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Rilski Sportist vs Chernomorets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 80-78
20-25 18-18 17-16 25-19
Position#1
Record17-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game74.6
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Chernomorets
Bulgaria
Position#2
Record19-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game74.7
BulgariaNBLRound 1· Arena Samokov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets
28 Sep 2024
RSP v CHER
upcoming
03 Mar 2024
RSP80
CHER78
23 Dec 2023
RSP69
CHER67
15 May 2023
RSP82
CHER75
13 May 2023
RSP73
CHER79
21 Mar 2023
RSP78
CHER82
15 Mar 2023
RSP72
CHER87
09 Jan 2023
RSP102
CHER69
27 Apr 2022
RSP89
CHER58
22 Dec 2021
RSP82
CHER71
29 Mar 2021
RSP110
CHER85
15 Jan 2021
RSP108
CHER91
07 Mar 2020
RSP98
CHER66
14 Dec 2019
RSP115
CHER68
27 Nov 2015
RSP86
CHER61
04 Apr 2015
RSP136
CHER70
15 Nov 2014
RSP105
CHER75
09 Mar 2014
RSP98
CHER89
19 Oct 2013
RSP81
CHER61
17 Feb 2013
RSP101
CHER80
10 Mar 2012
RSP82
CHER74
27 Nov 2011
RSP93
CHER68
11 Apr 2011
RSP85
CHER76
11 Mar 2011
RSP89
CHER79
23 Dec 2010
RSP98
CHER96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chernomorets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
66avg 77
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
93avg 77
A29/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
64avg 77
H07/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 77
A13/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 77
A17/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
90-63
90
63
+27
80avg 77
H20/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
88-70
88
70
+18
91avg 77
H27/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
97-75
97
75
+22
92avg 77
A05/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 77
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
82avg 77
H15/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-6
14-14
12-26
19-21
17-20
28-27
29-19
24-21
20-10
19-17
15-10
15-27
19-16
27-23
23-12
13-19
21-31
20-14
20-20
25-20
23-13
25-16
18-21
24-13
25-18
22-18
27-14
14-20
30-17
32-27
18-15
17-16
26-26
19-14
26-19
16-16
20-20
25-22
20-23
23-22
159.7Avg total
85.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.474.6158.0+8.877%
Season at home (11)83.171.1154.2+12.091%
Season away (11)83.678.1161.7+5.564%
Last 10 (10)85.474.3159.7+11.1100%
Last 5 (5)90.074.0164.0+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)67.070.5137.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (28)83.676.8160.3+6.868%
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChernomorets
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
67-69
67
69
-2
53avg 79
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
91-70
91
70
+21
89avg 79
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 79
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
100-66
100
66
+34
95avg 79
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
83-76
83
76
+7
71avg 79
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 79
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 79
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 79
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 79
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 79
A16/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-24
14-14
26-12
21-19
22-10
25-16
32-21
12-23
25-25
18-13
23-16
14-28
26-23
20-12
36-13
18-18
22-14
13-22
24-25
24-15
23-19
13-24
16-19
25-23
17-24
23-17
22-20
22-18
23-26
23-17
27-22
20-20
19-21
18-18
28-17
20-27
19-21
30-25
21-11
20-22
162.4Avg total
85.0Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.374.7160.0+10.586%
Season at home (11)88.074.2162.2+13.8100%
Season away (11)82.575.3157.8+7.373%
Last 10 (10)85.077.4162.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)85.882.2168.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.386.3168.6-4.043%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.075.0154.0+4.060%
vs Weaker (18)87.075.8162.8+11.289%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +7.9+7.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
Rilski SportistChernomorets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A29/12
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H07/01
NBL
Beroe
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A13/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H20/01
NBL
Levski
#7
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/02
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
NBL
82.5Avg total
45.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.477.9+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.534.275.7+7.373%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.580.1-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)45.636.982.5+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)49.438.287.6+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker (28)41.138.179.2+3.061%-
This opponent (Chernomorets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChernomoretsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A23/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H29/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A06/01
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A14/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H17/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A20/01
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H03/02
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H10/02
NBL
Levski
#7
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A16/02
NBL
78.4Avg total
39.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.678.2+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.477.9+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.639.878.4-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.578.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.484.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.140.077.1-2.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.838.276.0-0.440%-
vs Weaker (18)42.736.579.2+6.261%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
54.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.1
38.1%
31.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.215.7
70.7%
71.1%15.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chernomoretstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chernomorets: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.5
58.3%
54.3%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.1
28.2%
31.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.813.5
64.9%
71.1%13.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
WWWWWWWWWW
Chernomorets
WWWWLWWLWL
#1
League position
#2
+14.6
Net rating
+9.2
111.5
Offensive rating
110.2
96.9
Defensive rating
101.0
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
17.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.1%
3-point %
28.2%
65.6%
Assist %
58.5%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 110.2Defence96.9 · 101.0Shooting54.9% · 52.3%3-point %38.1% · 28.2%Ball care17.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 37.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 70%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ Chernomorets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rilski Sportist wins
6
Chernomorets wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets69-67
16/10/23Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist74-65
20/05/23Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist95-90 OT
18/05/23Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist84-70
15/05/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets82-75
13/05/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets73-79
21/03/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets78-82 OT
15/03/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets72-87
09/01/23Rilski Sportist v Chernomorets102-69
22/10/22Chernomorets v Rilski Sportist91-98
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HSpartak Pleven88-87
10/02/24AYambol87-75
05/02/24ACherno More97-75
27/01/24HLevski88-70
20/01/24HAcademic Plovdiv90-63
17/01/24ACSKA Sofia86-85
13/01/24ABeroe82-70
07/01/24HBalkan69-64
29/12/23AShumen98-87
23/12/23HChernomorets69-67
Chernomoretslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/24ALevski90-79
10/02/24HShumen85-83
03/02/24HAcademic Plovdiv93-85
28/01/24ACSKA Sofia84-79
20/01/24ABalkan77-85
17/01/24HCherno More83-76
14/01/24AYambol100-66
06/01/24AMinyor80-82
29/12/23HSpartak Pleven91-70
23/12/23ARilski Sportist67-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %77%91%64%
Points / game83.483.183.6
Allowed / game74.671.178.1
Point differential+8.8+12.0+5.5
Avg total158.0154.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%45%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Chernomorets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %86%100%73%
Points / game85.388.082.5
Allowed / game74.774.275.3
Point differential+10.5+13.8+7.3
Avg total160.0162.2157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2219386%85.374.7+10.5
2 Rilski Sportist2217577%83.474.6+8.8
3 Spartak Pleven2317674%88.378.7+9.6
4 Balkan2214864%81.977.9+4.0
5 CSKA Sofia2213959%85.679.5+6.1
6 Cherno More23101343%82.587.3-4.8
7 Yambol2391439%79.184.9-5.8
8 Shumen2381535%81.983.5-1.6
9 Beroe2381535%81.787.7-5.9
10 Levski2371630%73.678.2-4.7
11 Academic Plovdiv2371630%79.184.9-5.7
12 Minyor2371630%73.382.6-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rilski Sportist2018172580
Chernomorets2518161978
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