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Real Madrid vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 94-72
29-22 24-13 24-12 17-25
Position#8
Record7-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.3
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Monaco
Position#4
Record11-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game80.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Monaco
22 Jan 2026
MAD90
MCO78
19 Dec 2024
MAD94
MCO72
16 Nov 2023
MAD91
MCO73
08 Dec 2022
MAD94
MCO95
13 Oct 2021
MAD94
MCO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 84
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
98-84
98
84
+14
102avg 84
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
95avg 84
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 84
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 84
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 84
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 84
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 84
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 84
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 84
A17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
23-12
15-34
19-19
23-22
32-33
24-13
19-16
22-17
12-21
20-14
20-22
23-21
22-19
12-19
19-21
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
169.6Avg total
87.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.183.3167.4+0.844%
Season at home (8)86.482.8169.1+3.662%
Season away (8)81.983.9165.8-2.025%
Last 10 (10)87.981.7169.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)89.081.0170.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.883.7166.5-0.842%
vs Weaker (16)87.977.4165.4+10.569%
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
81avg 86
H17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 86
H21/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
91-88
91
88
+3
90avg 86
A29/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
W
109-94
109
94
+15
132avg 86
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 86
H04/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
100-80
100
80
+20
80avg 86
H06/12
Euroleague
Paris
#1
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
112avg 86
A08/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
99-69
99
69
+30
99avg 86
A12/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
78-56
78
56
+22
94avg 86
H14/12
LNB
Bayern
#7
W
93-74
93
74
+19
92avg 86
H17/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
18-21
18-15
21-26
20-25
18-15
37-24
28-28
28-26
22-22
15-19
26-21
22-30
32-27
27-22
28-15
19-22
26-25
17-18
18-24
34-18
21-19
24-25
21-18
21-16
28-22
24-23
19-31
17-19
26-19
29-16
27-15
24-15
19-12
14-21
21-8
18-24
28-16
31-20
16-14
177.0Avg total
93.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.280.5167.7+6.769%
Season at home (9)91.784.9176.6+6.867%
Season away (7)81.474.9156.3+6.671%
Last 10 (10)93.183.9177.0+9.270%
Last 5 (5)94.878.0172.8+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.083.9171.9+4.150%
vs Weaker (16)85.873.5159.3+12.388%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
Real MadridMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
84.2Avg total
43.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.5+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.439.582.9+3.965%-
Last 30 away (13)40.541.481.9-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.184.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.481.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.942.482.3-2.533%-
vs Weaker (16)43.838.181.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H17/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H21/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A29/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#6
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A01/12
LNB
Olympiacos
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H06/12
Euroleague
Paris
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A08/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H14/12
LNB
Bayern
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/12
Euroleague
87.5Avg total
45.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.883.1+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.939.682.5+3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.839.983.7+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.841.787.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.236.083.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.643.589.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker (16)41.336.577.8+4.850%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.8
57.1%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.1
39.5%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
78.0%16.2
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.3
56.7%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.7
36.6%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.819.6
82.4%
78.0%19.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWLLLWWW
Monaco
WWWLWLWWWL
#8
League position
#4
+8.2
Net rating
+12.7
114.9
Offensive rating
124.4
106.7
Defensive rating
111.8
58.1%
Effective FG%
56.0%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.5%
3-point %
36.6%
66.2%
Assist %
69.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 124.4Defence106.7 · 111.8Shooting58.1% · 56.0%3-point %39.5% · 36.6%Ball care18.5% · 12.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
2
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
19/01/24Monaco v Real Madrid98-74
16/11/23Real Madrid v Monaco91-73
03/02/23Monaco v Real Madrid91-95
08/12/22Real Madrid v Monaco94-95 OT
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
01/12/24AJoventut Badalona76-80
28/11/24ABarcelona97-90 OT
21/11/24HAlba Berlin98-84
17/11/24HForca Lleida85-78
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HBayern93-74
14/12/24HLe Portel78-56
12/12/24AFenerbahce99-69
08/12/24AParis104-111 OT
06/12/24HAlba Berlin100-80
04/12/24HOlympiacos80-89
01/12/24AJL Bourg109-94
29/11/24APanathinaikos91-88
21/11/24HLyon-Villeurbanne103-92
17/11/24HLe Mans74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWLWLL62%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game84.186.481.9
Allowed / game83.382.883.9
Point differential+0.8+3.6-2.0
Avg total167.4169.1165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Monaco
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game87.291.781.4
Allowed / game80.584.974.9
Point differential+6.7+6.8+6.6
Avg total167.7176.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1611569%87.280.5+6.7
2 Paris1611569%86.883.6+3.2
3 Olympiacos1610662%85.080.9+4.1
4 Zalgiris Kaunas1610662%77.274.8+2.4
5 Bayern1610662%88.787.9+0.8
6 Fenerbahce1610662%77.979.1-1.2
7 Panathinaikos1710759%86.382.4+3.9
8 Anadolu Efes169756%84.981.9+3.0
9 Barcelona169756%86.384.9+1.4
10 Olimpia Milano169756%87.487.6-0.2
11 Crvena zvezda168850%83.682.4+1.1
12 Real Madrid167944%84.183.3+0.8
13 Partizan167944%81.480.9+0.5
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne167944%82.685.3-2.8
15 Baskonia1771041%78.281.5-3.3
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1641225%84.688.6-4.0
17 Virtus Bologna1631319%80.685.4-4.8
18 Alba Berlin1631319%79.691.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2924241794
Monaco2213122572
← all games of the day
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