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Real Madrid vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-78
23-13 31-18 17-22 19-25
Position#2
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.9
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Monaco
Position#10
Record15-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Monaco
22 Jan 2026
MAD90
MCO78
19 Dec 2024
MAD94
MCO72
16 Nov 2023
MAD91
MCO73
08 Dec 2022
MAD94
MCO95
13 Oct 2021
MAD94
MCO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 82
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
91-80
91
80
+11
75avg 82
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
W
107-93
107
93
+14
106avg 82
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 82
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 82
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
98avg 82
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
74avg 82
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
no box
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
106-77
106
77
+29
114avg 82
H20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
19-24
25-12
20-16
22-18
19-14
26-23
24-25
27-24
17-34
29-16
34-19
24-28
20-20
31-29
25-28
17-18
19-23
20-20
24-8
21-25
27-22
28-18
22-21
13-21
27-20
21-17
29-27
21-14
22-17
20-16
17-14
9-24
34-19
33-17
18-19
30-23
24-13
24-19
28-22
175.4Avg total
93.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.782.9170.6+4.765%
Season at home (12)92.381.1173.4+11.292%
Season away (11)82.584.9167.5-2.436%
Last 10 (10)93.781.7175.4+12.090%
Last 5 (5)93.677.6171.2+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.286.5173.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (21)91.281.2172.4+10.090%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
W
95-72
95
72
+23
100avg 90
A23/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
100-95
100
95
+5
92avg 90
H26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
85avg 90
A30/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
101-84
101
84
+17
101avg 90
H06/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 90
A08/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
W
93-79
93
79
+14
97avg 90
A10/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
101-82
101
82
+19
97avg 90
H13/01
LNB
Paris
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 90
H17/01
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
96-100 OT
96
100
-4
84avg 90
H20/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-14
23-20
20-19
17-19
21-20
26-23
23-27
30-25
22-13
25-17
22-23
21-21
28-21
26-18
20-24
27-21
26-28
27-14
23-28
25-22
23-17
19-24
27-17
24-21
26-19
26-25
24-24
25-14
27-23
25-20
24-21
19-23
22-26
31-18
34-21
12-23
21-27
23-23
27-18
19-22
182.4Avg total
97.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)92.084.8176.8+7.265%
Season at home (11)98.486.9185.3+11.573%
Season away (12)86.282.8169.0+3.358%
Last 10 (10)97.185.3182.4+11.890%
Last 5 (5)96.887.2184.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)97.292.2189.4+4.969%
vs Weaker (15)92.877.9170.7+14.987%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Real MadridMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
46-54
46
54
-8
H28/12
ACB
Murcia
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A30/12
ACB
Dubai
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H02/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H04/01
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/01
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H16/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H20/01
Euroleague
87.0Avg total
43.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.286.5+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.988.5+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)43.241.484.6+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.187.0+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.685.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
vs Weaker (21)45.443.088.4+2.462%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
A23/12
LNB
Real Madrid
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A30/12
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A08/01
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#15
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H13/01
LNB
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A15/01
Euroleague
Limoges
#13
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H17/01
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H20/01
Euroleague
91.2Avg total
50.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.940.588.4+7.480%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.243.093.2+7.288%-
Last 30 away (14)45.237.782.9+7.571%-
Last 10 (10)50.241.091.2+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)48.644.493.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)48.842.791.5+6.285%-
vs Weaker (15)46.737.784.3+9.080%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.1
59.7%
60.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.4
39.3%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws26.120.6
78.9%
78.2%20.6
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 98.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.523.5
58.0%
60.4%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.8
41.2%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.318.9
81.1%
78.2%18.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWW
Monaco
LWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#10
+11.3
Net rating
+16.6
122.1
Offensive rating
118.4
110.8
Defensive rating
101.8
59.4%
Effective FG%
59.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.3%
3-point %
41.2%
59.0%
Assist %
63.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence122.1 · 118.4Defence110.8 · 101.8Shooting59.4% · 59.5%3-point %39.3% · 41.2%Ball care14.0% · 14.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 32.2%Free throws0.43 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
4
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
26/12/25Monaco v Real Madrid100-95
31/01/25Monaco v Real Madrid77-73
19/12/24Real Madrid v Monaco94-72
19/01/24Monaco v Real Madrid98-74
16/11/23Real Madrid v Monaco91-73
03/02/23Monaco v Real Madrid91-95
08/12/22Real Madrid v Monaco94-95 OT
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HOlimpia Milano106-77
18/01/26HValencia94-79
16/01/26HBarcelona80-61
11/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra90-85
08/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-86
06/01/26ALyon-Villeurbanne80-69
04/01/26HBarcelona100-105
02/01/26HDubai107-93
30/12/25AMurcia91-80
28/12/25HUnicaja91-82
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/26HCrvena zvezda96-100 OT
17/01/26HLimoges99-88
15/01/26AParis95-87
13/01/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-82
10/01/26ANancy93-79
08/01/26AValencia101-92
06/01/26HPartizan101-84
30/12/25ABarcelona90-74
26/12/25HReal Madrid100-95
23/12/25ACholet95-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%92%36%
Points / game87.792.382.5
Allowed / game82.981.184.9
Point differential+4.7+11.2-2.4
Avg total170.6173.4167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%58%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%73%58%
Points / game92.098.486.2
Allowed / game84.886.982.8
Point differential+7.2+11.5+3.3
Avg total176.8185.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %9%9%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv2216673%86.881.0+5.8
2 Fenerbahce2215768%82.179.8+2.4
3 Monaco2315865%92.084.8+7.2
4 Olympiacos2315865%88.983.3+5.6
5 Real Madrid2315865%87.782.9+4.7
6 Barcelona2315865%86.784.3+2.3
7 Valencia2415962%90.185.7+4.4
8 Zalgiris Kaunas24141058%88.082.0+6.1
9 Panathinaikos24141058%86.684.1+2.5
10 Crvena zvezda23131057%86.685.3+1.2
11 Virtus Bologna23111248%82.382.6-0.3
12 Olimpia Milano24111346%85.086.3-1.3
13 Dubai23101343%85.687.9-2.3
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv24101442%88.991.6-2.7
15 Bayern2491538%79.583.8-4.3
16 Baskonia2381535%87.090.7-3.7
17 Paris2271532%89.892.5-2.8
18 Partizan2371630%78.989.0-10.0
19 Lyon-Villeurbanne2361726%78.286.9-8.7
20 Anadolu Efes2461825%78.884.7-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2331171990
Monaco1318222578
← all games of the day
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