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Real Madrid vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-95 (OT)
23-17 25-28 14-20 26-23 6-7
Position#2
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#4
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12
European cup2022
Meetings · Real Madrid v Monaco
22 Jan 2026
MAD90
MCO78
19 Dec 2024
MAD94
MCO72
16 Nov 2023
MAD91
MCO73
08 Dec 2022
MAD94
MCO95
13 Oct 2021
MAD94
MCO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
83-77
83
77
+6
85avg 78
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
89-94
89
94
-5
77avg 78
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 78
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
90-72
90
72
+18
91avg 78
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
93-57
93
57
+36
89avg 78
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 78
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
105-97
105
97
+8
104avg 78
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
73-55
73
55
+18
69avg 78
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
85-71
85
71
+14
92avg 78
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
79-62
79
62
+17
no box
H04/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-30
20-11
16-16
13-20
23-28
22-23
31-23
26-19
28-24
15-20
25-22
26-20
27-17
17-15
20-20
27-9
25-13
19-21
22-14
31-19
10-12
18-15
21-27
32-40
22-11
32-23
19-23
23-16
16-10
14-11
20-18
25-16
21-18
22-20
17-17
19-7
13-20
26-16
21-19
161.4Avg total
87.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.678.0162.6+6.673%
Season at home (6)89.882.3172.2+7.567%
Season away (5)78.472.8151.2+5.680%
Last 10 (10)87.174.3161.4+12.890%
Last 5 (5)84.471.6156.0+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)83.778.4162.1+5.464%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.974.4160.3+11.589%
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Dijon
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
98avg 81
H06/11
LNB
Valencia
#13
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 81
H18/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#15
L
80-84
80
84
-4
78avg 81
H20/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 81
H22/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 81
H25/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
83avg 81
A29/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 81
A01/12
Euroleague
Ada Blois
#16
W
88-70
88
70
+18
87avg 81
H04/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
97-78
97
78
+19
98avg 81
H06/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
27-21
13-20
24-28
20-20
20-21
14-23
30-25
20-24
28-21
10-18
21-11
24-20
20-22
16-21
20-21
18-21
20-24
22-34
33-17
17-14
17-19
19-17
27-29
25-19
24-24
24-17
17-21
20-20
25-25
15-15
24-15
23-15
30-20
20-20
15-15
33-15
22-21
15-22
27-20
168.0Avg total
85.9Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.480.2163.5+3.273%
Season at home (5)86.483.6170.0+2.880%
Season away (6)80.877.3158.2+3.567%
Last 10 (10)85.982.1168.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)87.876.6164.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (11)80.782.6163.4-1.955%
vs Weaker (18)87.181.4168.5+5.778%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Real MadridMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A03/11
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A06/11
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H10/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#17
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H20/11
ACB
Valencia
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A22/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H24/11
Euroleague
Real Betis
#17
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A27/11
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A02/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/12
ACB
82.3Avg total
45.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.835.977.8+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.735.979.6+7.888%-
Last 30 away (14)39.736.075.7+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)45.436.982.3+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)42.433.876.2+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.237.178.3+4.173%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.235.377.5+6.978%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H06/11
LNB
Valencia
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A11/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H18/11
Euroleague
Limoges
#15
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H20/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A29/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A01/12
Euroleague
Ada Blois
#16
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H04/12
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H06/12
LNB
86.5Avg total
45.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.381.8+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.538.683.1+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.980.6+0.762%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.286.5+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.485.6+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)33.037.070.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.038.777.7+0.364%-
vs Weaker (18)45.139.884.9+5.278%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.121.1
56.9%
53.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.3
36.6%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.116.4
85.9%
78.5%16.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.2
51.7%
53.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.5
40.1%
36.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.5
78.0%
78.5%19.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
Monaco
WWWWWLLWLL
#2
League position
#4
+17.5
Net rating
+6.4
117.4
Offensive rating
117.1
99.9
Defensive rating
110.6
56.1%
Effective FG%
54.6%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.6%
3-point %
40.1%
63.2%
Assist %
62.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.4 · 117.1Defence99.9 · 110.6Shooting56.1% · 54.6%3-point %36.6% · 40.1%Ball care18.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.8% · 28.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Real Madrid wins
0
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
28/01/22Monaco v Real Madrid84-90 OT
13/10/21Real Madrid v Monaco94-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HValencia79-62
02/12/22AFenerbahce85-71
27/11/22AReal Betis73-55
24/11/22HPartizan105-97
22/11/22AValencia80-73
20/11/22HMurcia93-57
17/11/22HAlba Berlin90-72
10/11/22HAnadolu Efes94-85
06/11/22ABasket Zaragoza89-94
03/11/22AOlimpia Milano83-77
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22HLyon-Villeurbanne97-78
04/12/22HAda Blois88-70
01/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne84-75
29/11/22ALe Mans90-81
25/11/22HBayern80-79
22/11/22HFenerbahce93-96
20/11/22HLimoges80-84
18/11/22HBaskonia79-74
11/11/22AValencia84-89
06/11/22HDijon84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%67%80%
Points / game84.689.878.4
Allowed / game78.082.372.8
Point differential+6.6+7.5+5.6
Avg total162.6172.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Monaco
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game83.486.480.8
Allowed / game80.283.677.3
Point differential+3.2+2.8+3.5
Avg total163.5170.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1210283%87.076.2+10.8
2 Real Madrid118373%84.678.0+6.6
3 Barcelona118373%81.077.1+3.9
4 Monaco118373%83.480.2+3.2
5 Olympiacos117464%84.079.1+4.9
6 Anadolu Efes116555%83.579.2+4.3
7 Baskonia116555%87.083.7+3.3
8 Zalgiris Kaunas116555%77.578.8-1.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv126650%82.683.2-0.7
10 Panathinaikos126650%80.381.3-1.0
11 Crvena zvezda126650%73.877.4-3.6
12 Valencia125742%79.283.0-3.8
13 Virtus Bologna114736%75.077.5-2.5
14 Bayern114736%75.878.6-2.8
15 Partizan124833%84.287.1-2.8
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne113827%72.077.9-5.9
17 Alba Berlin123925%81.084.2-3.2
18 Olimpia Milano123925%68.576.7-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Real Madrid23251426694
Monaco17282023795
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