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Real Madrid vs Tenerife Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 72-71
18-17 17-28 20-15 17-11
Position#2
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainSupercopa ACBSupercopa ACB - Semi-finals· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Other2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Tenerife
02 Jan 2027
MAD v TEN
upcoming
06 Jun 2026
MAD95
TEN107
02 Jun 2026
MAD97
TEN98
19 Apr 2026
MAD90
TEN95
27 Sep 2025
MAD72
TEN71
12 Jan 2025
MAD96
TEN86
10 Mar 2024
MAD80
TEN78
05 Feb 2023
MAD88
TEN77
03 Oct 2021
MAD86
TEN77
13 Apr 2021
MAD84
TEN76
13 Feb 2021
MAD85
TEN79
30 Sep 2018
MAD88
TEN73
27 May 2018
MAD83
TEN73
11 Feb 2018
MAD89
TEN76
13 Nov 2016
MAD86
TEN59
25 Oct 2015
MAD112
TEN89
01 Mar 2015
MAD94
TEN85
02 Mar 2014
MAD87
TEN76
17 Mar 2013
MAD83
TEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tenerife winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 81
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 81
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
112-103
112
103
+9
108avg 81
A06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 81
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 81
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 81
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
69avg 81
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 81
A25/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
32-17
20-28
24-21
15-14
22-24
22-13
23-25
27-33
27-23
34-25
24-22
29-14
22-17
24-22
24-28
23-19
23-22
21-17
23-17
13-23
21-25
26-22
24-16
16-22
23-21
22-20
25-16
19-15
16-17
29-28
25-15
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
23-19
16-21
21-9
21-21
175.9Avg total
92.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.983.0175.9+9.990%
Last 5 (5)88.481.2169.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)86.582.5169.0+4.071%
vs Weaker (16)89.080.6169.6+8.494%
TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTenerife
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 68
H09/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#4
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 68
H11/05
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#16
W
84-72
84
72
+12
82avg 68
A18/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
99-102
99
102
-3
95avg 68
H25/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
83-86
83
86
-3
73avg 68
A30/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
96-81
96
81
+15
94avg 68
H02/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-60
80
60
+20
86avg 68
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
65-83
65
83
-18
54avg 68
A10/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
74-105
74
105
-31
63avg 68
A12/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
87-94
87
94
-7
77avg 68
H14/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
19-20
12-24
25-26
21-11
18-17
16-18
18-31
20-11
16-22
15-19
33-20
23-26
20-30
27-32
29-14
26-31
16-14
26-18
15-23
22-21
20-20
28-22
26-18
22-16
14-21
25-13
19-10
19-23
18-24
22-20
6-16
10-23
25-32
22-20
17-30
29-20
16-19
15-33
27-22
167.1Avg total
82.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.185.0167.1-2.930%
Last 5 (5)80.484.6165.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.392.2171.5-12.80%
vs Similar (8)85.682.1167.8+3.575%
vs Weaker (15)86.179.5165.5+6.687%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Real MadridTenerife
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/06
ACB
85.7Avg total
44.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.482.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.939.783.6+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.280.7+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.485.7+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)43.241.384.5+1.957%-
vs Weaker (16)42.337.880.1+4.562%-
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Champions League
AEK Athens
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H11/05
Champions League
Forca Lleida
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A18/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H25/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H02/06
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A12/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/06
ACB
81.9Avg total
39.8Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.683.6-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.243.987.1-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.941.280.1-2.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.181.9-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.882.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.846.785.5-7.833%-
vs Similar (8)41.943.685.5-1.812%-
vs Weaker (15)41.139.680.7+1.547%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.7
58.5%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.1
37.0%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws21.717.4
80.2%
-17.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.8
51.3%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.6%
-28.2
🏀 Free throws20.817.5
84.1%
-17.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWWW
Tenerife
LLLWWLLWLL
#2
League position
#3
+12.8
Net rating
-3.7
121.4
Offensive rating
111.4
108.7
Defensive rating
115.1
57.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
33.6%
50.3%
Assist %
59.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Tenerife
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Tenerife wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/25AValencia81-70
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT
20/06/25HValencia89-75
17/06/25AUnicaja86-79
15/06/25AUnicaja84-86
13/06/25HUnicaja90-75
11/06/25HUnicaja99-81
06/06/25ABaskonia112-103
03/06/25HBaskonia82-76
30/05/25ABasket Zaragoza104-89
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HValencia87-94
12/06/25AValencia74-105
10/06/25AValencia65-83
04/06/25AJoventut Badalona80-60
02/06/25HJoventut Badalona96-81
30/05/25AManresa83-86
25/05/25HValencia99-102
18/05/25AForca Lleida84-72
11/05/25HAEK Athens73-77
09/05/25HGalatasaray80-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Supercopa ACB 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tenerife
Supercopa ACB 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia110100%93.087.0+6.0
2 Unicaja1010%87.093.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1817201772
Tenerife1728151171
← all games of the day
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