2
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Obradoiro CAB v Real Madrid
04 Oct 2026
OKA107
MAD114
16 Dec 2023
OKA74
MAD85
05 Mar 2023
OKA78
MAD84
08 May 2022
OKA88
MAD89
23 Mar 2021
OKA71
MAD87
21 Oct 2018
OKA73
MAD86
21 Sep 2018
OKA61
MAD81
17 Dec 2017
OKA93
MAD102
18 Mar 2017
OKA90
MAD83
22 Dec 2015
OKA63
MAD79
03 May 2015
OKA76
MAD85
09 Mar 2014
OKA68
MAD83
26 May 2013
OKA58
MAD74
16 Dec 2012
OKA87
MAD97
04 Mar 2012
OKA69
MAD83
13 Dec 2009
OKA78
MAD68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obradoiro CAB winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obradoiro CABSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCAB
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
89-80
89
80
+9
89avg 87
H21/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
87-63
87
63
+24
84avg 87
A29/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
81-53
81
53
+28
77avg 87
H05/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 87
A11/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
94-57
94
57
+37
95avg 87
H17/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
85avg 87
A21/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
81avg 87
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
95-65
95
65
+30
92avg 87
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
73avg 87
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 87
A26/09
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
34-14
16-24
20-18
19-24
25-13
25-12
18-14
13-10
24-13
22-9
22-21
19-26
18-15
31-25
24-18
25-12
24-9
21-23
24-13
26-21
27-26
19-15
14-24
26-14
19-27
20-23
24-15
28-21
25-13
19-22
23-9
26-24
21-18
18-14
20-12
14-27
29-19
22-24
25-15
163.1Avg total
89.8Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)90.085.0175.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.873.3163.1+16.590%
Last 5 (5)91.079.2170.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (30)92.774.2166.9+18.593%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 87
A24/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 87
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
87-94
87
94
-7
76avg 87
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
97-98
97
98
-1
88avg 87
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
118-83
118
83
+35
121avg 87
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 87
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 87
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
83avg 87
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
84-94
84
94
-10
86avg 87
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
98-102
98
102
-4
94avg 87
A01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
18-27
21-15
20-31
29-26
17-16
20-22
17-24
19-26
29-30
25-18
14-20
26-21
24-27
25-23
22-27
21-24
30-21
34-20
33-18
24-23
21-26
28-21
22-37
16-20
28-18
18-25
15-15
23-22
23-25
19-24
24-16
29-27
12-26
24-19
19-22
20-29
23-34
32-12
23-27
183.6Avg total
91.3Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)89.087.0176.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.392.3183.6-1.020%
Last 5 (5)88.693.6182.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (11)91.187.4178.5+3.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)92.390.4182.8+1.939%
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
Obradoiro CABReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obradoiro CABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palmer Basket
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H21/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A29/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H05/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#11
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H17/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#13
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A21/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/04
Primera FEB
Estela
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A02/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H08/05
Primera FEB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/09
ACB
83.1Avg total
46.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.338.085.4+9.383%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.236.183.3+11.193%-
Last 30 away (15)47.539.987.4+7.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.137.083.1+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.090.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (30)47.338.085.4+9.383%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/05
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/05
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H02/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H06/06
ACB
Dubai
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A24/09
Euroleague
Unicaja
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H27/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A29/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A01/10
Euroleague
94.5Avg total
45.8Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.444.189.5+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.943.589.4+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)44.944.689.6+0.369%-
Last 10 (10)45.848.794.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.850.093.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (11)45.442.788.1+2.664%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.445.190.5+0.361%-
This opponent (Obradoiro CAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obradoiro CABtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obradoiro CAB: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.8
59.6%
55.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.5
37.0%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws23.116.7
72.3%
76.0%16.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.823.3
61.6%
55.8%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
36.2%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.116.3
81.1%
76.0%16.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obradoiro CAB
WWWWLWWWWW
Real Madrid
LLWLLWLLLL
#12
League position
#1
+23.1
Net rating
-0.4
124.1
Offensive rating
98.2
101.0
Defensive rating
98.5
57.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
1.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
37.0%
3-point %
32.4%
55.0%
Assist %
56.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence124.1 · 98.2Defence101.0 · 98.5Shooting57.7% · 56.4%3-point %37.0% · 32.4%Ball care1.7% · 14.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Obradoiro CAB   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Obradoiro CAB wins
10
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/05/26HGipuzkoa85-68
02/05/26AEstela95-65
26/04/26HEstudiantes89-79
21/04/26ATizona Burgos96-99 OT
17/04/26HOurense94-57
11/04/26ALeyma Coruna92-84
05/04/26HPalencia81-53
29/03/26AFibwi Palma87-63
21/03/26HPalmer Basket89-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv98-102
29/09/26AAnadolu Efes84-94
27/09/26HUnicaja89-87
24/09/26ADubai77-78
06/06/26HTenerife95-107
04/06/26ATenerife118-83
02/06/26HTenerife97-98
29/05/26AManresa87-94
27/05/26HBaskonia83-88
24/05/26AOlympiacos85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obradoiro CAB
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential+5.0-+5.0
Avg total175.0-175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game87.087.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total176.0176.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona110100%119.0101.0+18.0
2 Basquet Girona110100%84.077.0+7.0
3 Breogan220100%105.599.5+6.0
4 Obradoiro CAB110100%90.085.0+5.0
5 Real Madrid110100%89.087.0+2.0
6 Basket Zaragoza110100%81.080.0+1.0
7 Baskonia110100%98.097.0+1.0
8 Bilbao21150%104.098.0+6.0
9 San Pablo Burgos21150%95.589.5+6.0
10 Tenerife21150%80.078.0+2.0
11 Forca Lleida21150%93.097.0-4.0
12 Leyma Coruna21150%102.5110.0-7.5
13 Unicaja2020%81.084.5-3.5
14 MoraBanc Andorra1010%85.090.0-5.0
15 Valencia1010%100.0105.0-5.0
16 Joventut Badalona1010%104.0110.0-6.0
17 Murcia1010%77.084.0-7.0
18 Manresa2020%93.5104.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Obradoiro CAB222126308107
Real Madrid2232212415114
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