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Basket Zaragoza vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 89-104
23-28 17-32 28-20 21-24
Position#12
Record13-20
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#1
Record29-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game77.3
SpainACBRound 34· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid
20 Dec 2026
ZAR v MAD
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ZAR83
MAD95
30 May 2025
ZAR89
MAD104
21 Apr 2024
ZAR70
MAD79
06 Nov 2022
ZAR94
MAD89
04 Dec 2021
ZAR65
MAD86
02 May 2021
ZAR89
MAD98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
L
95-97
95
97
-2
91avg 82
A23/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
89-93
89
93
-4
84avg 82
H29/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
81avg 82
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 82
A20/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
87-97
87
97
-10
82avg 82
H26/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
W
84-76
84
76
+8
66avg 82
H30/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
84-90
84
90
-6
75avg 82
A03/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
77avg 82
H11/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
107avg 82
A18/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 82
A24/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
25-22
25-26
18-29
21-22
25-21
17-29
26-21
20-24
28-27
16-21
19-23
23-24
19-18
23-22
20-26
21-24
19-19
28-23
19-31
26-27
10-21
23-14
25-14
23-22
19-22
16-21
26-25
21-22
23-22
18-16
26-35
20-25
28-28
21-20
14-10
26-19
16-25
22-24
15-21
181.1Avg total
88.5Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.290.4179.6-1.239%
Season at home (16)90.084.9174.9+5.162%
Season away (17)88.595.5184.1-7.018%
Last 10 (10)88.592.6181.1-4.120%
Last 5 (5)89.290.8180.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)85.492.6178.0-7.122%
vs Similar (15)87.589.7177.1-2.227%
vs Weaker (6)90.885.8176.7+5.050%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
98-97
98
97
+1
95avg 81
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
67avg 81
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-77
71
77
-6
70avg 81
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 81
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 81
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
81avg 81
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 81
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 81
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
54avg 81
A18/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
79-67
79
67
+12
77avg 81
H25/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
17-15
30-25
22-28
14-27
15-20
22-17
21-20
25-15
13-23
16-19
17-20
15-21
19-8
27-24
18-18
28-21
10-23
20-12
22-16
21-16
26-26
18-26
19-18
27-20
19-24
28-19
22-26
24-13
10-14
25-27
20-15
21-10
18-16
14-20
14-19
18-9
18-18
21-23
22-17
158.2Avg total
80.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.877.3164.1+9.488%
Season at home (17)89.176.7165.8+12.4100%
Season away (16)84.278.0162.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)80.577.7158.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)81.075.2156.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)84.684.5169.1+0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.773.9156.5+8.8100%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Basket ZaragozaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A23/03
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H29/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A06/04
ACB
Breogan
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/04
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#18
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H30/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A03/05
ACB
Granada
#17
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/05
ACB
Bilbao
#15
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/05
ACB
89.4Avg total
44.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.586.7-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.142.783.8-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)43.246.089.2-2.825%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.489.4-1.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.689.0-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.043.384.3-2.344%-
vs Similar (15)42.145.187.2-3.127%-
vs Weaker (6)44.544.589.0+0.033%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A23/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#14
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A27/04
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/04
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H01/05
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H04/05
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A11/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A18/05
ACB
Granada
#17
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H25/05
ACB
75.5Avg total
38.7Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.378.3+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.983.4+3.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.534.873.3+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.875.5+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.273.6+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)42.341.683.9+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.733.873.5+5.967%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.9
55.6%
54.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.7
36.5%
35.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.913.4
74.9%
76.4%13.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.7
58.0%
54.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.1
32.3%
35.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
76.4%14.2
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWLLWLLLLL
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWLLW
#12
League position
#1
-6.1
Net rating
+4.6
114.2
Offensive rating
108.7
120.3
Defensive rating
104.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.3%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
32.3%
58.9%
Assist %
61.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 108.7Defence120.3 · 104.1Shooting55.2% · 54.0%3-point %36.5% · 32.3%Ball care19.0% · 19.3%Off. rebounds37.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25AJoventut Badalona79-89
18/05/25ABilbao111-104 OT
11/05/25HGranada88-95
03/05/25ABaskonia84-90
30/04/25HLeyma Coruna84-76
26/04/25HGran Canaria87-97
20/04/25ABreogan85-90
06/04/25AManresa83-95
29/03/25HTenerife89-93
23/03/25ABarcelona95-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/25HGranada79-67
18/05/25AManresa67-65
11/05/25ABreogan79-69
04/05/25HValencia96-89
01/05/25HOlympiacos84-86
29/04/25HOlympiacos80-72
27/04/25ABasquet Girona79-71
25/04/25AOlympiacos71-77
23/04/25AOlympiacos72-84
20/04/25HMoraBanc Andorra98-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeWLLWL62%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %39%62%18%
Points / game89.290.088.5
Allowed / game90.484.995.5
Point differential-1.2+5.1-7.0
Avg total179.6174.9184.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%44%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Real Madrid
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game86.889.184.2
Allowed / game77.376.778.0
Point differential+9.4+12.4+6.2
Avg total164.1165.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3329488%86.877.3+9.4
2 Tenerife3325876%87.583.1+4.4
3 Valencia3324973%96.486.3+10.1
4 Unicaja33231070%90.384.1+6.2
5 Barcelona33201361%92.486.9+5.5
6 Joventut Badalona33191458%85.183.3+1.8
7 Gran Canaria33191458%84.383.5+0.8
8 Baskonia33181555%88.588.3+0.2
9 Manresa33161748%87.084.9+2.1
10 Murcia33161748%82.482.1+0.3
11 Basket Zaragoza33132039%89.290.4-1.2
12 MoraBanc Andorra33132039%87.691.4-3.8
13 Breogan33132039%79.786.1-6.4
14 Basquet Girona34122235%82.188.2-6.1
15 Bilbao33112233%82.384.5-2.2
16 Forca Lleida34112332%82.688.0-5.5
17 Granada3392427%81.387.3-6.0
18 Leyma Coruna3372621%86.095.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2317282189
Real Madrid28322024104
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