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Real Valladolid vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 81-88
20-17 15-23 18-18 28-30
Position#16
Record9-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Estela 🏆
Spain
Position#14
Record9-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game83.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 29
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Valladolid v Estela
11 Apr 2025
REAL81
ESTE88
17 Feb 2024
REAL84
ESTE79
07 Jan 2023
REAL67
ESTE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
59avg 64
H08/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 64
A12/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
88avg 64
H15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
74avg 64
A02/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 64
H08/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 64
A12/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
78-91
78
91
-13
60avg 64
H15/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
61-88
61
88
-27
54avg 64
A22/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
90-88
90
88
+2
85avg 64
H29/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
102-83
102
83
+19
100avg 64
A04/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
15-16
20-21
22-21
20-26
18-25
23-15
15-21
21-15
16-34
31-20
17-16
16-26
21-19
19-24
26-26
26-22
22-29
20-19
24-13
20-30
15-29
23-20
11-11
21-17
20-29
17-16
20-29
11-19
14-24
18-23
18-22
14-19
38-10
13-24
25-35
24-21
30-19
26-28
22-15
171.6Avg total
82.2Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.985.1163.0-7.232%
Season at home (13)80.387.9168.2-7.623%
Season away (15)75.982.7158.5-6.840%
Last 10 (10)82.289.4171.6-7.230%
Last 5 (5)80.088.0168.0-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.588.4163.9-13.014%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.277.5159.8+4.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
64avg 64
A11/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
96-76
96
76
+20
86avg 64
H15/02
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
87-68
87
68
+19
81avg 64
A02/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 64
H08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
70-94
70
94
-24
59avg 64
A12/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
101-108 OT
101
108
-7
94avg 64
H16/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 64
A21/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
62-84
62
84
-22
52avg 64
A29/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
58-85
58
85
-27
17avg 64
H02/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
80-73
80
73
+7
67avg 64
H06/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
19-29
26-16
16-25
20-19
25-17
18-19
33-21
13-24
29-13
23-23
22-8
19-16
21-16
22-18
21-22
18-19
16-24
24-24
12-27
29-17
15-18
14-22
19-20
16-20
17-30
27-13
17-22
11-21
11-20
18-15
22-28
19-22
15-18
10-22
14-23
24-16
24-20
21-19
11-18
162.4Avg total
79.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.383.1158.4-7.832%
Season at home (14)79.480.9160.2-1.550%
Season away (14)71.285.4156.6-14.114%
Last 10 (10)79.183.3162.4-4.240%
Last 5 (5)75.687.0162.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)71.485.3156.7-13.822%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.682.9163.5-2.330%
vs Weaker (2)86.074.5160.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.7-2.7
Real ValladolidEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A12/03
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/03
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A22/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H29/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A04/04
Primera FEB
85.6Avg total
40.0Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.681.8-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.344.584.8-4.229%-
Last 30 away (16)36.342.879.1-6.519%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.685.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.484.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.445.982.2-9.514%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.137.480.5+5.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/02
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A02/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A21/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A29/03
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H02/04
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H06/04
Primera FEB
77.4Avg total
37.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.176.7-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)33.442.776.1-9.313%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.777.4-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.240.476.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.341.477.7-5.222%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.037.173.1-1.160%-
vs Weaker (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Valladolid wins
1
Estela wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25ACastello102-83
29/03/25HAlicante90-88
22/03/25ASan Pablo Burgos61-88
15/03/25HMoron78-91
12/03/25AGipuzkoa69-90
08/03/25HPalencia92-83
02/03/25AFuenlabrada82-95
15/02/25HTizona Burgos97-104 OT
12/02/25AEstudiantes76-87
08/02/25HReal Betis75-85
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HOviedo80-73
02/04/25HObradoiro CAB58-85
29/03/25AHestia Menorca62-84
21/03/25APalencia77-85
16/03/25HGipuzkoa101-108 OT
12/03/25AFuenlabrada70-94
08/03/25HAlicante83-72
02/03/25AMoron87-68
15/02/25HCastello96-76
11/02/25AReal Betis77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeLLWLW23%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%23%40%
Points / game77.980.375.9
Allowed / game85.187.982.7
Point differential-7.2-7.6-6.8
Avg total163.0168.2158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%50%14%
Points / game75.379.471.2
Allowed / game83.180.985.4
Point differential-7.8-1.5-14.1
Avg total158.4160.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2826293%89.074.5+14.5
2 Fuenlabrada2823582%85.375.7+9.6
3 Estudiantes2823582%86.578.2+8.2
4 Real Betis2822679%83.574.9+8.6
5 Obradoiro CAB2819968%82.873.4+9.4
6 Palencia2819968%86.980.4+6.5
7 Tizona Burgos28151354%88.788.9-0.1
8 Cartagena28131546%77.584.4-6.9
9 Gipuzkoa28111739%78.079.6-1.6
10 Ourense28111739%81.683.4-1.8
11 Oviedo28111739%78.181.1-3.0
12 Zamora28111739%78.882.8-4.0
13 Alicante28101836%78.579.4-0.9
14 Hestia Menorca28101836%74.577.9-3.4
15 Real Valladolid2891932%77.985.1-7.2
16 Estela2891932%75.383.1-7.8
17 Castello2872125%80.489.6-9.3
18 Moron2832511%72.483.2-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid2015182881
Estela1723183088
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