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Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 70-81
19-23 21-16 9-21 21-21
Position#2
Record30-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#1
Record37-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.9
SpainACBACB - Final· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid
01 Apr 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2027
VAL v MAD
upcoming
22 May 2026
VAL90
MAD105
25 Apr 2026
VAL82
MAD96
11 Nov 2025
VAL89
MAD76
25 Jun 2025
VAL70
MAD81
22 Dec 2024
VAL85
MAD84
10 May 2024
VAL99
MAD93
14 Nov 2023
VAL73
MAD76
12 May 2023
VAL68
MAD79
22 Nov 2022
VAL73
MAD80
10 Oct 2021
VAL79
MAD93
08 Jun 2021
VAL85
MAD67
19 Feb 2021
VAL89
MAD78
01 Nov 2020
VAL78
MAD86
05 Oct 2018
VAL70
MAD88
20 Mar 2018
VAL96
MAD88
15 Oct 2017
VAL82
MAD86
16 Jun 2017
VAL87
MAD76
14 Jun 2017
VAL81
MAD64
06 Oct 2016
VAL75
MAD94
09 Jun 2016
VAL80
MAD82
07 Jun 2016
VAL87
MAD86
28 Feb 2016
VAL94
MAD95
11 Jun 2015
VAL84
MAD90
09 Jun 2015
VAL100
MAD103
15 Feb 2015
VAL87
MAD99
22 Dec 2013
VAL75
MAD82
07 Apr 2013
VAL88
MAD79
11 Mar 2012
VAL83
MAD66
31 Mar 2011
VAL81
MAD72
29 Mar 2011
VAL66
MAD75
19 Feb 2011
VAL59
MAD52
13 Mar 2010
VAL67
MAD78
19 Nov 2008
VAL82
MAD66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
82avg 91
A17/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
102-99
102
99
+3
97avg 91
A25/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
108-61
108
61
+47
116avg 91
H30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
98-74
98
74
+24
84avg 91
H02/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
102-94 OT
102
94
+8
94avg 91
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
83-65
83
65
+18
80avg 91
H10/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
105-74
105
74
+31
105avg 91
H12/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
94-87
94
87
+7
90avg 91
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
56avg 91
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
86avg 91
A22/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
28-27
17-19
27-25
26-23
30-20
32-27
14-29
25-13
22-18
29-12
32-18
26-15
18-26
34-8
20-25
16-24
27-22
24-26
23-18
23-19
24-18
20-22
16-6
23-10
32-25
20-22
30-17
20-29
19-16
33-15
22-27
15-19
17-16
28-29
15-25
25-22
20-26
23-21
21-20
178.4Avg total
95.4Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)96.185.2181.4+10.973%
Season at home (20)98.282.4180.6+15.885%
Season away (21)94.288.0182.1+6.262%
Last 10 (10)95.483.0178.4+12.480%
Last 5 (5)90.683.4174.0+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.795.7182.3-9.00%
vs Weaker (26)95.082.7177.7+12.377%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 81
H25/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 81
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 81
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
112-103
112
103
+9
108avg 81
A06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 81
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 81
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 81
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
69avg 81
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
18-18
21-23
22-17
28-23
32-17
20-28
24-21
15-14
22-24
22-13
23-25
27-33
27-23
34-25
24-22
29-14
22-17
24-22
24-28
23-19
23-22
21-17
23-17
13-23
21-25
26-22
24-16
16-22
23-21
22-20
25-16
19-15
16-17
29-28
25-15
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
175.4Avg total
92.7Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)88.478.9167.2+9.588%
Season at home (22)89.977.6167.5+12.3100%
Season away (20)86.780.2166.9+6.575%
Last 10 (10)92.782.7175.4+10.090%
Last 5 (5)90.282.2172.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)86.983.5170.4+3.569%
vs Weaker (17)88.580.0168.5+8.594%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
ValenciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A17/05
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A25/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H30/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H02/06
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A04/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H12/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A20/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A22/06
ACB
85.7Avg total
45.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.741.785.4+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.587.3+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.983.4+1.540%-
Last 10 (10)45.540.285.7+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.083.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.343.083.3-2.70%-
vs Weaker (26)44.541.686.2+2.958%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Granada
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H25/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
84.1Avg total
44.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.282.4+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.439.383.8+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.739.180.9+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.184.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.541.484.9+2.262%-
vs Weaker (17)42.937.680.5+5.365%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.8
53.6%
54.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.814.5
41.7%
35.6%43.5
🏀 Free throws16.713.5
80.8%
76.4%13.5
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.1
59.6%
54.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.9
36.6%
35.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.717.2
79.3%
76.4%17.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
LLWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+16.0
Net rating
+13.7
123.7
Offensive rating
121.6
107.7
Defensive rating
107.9
58.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.7%
3-point %
36.6%
55.6%
Assist %
51.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence123.7 · 121.6Defence107.7 · 107.9Shooting58.0% · 57.4%3-point %41.7% · 36.6%Ball care15.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds34.7% · 31.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 90%
■ Valencia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
22/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia102-96 OT
20/06/25Real Madrid v Valencia89-75
04/05/25Real Madrid v Valencia96-89
22/12/24Valencia v Real Madrid85-84
10/05/24Valencia v Real Madrid99-93
17/02/24Real Madrid v Valencia95-76
11/01/24Real Madrid v Valencia96-86 OT
31/12/23Real Madrid v Valencia83-74
14/11/23Valencia v Real Madrid73-76
12/05/23Valencia v Real Madrid68-79
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25AReal Madrid96-102 OT
20/06/25AReal Madrid75-89
14/06/25ATenerife94-87
12/06/25HTenerife105-74
10/06/25HTenerife83-65
04/06/25AGran Canaria102-94 OT
02/06/25HGran Canaria98-74
30/05/25HBreogan108-61
25/05/25ATenerife102-99
17/05/25ABasquet Girona91-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT
20/06/25HValencia89-75
17/06/25AUnicaja86-79
15/06/25AUnicaja84-86
13/06/25HUnicaja90-75
11/06/25HUnicaja99-81
06/06/25ABaskonia112-103
03/06/25HBaskonia82-76
30/05/25ABasket Zaragoza104-89
25/05/25HGranada79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL73%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayWWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %73%85%62%
Points / game96.198.294.2
Allowed / game85.282.488.0
Point differential+10.9+15.8+6.2
Avg total181.4180.6182.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%65%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game88.489.986.7
Allowed / game78.977.680.2
Point differential+9.5+12.3+6.5
Avg total167.2167.5166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%55%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)100% (4)44% (9)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid4237588%88.478.9+9.5
2 Valencia41301173%96.185.2+10.9
3 Tenerife39271269%86.583.3+3.1
4 Unicaja41261563%89.184.7+4.4
5 Barcelona37221559%91.686.8+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona36201656%84.283.4+0.8
7 Baskonia36191753%89.089.1-0.1
8 Gran Canaria36191753%83.884.2-0.3
9 Manresa34171750%87.084.8+2.1
10 Murcia34171750%82.281.7+0.5
11 MoraBanc Andorra34142041%87.691.0-3.3
12 Basket Zaragoza34132138%89.290.8-1.6
13 Breogan34132138%79.286.7-7.6
14 Basquet Girona34122235%82.188.2-6.1
15 Bilbao34112332%81.984.5-2.7
16 Forca Lleida34112332%82.688.0-5.5
17 Granada3492526%81.287.3-6.1
18 Leyma Coruna3472721%86.495.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia192192170
Real Madrid2316212181
← all games of the day
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