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Rhode Island vs Providence Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#43
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game59.2
vs
Position#112
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game57.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rhode Island v Providence
05 Dec 2026
RHOD v PROV
upcoming
07 Dec 2024
RHOD69
PROV63
03 Dec 2022
RHOD74
PROV88
06 Dec 2019
RHOD75
PROV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rhode Island win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Providence win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rhode IslandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#346
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
103-59
103
59
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
21-20
30-39
46-55
27-30
28-31
19-24
45-28
28-25
21-36
28-35
33-32
58-27
45-32
36-22
48-44
23-28
48-37
32-28
35-19
130.7Avg total
67.6Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.259.2140.5+22.0100%
Season at home (4)81.259.2140.5+22.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.663.1130.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)77.260.8138.0+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.071.2140.2-2.233%
vs Similar (15)69.468.9138.3+0.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)71.962.0133.9+9.967%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
47-50
39-37
40-39
23-37
33-41
34-43
45-37
40-42
51-39
27-48
45-37
34-26
49-30
25-30
33-37
38-25
40-30
34-26
33-27
147.2Avg total
75.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.557.8129.2+13.875%
Season at home (3)76.054.7130.7+21.3100%
Season away (1)58.067.0125.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.771.5147.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.663.2134.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.484.1160.6-7.711%
vs Similar (17)85.283.5168.7+1.853%
vs Weaker (4)80.557.0137.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +4.9+4.9
Rhode IslandProvidence
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Rhode IslandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#346
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#329
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H11/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#339
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H13/11
NCAA
60.3Avg total
30.6Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.564.8-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.531.264.8+2.341%-
Last 30 away (13)30.634.264.8-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)30.629.760.3+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.063.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.035.366.3-4.317%-
vs Similar (15)31.332.163.5-0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)34.731.366.0+3.344%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H14/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.141.677.6-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.040.473.4-7.411%-
vs Similar (17)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker (4)39.524.564.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rhode Island wins
4
Providence wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HMd.-East. Shore67-47
11/11/26HMaine Black Bears71-65
07/11/26HMonmouth84-66
04/11/26HHoly Cross103-59
12/03/26ADuquesne61-67
07/03/26AFordham49-61
05/03/26HDuquesne64-52
28/02/26HSaint Josephs Hawks55-61
26/02/26ASt. Bonaventure76-94
21/02/26ALa Salle46-59
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HColorado67-53
11/11/26HBryant University78-55
08/11/26ANebraska58-67
03/11/26HMaine Black Bears83-56
12/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-85
11/03/26AButler91-81
08/03/26AGeorgetown79-80
05/03/26HMarquette56-78
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rhode Island
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.281.2-
Allowed / game59.259.2-
Point differential+22.0+22.0-
Avg total140.5140.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Providence
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game71.576.058.0
Allowed / game57.854.767.0
Point differential+13.8+21.3-9.0
Avg total129.2130.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
2 George Washington440100%80.051.8+28.2
3 Rhode Island440100%81.259.2+22.0
4 George Mason440100%72.058.5+13.5
5 Duquesne440100%72.264.5+7.8
6 Saint Josephs Hawks440100%78.871.8+7.0
7 Richmond Spiders43175%89.064.0+25.0
8 St. Bonaventure43175%82.062.5+19.5
9 Loyola Chicago43175%79.867.5+12.2
10 Davidson43175%71.061.5+9.5
11 Fordham43175%76.572.0+4.5
12 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
13 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
14 Dayton41325%81.583.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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