PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Madrid vs Baskonia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-76
15-14 22-24 22-13 23-25
Position#1
Record30-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game77.7
vs
Position#7
Record19-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game88.7
SpainACBACB - Quarter-finals· Movistar Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Real Madrid v Baskonia
18 Mar 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
07 Feb 2027
MAD v BAS
upcoming
27 May 2026
MAD83
BAS88
11 Dec 2025
MAD94
BAS87
03 Jun 2025
MAD82
BAS76
16 Mar 2025
MAD83
BAS78
23 Jan 2025
MAD90
BAS89
12 May 2024
MAD106
BAS100
25 Apr 2024
MAD101
BAS90
23 Apr 2024
MAD90
BAS74
05 Apr 2024
MAD91
BAS95
19 Mar 2023
MAD88
BAS95
07 Mar 2023
MAD81
BAS85
04 Jun 2022
MAD83
BAS71
02 Jun 2022
MAD94
BAS84
06 Mar 2022
MAD72
BAS80
14 Jan 2022
MAD89
BAS74
05 Feb 2021
MAD64
BAS84
02 Dec 2020
MAD92
BAS83
10 Feb 2019
MAD82
BAS76
19 Oct 2018
MAD97
BAS79
22 Sep 2018
MAD80
BAS73
15 Jun 2018
MAD98
BAS91
13 Jun 2018
MAD90
BAS94
03 May 2018
MAD101
BAS89
17 Jan 2018
MAD75
BAS73
09 Apr 2017
MAD86
BAS82
25 Oct 2016
MAD87
BAS91
18 May 2016
MAD93
BAS88
05 Feb 2016
MAD68
BAS77
11 Jan 2015
MAD75
BAS74
20 Oct 2013
MAD105
BAS72
28 Oct 2012
MAD83
BAS81
02 Jun 2012
MAD76
BAS69
26 May 2012
MAD73
BAS64
24 May 2012
MAD71
BAS81
22 Jan 2012
MAD84
BAS73
23 Apr 2011
MAD76
BAS71
04 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS62
02 Jun 2010
MAD80
BAS67
01 May 2010
MAD74
BAS80
04 Jun 2009
MAD102
BAS82
14 Feb 2009
MAD81
BAS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baskonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 81
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 81
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 81
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 81
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 81
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 81
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 81
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
54avg 81
A18/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 81
H25/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 81
A30/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
15-20
22-17
21-20
25-15
13-23
16-19
17-20
15-21
19-8
27-24
18-18
28-21
10-23
20-12
22-16
21-16
26-26
18-26
19-18
27-20
19-24
28-19
22-26
24-13
10-14
25-27
20-15
21-10
18-16
14-20
14-19
18-9
18-18
21-23
22-17
28-23
32-17
20-28
24-21
158.0Avg total
81.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)87.377.7164.9+9.688%
Season at home (17)89.176.7165.8+12.4100%
Season away (17)85.478.6164.1+6.876%
Last 10 (10)81.176.9158.0+4.270%
Last 5 (5)85.075.8160.8+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.684.5169.1+0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.074.8158.8+9.2100%
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaskonia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
92-76
92
76
+16
89avg 79
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
89-111
89
111
-22
82avg 79
A10/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 79
A12/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
86avg 79
H20/04
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
117avg 79
A27/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
90-84
90
84
+6
84avg 79
H03/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
58avg 79
A10/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
110-98
110
98
+12
105avg 79
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
100-97
100
97
+3
99avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
105-101
105
101
+4
104avg 79
A30/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
24-24
27-23
19-18
18-31
17-31
26-20
28-29
28-20
15-18
24-20
24-24
29-26
23-25
19-16
18-26
29-19
22-25
25-24
18-26
22-23
22-19
21-16
25-26
13-27
18-21
14-17
26-25
19-23
38-21
26-31
27-23
26-20
23-23
22-33
29-21
29-25
23-25
27-25
26-26
192.2Avg total
96.5Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)89.088.7177.7+0.356%
Season at home (17)93.889.1182.9+4.865%
Season away (17)84.288.3172.5-4.147%
Last 10 (10)96.595.7192.2+0.870%
Last 5 (5)95.294.0189.2+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.695.1184.7-5.629%
vs Similar (16)88.886.7175.4+2.162%
vs Weaker (7)92.487.0179.4+5.471%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.4-0.4
Real MadridBaskonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A18/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H25/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A30/05
ACB
76.5Avg total
40.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.779.2+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.640.684.1+3.050%-
