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Real Madrid vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 94-86
30-12 21-27 21-26 22-21
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Monaco
22 Jan 2026
MAD90
MCO78
19 Dec 2024
MAD94
MCO72
16 Nov 2023
MAD91
MCO73
08 Dec 2022
MAD94
MCO95
13 Oct 2021
MAD94
MCO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
66avg 76
A15/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
70-63
70
63
+7
59avg 76
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
79avg 76
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
64avg 76
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
82avg 76
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 76
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 76
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 76
A10/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
15-22
25-29
18-15
14-21
17-16
17-16
24-17
22-23
18-23
22-25
26-12
21-18
15-16
19-18
15-11
21-14
17-16
26-14
22-14
20-13
16-17
15-21
27-17
32-15
18-20
18-13
14-21
25-18
15-17
18-19
28-23
10-13
26-22
16-19
16-20
20-23
22-16
22-21
29-19
152.9Avg total
79.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.071.5146.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)82.069.0151.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)79.673.3152.9+6.380%
Last 5 (5)81.473.4154.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.485.9162.2-9.538%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.073.8156.8+9.280%
vs Weaker (16)84.376.0160.3+8.388%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#9
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 75
A14/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#4
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 75
H16/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
73-98
73
98
-25
56avg 75
H18/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
91-72
91
72
+19
74avg 75
H21/06
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
63avg 75
A24/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
75-63
75
63
+12
69avg 75
H30/09
Euroleague
Roanne
#13
W
80-75
80
75
+5
96avg 75
A02/10
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
81-108
81
108
-27
90avg 75
A05/10
LNB
Unics Kazan
#9
W
88-80 OT
88
80
+8
no box
A08/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#9
W
81-70
81
70
+11
90avg 75
H10/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
27-29
21-22
11-19
18-21
20-21
16-20
18-23
20-17
17-31
13-25
23-25
19-24
21-15
36-19
15-14
14-29
21-13
15-19
18-18
22-15
16-13
18-16
19-19
25-17
21-23
14-19
20-16
16-28
26-31
18-23
21-26
18-15
21-20
11-23
24-16
23-18
18-23
24-16
16-13
160.4Avg total
78.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.571.5153.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)75.063.0138.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.881.6160.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)81.079.2160.2+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.595.0165.5-24.50%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.381.6162.9-0.362%
vs Weaker (15)85.673.3158.9+12.380%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Real MadridMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A15/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/09
Supercopa ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/10
ACB
74.8Avg total
37.9Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.277.9+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.936.576.4+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)39.539.779.2-0.262%-
Last 10 (10)37.936.974.8+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.875.6+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.640.476.0-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.638.080.6+4.660%-
vs Weaker (16)41.337.278.6+4.181%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A14/06
LNB
Strasbourg
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H16/06
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H18/06
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H21/06
LNB
Dijon
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/06
LNB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H30/09
Euroleague
Roanne
#13
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A02/10
LNB
Levallois
#3
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A05/10
LNB
Unics Kazan
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A08/10
Euroleague
Le Mans
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H10/10
LNB
82.2Avg total
40.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.783.2+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.638.181.7+5.558%-
Last 30 away (18)41.842.484.2-0.661%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.982.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.042.578.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.343.483.7-3.138%-
vs Weaker (15)45.338.183.4+7.387%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.3
52.2%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
77.2%14.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.3
51.7%
52.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.8
30.1%
35.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws23.616.0
67.8%
77.2%16.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWWWWWL
Monaco
WWLWWLWLLL
#2
League position
#8
+6.6
Net rating
-3.6
109.5
Offensive rating
102.8
102.9
Defensive rating
106.4
49.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
30.5%
3-point %
30.1%
55.5%
Assist %
55.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 102.8Defence102.9 · 106.4Shooting49.6% · 49.3%3-point %30.5% · 30.1%Ball care16.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Madrid wins
0
Monaco wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21AValencia93-79
08/10/21AOlympiacos68-74
03/10/21HTenerife86-77
30/09/21HAnadolu Efes82-69
26/09/21HObradoiro CAB78-68
24/09/21AMoraBanc Andorra86-58
19/09/21HSan Pablo Burgos70-63
12/09/21ABarcelona88-83
11/09/21ATenerife72-70
15/06/21ABarcelona73-92
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21HLe Mans81-70
08/10/21AUnics Kazan88-80 OT
05/10/21ALevallois81-108
02/10/21ARoanne80-75
30/09/21HPanathinaikos75-63
24/06/21ADijon68-79
21/06/21HJL Bourg91-72
18/06/21HLyon-Villeurbanne73-98
16/06/21HStrasbourg72-85
14/06/21ANanterre79-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game75.082.068.0
Allowed / game71.569.074.0
Point differential+3.5+13.0-6.0
Avg total146.5151.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.575.088.0
Allowed / game71.563.080.0
Point differential+10.0+12.0+8.0
Avg total153.0138.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona220100%88.068.0+20.0
2 Olympiacos220100%74.559.0+15.5
3 Olimpia Milano330100%81.770.0+11.7
4 Monaco220100%81.571.5+10.0
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%78.072.0+6.0
6 Crvena zvezda32167%68.361.7+6.7
7 CSKA Moscow32167%83.782.3+1.3
8 Zenit Petersburg32167%69.070.0-1.0
9 Real Madrid21150%75.071.5+3.5
10 Unics Kazan31233%74.076.0-2.0
11 Panathinaikos31233%77.781.0-3.3
12 Fenerbahce31233%72.777.3-4.7
13 Alba Berlin31233%71.779.0-7.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%68.075.3-7.3
15 Baskonia31233%65.077.3-12.3
16 Bayern3030%70.074.0-4.0
17 Anadolu Efes3030%79.385.7-6.3
18 Zalgiris Kaunas3030%67.077.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3021212294
Monaco1227262186
← all games of the day
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