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Real Madrid vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 91-73
30-20 23-19 27-11 11-23
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Monaco
22 Jan 2026
MAD90
MCO78
19 Dec 2024
MAD94
MCO72
16 Nov 2023
MAD91
MCO73
08 Dec 2022
MAD94
MCO95
13 Oct 2021
MAD94
MCO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
106-92
106
92
+14
104avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 74
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
82-76
82
76
+6
83avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
65-64
65
64
+1
58avg 74
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
91-68
91
68
+23
82avg 74
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
83-76
83
76
+7
80avg 74
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
100-74
100
74
+26
104avg 74
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
W
76-73
76
73
+3
73avg 74
A14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
27-15
39-25
25-30
25-19
28-24
19-19
21-17
19-25
23-17
25-19
21-10
27-14
20-20
18-27
17-15
12-19
16-11
23-11
14-23
30-11
22-14
15-18
24-25
25-13
15-21
22-31
21-11
26-27
27-10
15-14
32-23
20-11
16-22
27-23
24-28
24-26
19-23
20-13
13-11
162.8Avg total
87.1Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.374.0160.3+12.3100%
Season at home (4)86.572.0158.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)86.076.7162.7+9.3100%
Last 10 (10)87.175.7162.8+11.4100%
Last 5 (5)87.475.0162.4+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)82.484.0166.4-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.776.8165.5+11.896%
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
84avg 81
A18/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
86-75
86
75
+11
90avg 81
H20/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
93avg 81
A22/10
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
107-79
107
79
+28
104avg 81
H26/10
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 81
H28/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
72-66
72
66
+6
64avg 81
A02/11
Euroleague
Nancy
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
93avg 81
A04/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
80-70
80
70
+10
72avg 81
H10/11
Euroleague
Nanterre
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
101avg 81
H12/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
82-89
82
89
-7
71avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
24-21
26-19
18-13
18-16
29-24
20-16
19-19
23-17
8-17
27-11
25-22
27-23
25-15
33-19
22-22
16-23
25-15
27-18
23-20
13-18
22-19
17-11
20-18
23-21
22-28
24-21
17-24
14-23
27-14
16-24
23-9
26-22
27-14
18-26
20-20
25-28
19-20
22-21
16-20
163.4Avg total
86.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.176.0155.1+3.162%
Season at home (5)82.879.2162.0+3.660%
Season away (3)73.070.7143.7+2.367%
Last 10 (10)86.077.4163.4+8.680%
Last 5 (5)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.076.0138.0-14.00%
vs Similar (6)83.273.8157.0+9.383%
vs Weaker (23)84.978.1163.0+6.883%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
Real MadridMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H15/10
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H19/10
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A22/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H26/10
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H29/10
ACB
Granada
#17
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A05/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A12/11
ACB
Valencia
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/11
Euroleague
80.0Avg total
43.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.480.9+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.835.579.2+8.362%-
Last 30 away (17)43.238.982.2+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.480.0+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.835.680.4+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.643.486.0-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.736.179.8+7.671%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A18/10
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H20/10
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A22/10
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H26/10
Euroleague
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/10
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A02/11
Euroleague
Nancy
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A04/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/11
Euroleague
Nanterre
#5
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H12/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H14/11
Euroleague
82.8Avg total
42.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.081.2+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.881.7+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.340.480.6-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.182.8+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.029.070.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (6)40.737.378.0+3.350%-
vs Weaker (23)42.739.982.5+2.861%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.820.6
60.9%
53.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.517.4
80.9%
77.4%17.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.3
53.5%
53.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.6
41.4%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.713.8
73.8%
77.4%13.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Monaco
LWWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+15.9
Net rating
+12.6
116.4
Offensive rating
121.7
100.5
Defensive rating
109.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
56.7%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
41.4%
67.2%
Assist %
57.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 121.7Defence100.5 · 109.1Shooting57.1% · 56.7%3-point %34.8% · 41.4%Ball care18.6% · 15.5%Off. rebounds31.4% · 35.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
1
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
03/02/23Monaco v Real Madrid91-95
08/12/22Real Madrid v Monaco94-95 OT
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23AValencia76-73
12/11/23ABilbao87-84
09/11/23HVirtus Bologna100-74
05/11/23AGranada83-76
29/10/23HPalencia91-68
26/10/23HBarcelona65-64
22/10/23ATenerife82-76
19/10/23HOlimpia Milano88-71
17/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas93-79
15/10/23HMurcia106-92
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HAnadolu Efes82-89
12/11/23HNanterre91-82
10/11/23HLyon-Villeurbanne80-70
04/11/23ANancy86-94
02/11/23AOlimpia Milano72-66
28/10/23HGravelines-Dunkerque91-76
26/10/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv107-79
22/10/23AStrasbourg83-67
20/10/23HAlba Berlin86-75
18/10/23ACrvena zvezda82-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.386.586.0
Allowed / game74.072.076.7
Point differential+12.3+14.5+9.3
Avg total160.3158.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%60%67%
Points / game79.182.873.0
Allowed / game76.079.270.7
Point differential+3.1+3.6+2.3
Avg total155.1162.0143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid770100%86.374.0+12.3
2 Barcelona86275%82.474.5+7.9
3 Virtus Bologna86275%84.280.0+4.2
4 Monaco85362%79.176.0+3.1
5 Valencia85362%73.273.0+0.2
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv85362%83.884.5-0.8
7 Olympiacos95456%77.875.8+2.0
8 Fenerbahce95456%79.078.7+0.3
9 Panathinaikos84450%80.680.6+0.0
10 Baskonia84450%81.582.9-1.4
11 Anadolu Efes94544%78.886.1-7.3
12 Partizan83538%85.987.0-1.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas83538%81.583.1-1.6
14 Bayern83538%75.680.0-4.4
15 Crvena zvezda93633%81.678.3+3.2
16 Olimpia Milano93633%78.977.2+1.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne82625%77.986.9-9.0
18 Alba Berlin81712%76.884.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3023271191
Monaco2019112373
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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