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Unicaja vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-84
23-13 25-21 22-26 16-24
Position#4
Record25-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game84.6
Unicaja 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#1
Record34-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.3
SpainACBACB - Semi-finals· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Unicaja v Real Madrid
09 May 2027
UNI v MAD
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
UNI92
MAD96
17 Jun 2025
UNI79
MAD86
15 Jun 2025
UNI86
MAD84
23 Mar 2025
UNI105
MAD107
16 Feb 2025
UNI93
MAD79
17 Mar 2024
UNI81
MAD87
17 Sep 2023
UNI81
MAD88
09 Oct 2022
UNI71
MAD76
13 Feb 2022
UNI91
MAD92
23 May 2021
UNI90
MAD96
16 Feb 2020
UNI68
MAD95
03 Feb 2019
UNI103
MAD102
01 Apr 2018
UNI88
MAD89
19 Jan 2018
UNI80
MAD75
04 Jun 2017
UNI73
MAD76
12 Feb 2017
UNI82
MAD78
08 May 2016
UNI62
MAD88
02 Oct 2015
UNI94
MAD79
30 Dec 2014
UNI99
MAD92
12 Jun 2014
UNI79
MAD89
10 Jun 2014
UNI88
MAD75
25 May 2014
UNI83
MAD86
20 Jan 2013
UNI67
MAD91
17 Jan 2013
UNI64
MAD72
19 Jan 2012
UNI80
MAD81
13 Nov 2011
UNI80
MAD96
19 Mar 2011
UNI69
MAD68
02 Dec 2010
UNI75
MAD71
17 Oct 2009
UNI79
MAD81
04 Oct 2008
UNI82
MAD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unicaja winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnicajaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnicaja
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
W
71-65
71
65
+6
61avg 85
A09/05
Champions League
Galatasaray
#6
W
83-67
83
67
+16
76avg 85
A11/05
Champions League
Murcia
#10
W
104-93 OT
104
93
+11
98avg 85
H18/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
98-69
98
69
+29
102avg 85
A25/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
78-83
78
83
-5
69avg 85
H30/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
97-101 OT
97
101
-4
88avg 85
H03/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
81-59
81
59
+22
81avg 85
A06/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
77avg 85
H08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
81-99
81
99
-18
76avg 85
A11/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-90
75
90
-15
68avg 85
A13/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
14-11
13-24
21-10
19-13
18-18
19-18
27-18
17-13
19-22
25-22
23-27
28-23
28-12
21-21
21-13
11-13
26-20
22-21
19-29
21-16
25-21
14-25
25-23
26-17
18-18
21-13
16-11
24-18
19-24
12-22
29-20
14-29
17-22
22-24
28-24
19-23
22-23
17-21
17-23
168.6Avg total
86.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)89.484.6174.1+4.864%
Season at home (19)95.585.9181.4+9.679%
Season away (20)83.783.5167.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)86.582.1168.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)86.288.8175.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)84.095.0179.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)91.985.3177.2+6.667%
vs Weaker (16)91.181.1172.1+10.081%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 81
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 81
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 81
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
54avg 81
A18/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 81
H25/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
104-89
104
89
+15
100avg 81
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 81
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
112-103
112
103
+9
108avg 81
A06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 81
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
H13/06
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
26-26
18-26
19-18
27-20
19-24
28-19
22-26
24-13
10-14
25-27
20-15
21-10
18-16
14-20
14-19
18-9
18-18
21-23
22-17
28-23
32-17
20-28
24-21
15-14
22-24
22-13
23-25
27-33
27-23
34-25
24-22
29-14
22-17
24-22
24-28
23-19
23-22
21-17
23-17
169.2Avg total
89.2Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)88.278.3166.5+9.889%
Season at home (20)89.376.8166.1+12.5100%
Season away (18)86.980.0166.9+6.978%
Last 10 (10)89.280.0169.2+9.290%
Last 5 (5)97.484.8182.2+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)84.183.2167.3+0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.778.6166.3+9.1100%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
UnicajaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#4
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/05
Champions League
Galatasaray
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/05
Champions League
Murcia
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#16