Last 30 away (16)39.835.174.9+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)40.136.476.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.032.875.8+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)42.341.683.9+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.934.275.1+6.869%-
This opponent (Baskonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaskoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H06/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A10/04
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/04
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H20/04
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A27/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H03/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A10/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/05
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A30/05
ACB
91.7Avg total
46.0Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.587.3-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.541.989.4+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)38.646.885.4-8.231%-
Last 10 (10)46.045.791.7+0.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.492.0+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.745.387.0-3.643%-
vs Similar (16)42.744.286.9-1.556%-
vs Weaker (7)44.044.488.4-0.443%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.5
57.3%
54.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.0
72.2%
76.4%14.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baskoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baskonia: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.423.5
61.2%
54.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.3
37.9%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
76.4%17.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWLWWLL
Baskonia
WWWLWWLWLW
#1
League position
#7
+6.2
Net rating
+0.5
108.8
Offensive rating
124.2
102.6
Defensive rating
123.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
59.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
37.9%
61.7%
Assist %
58.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 124.2Defence102.6 · 123.7Shooting54.3% · 59.4%3-point %33.5% · 37.9%Ball care19.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 35.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Baskonia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Baskonia wins
DateGameScore
16/03/25Real Madrid v Baskonia83-78
23/01/25Real Madrid v Baskonia90-89
06/01/25Baskonia v Real Madrid82-89
15/10/24Baskonia v Real Madrid76-72
12/05/24Real Madrid v Baskonia106-100
01/05/24Baskonia v Real Madrid98-102
25/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia101-90
23/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia90-74
05/04/24Real Madrid v Baskonia91-95
07/01/24Baskonia v Real Madrid85-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25ABasket Zaragoza104-89
25/05/25HGranada79-67
18/05/25AManresa67-65
11/05/25ABreogan79-69
04/05/25HValencia96-89
01/05/25HOlympiacos84-86
29/04/25HOlympiacos80-72
27/04/25ABasquet Girona79-71
25/04/25AOlympiacos71-77
23/04/25AOlympiacos72-84
Baskonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25ALeyma Coruna105-101
24/05/25HBilbao100-97
18/05/25HBarcelona110-98
10/05/25AJoventut Badalona71-90
03/05/25HBasket Zaragoza90-84
27/04/25AValencia128-125 OT
20/04/25HTenerife89-93
12/04/25AMurcia91-82
10/04/25AOlimpia Milano89-111
06/04/25HBasquet Girona92-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %88%100%76%
Points / game87.389.185.4
Allowed / game77.776.778.6
Point differential+9.6+12.4+6.8
Avg total164.9165.8164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%53%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baskonia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWLWWW65%
AwayLWWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game89.093.884.2
Allowed / game88.789.188.3
Point differential+0.3+4.8-4.1
Avg total177.7182.9172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)50% (8)70% (10)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3430488%87.377.7+9.6
2 Valencia3526974%96.885.3+11.5
3 Tenerife3526974%87.683.1+4.5
4 Unicaja34231168%89.984.0+5.9
5 Barcelona34211362%92.186.4+5.8
6 Joventut Badalona35201557%84.983.5+1.4
7 Baskonia34191556%89.088.7+0.3
8 Gran Canaria35191654%83.583.7-0.1
9 Manresa34171750%87.084.8+2.1
10 Murcia34171750%82.281.7+0.5
11 MoraBanc Andorra34142041%87.691.0-3.3
12 Basket Zaragoza34132138%89.290.8-1.6
13 Breogan34132138%79.286.7-7.6
14 Basquet Girona34122235%82.188.2-6.1
15 Bilbao34112332%81.984.5-2.7
16 Forca Lleida34112332%82.688.0-5.5
17 Granada3492526%81.287.3-6.1
18 Leyma Coruna3472721%86.495.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1522222382
Baskonia1424132576
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.