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Real Madrid vs Tenerife Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game77.2
SpainACBRound 16· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Tenerife
02 Jan 2027
MAD v TEN
upcoming
06 Jun 2026
MAD95
TEN107
02 Jun 2026
MAD97
TEN98
19 Apr 2026
MAD90
TEN95
27 Sep 2025
MAD72
TEN71
12 Jan 2025
MAD96
TEN86
10 Mar 2024
MAD80
TEN78
05 Feb 2023
MAD88
TEN77
03 Oct 2021
MAD86
TEN77
13 Apr 2021
MAD84
TEN76
13 Feb 2021
MAD85
TEN79
30 Sep 2018
MAD88
TEN73
27 May 2018
MAD83
TEN73
11 Feb 2018
MAD89
TEN76
13 Nov 2016
MAD86
TEN59
25 Oct 2015
MAD112
TEN89
01 Mar 2015
MAD94
TEN85
02 Mar 2014
MAD87
TEN76
17 Mar 2013
MAD83
TEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tenerife win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
120-83
120
83
+37
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
119-84
119
84
+35
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
122-86
122
86
+36
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
H29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
32-21
21-26
24-30
27-19
26-18
18-20
15-19
34-22
28-16
24-18
34-27
21-25
32-15
31-27
14-22
27-25
34-23
16-23
34-21
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
196.0Avg total
108.2Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)112.889.4202.2+23.4100%
Season at home (3)109.384.7194.0+24.7100%
Season away (2)118.096.5214.5+21.5100%
Last 10 (10)108.287.8196.0+20.4100%
Last 5 (5)110.686.2196.8+24.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.082.0178.0+14.0100%
vs Similar (9)94.089.9183.9+4.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)99.589.8189.3+9.660%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TenerifeSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H27/09
ACB
Turk Telekom
#27
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#5
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A03/10
ACB
London Lions
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A06/10
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
90-77
90
77
+13
A11/10
ACB
Maxima Roma
#20
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#17
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-26
27-24
15-13
24-17
20-20
21-19
17-19
21-23
18-16
20-16
21-20
19-18
23-28
16-19
19-24
16-13
28-20
22-24
24-20
26-14
19-19
20-15
31-23
25-18
14-18
15-24
28-17
14-22
17-21
43-23
30-28
20-19
29-14
30-17
27-26
24-25
24-16
17-25
17-14
167.4Avg total
87.9Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.677.2164.8+10.480%
Season at home (3)89.378.0167.3+11.367%
Season away (2)85.076.0161.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.979.5167.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)94.079.6173.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)87.295.5182.7-8.330%
vs Similar (9)83.181.9165.0+1.244%
vs Weaker (11)92.785.5178.2+7.364%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +7.9+7.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
Real MadridTenerife
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A04/10
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#18
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H11/10
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#9
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
97.4Avg total
55.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.944.593.4+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.743.292.9+6.571%-
Last 30 away (16)48.245.693.8+2.769%-
Last 10 (10)55.342.197.4+13.290%-
Last 5 (5)54.043.097.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.041.086.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)46.146.192.2+0.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)50.443.994.3+6.575%-
This opponent (Tenerife) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TenerifeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/09
ACB
Turk Telekom
#27
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H30/09
Eurocup
Unicaja
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A03/10
ACB
London Lions
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/10
Eurocup
Murcia
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A11/10
ACB
Maxima Roma
#20
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/10
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/10
ACB
Frankfurt
#15
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A21/10
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/10
ACB
Venezia
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H28/10
Eurocup
80.4Avg total
41.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.183.7+5.479%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.384.6-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.580.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.279.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.745.588.2-2.850%-
vs Similar (9)41.737.779.3+4.067%-
vs Weaker (11)43.940.684.5+3.364%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 108.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.3
57.0%
55.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.615.3
43.0%
36.2%45.9
🏀 Free throws26.621.9
82.3%
75.7%21.9
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tenerifetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tenerife: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.0
53.8%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.311.1
42.2%
36.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.6
79.4%
75.7%16.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
Tenerife
WWWWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#2
+22.2
Net rating
+10.3
114.9
Offensive rating
105.2
92.7
Defensive rating
94.9
60.7%
Effective FG%
57.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
13.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
43.0%
3-point %
42.2%
64.9%
Assist %
66.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 105.2Defence92.7 · 94.9Shooting60.7% · 57.9%3-point %43.0% · 42.2%Ball care13.2% · 13.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Tenerife
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Tenerife wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
15/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne111-92
13/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-89
11/10/26HManresa120-83
08/10/26HPartizan86-76
04/10/26AObradoiro CAB114-107 OT
Tenerifelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HVenezia82-80
25/10/26HObradoiro CAB106-76
21/10/26AFrankfurt104-94
18/10/26HBaskonia82-77
14/10/26HMaxima Roma96-71
11/10/26AMurcia90-77
06/10/26ALondon Lions77-89
03/10/26AUnicaja80-75
30/09/26HTurk Telekom82-75
27/09/26HBasket Zaragoza80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game112.8109.3118.0
Allowed / game89.484.796.5
Point differential+23.4+24.7+21.5
Avg total202.2194.0214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%0%50%
Tenerife
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game87.689.385.0
Allowed / game77.278.076.0
Point differential+10.4+11.3+9.0
Avg total164.8167.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%112.889.4+23.4
2 Tenerife54180%87.677.2+10.4
3 Baskonia53260%92.282.8+9.4
4 Valencia53260%96.688.8+7.8
5 Unicaja53260%88.283.0+5.2
6 Breogan53260%103.6100.4+3.2
7 Barcelona53260%98.096.2+1.8
8 Basket Zaragoza53260%89.089.0+0.0
9 Bilbao53260%95.295.6-0.4
10 Basquet Girona53260%93.097.4-4.4
11 Obradoiro CAB53260%88.693.2-4.6
12 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
13 Joventut Badalona52340%94.693.6+1.0
14 Murcia52340%87.093.0-6.0
15 MoraBanc Andorra51420%85.693.6-8.0
16 Forca Lleida51420%91.8103.2-11.4
17 Leyma Coruna51420%89.4102.0-12.6
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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