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A25/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H30/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A06/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A11/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A13/06
ACB
78.4Avg total
40.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.783.8+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.941.286.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.181.6+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.678.4+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.546.886.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (9)42.439.982.3+2.678%-
vs Weaker (16)44.639.584.1+5.162%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A18/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H25/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/06
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A06/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/06
ACB
82.2Avg total
45.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.882.1+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.039.783.7+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)42.437.980.3+4.664%-
Last 10 (10)45.037.282.2+7.880%-
Last 5 (5)49.641.290.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)43.041.884.8+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.436.980.3+6.667%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.8
54.3%
54.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.4
74.6%
76.4%14.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.8
58.2%
54.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.3
36.9%
35.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.118.3
75.9%
76.4%18.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unicaja
LLWWLLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#1
+5.4
Net rating
+13.1
109.2
Offensive rating
116.5
103.8
Defensive rating
103.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.7%
3-point %
36.9%
59.1%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 116.5Defence103.8 · 103.4Shooting52.3% · 56.9%3-point %32.7% · 36.9%Ball care16.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Unicaja   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Unicaja wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
13/06/25Real Madrid v Unicaja90-75
11/06/25Real Madrid v Unicaja99-81
23/03/25Unicaja v Real Madrid105-107
16/02/25Unicaja v Real Madrid93-79
08/12/24Real Madrid v Unicaja90-77
22/09/24Real Madrid v Unicaja80-90
17/03/24Unicaja v Real Madrid81-87
19/11/23Real Madrid v Unicaja93-99
17/09/23Unicaja v Real Madrid81-88
07/05/23Real Madrid v Unicaja102-90
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/25AReal Madrid75-90
11/06/25AReal Madrid81-99
08/06/25HBarcelona97-95 OT
06/06/25ABarcelona81-59
03/06/25HBarcelona97-101 OT
30/05/25HJoventut Badalona78-83
25/05/25AForca Lleida98-69
18/05/25HMurcia104-93 OT
11/05/25AGalatasaray83-67
09/05/25AAEK Athens71-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/25HUnicaja90-75
11/06/25HUnicaja99-81
06/06/25ABaskonia112-103
03/06/25HBaskonia82-76
30/05/25ABasket Zaragoza104-89
25/05/25HGranada79-67
18/05/25AManresa67-65
11/05/25ABreogan79-69
04/05/25HValencia96-89
01/05/25HOlympiacos84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unicaja
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL64%
HomeWWLLW79%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game89.495.583.7
Allowed / game84.685.983.5
Point differential+4.8+9.6+0.2
Avg total174.1181.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %8%16%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %89%100%78%
Points / game88.289.386.9
Allowed / game78.376.880.0
Point differential+9.8+12.5+6.9
Avg total166.5166.1166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3834489%88.278.3+9.8
2 Valencia3930977%96.784.7+12.0
3 Tenerife39271269%86.583.3+3.1
4 Unicaja39251464%89.484.6+4.8
5 Barcelona37221559%91.686.8+4.8
6 Joventut Badalona36201656%84.283.4+0.8
7 Baskonia36191753%89.089.1-0.1
8 Gran Canaria36191753%83.884.2-0.3
9 Manresa34171750%87.084.8+2.1
10 Murcia34171750%82.281.7+0.5
11 MoraBanc Andorra34142041%87.691.0-3.3
12 Basket Zaragoza34132138%89.290.8-1.6
13 Breogan34132138%79.286.7-7.6
14 Basquet Girona34122235%82.188.2-6.1
15 Bilbao34112332%81.984.5-2.7
16 Forca Lleida34112332%82.688.0-5.5
17 Granada3492526%81.287.3-6.1
18 Leyma Coruna3472721%86.495.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Unicaja2325221686
Real Madrid1321262484
← all games of the day
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