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Rimini vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-86
27-17 22-23 15-25 20-21
Position#3
Record26-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Nardo 🏆
Italy
Position#19
Record11-26
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game81.8
ItalySerie A2Round 38· Palasport Flaminio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rimini v Nardo
27 Apr 2025
RIMI84
NARD86
21 Jan 2024
RIMI83
NARD65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 75
H26/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
61-88
61
88
-27
54avg 75
H02/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
72avg 75
A09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
99-81
99
81
+18
91avg 75
H21/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 75
A26/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
88-70
88
70
+18
84avg 75
A30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
88-76
88
76
+12
84avg 75
H03/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 75
H06/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
77avg 75
A13/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
84-75
84
75
+9
70avg 75
A23/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-23
24-21
24-22
20-20
15-28
13-17
13-23
15-18
20-19
18-27
21-20
28-14
22-31
22-22
27-14
22-27
21-11
11-15
28-16
25-13
22-18
21-23
20-16
23-19
30-19
22-23
13-15
17-13
23-19
29-22
18-17
22-23
22-20
22-28
20-24
26-27
19-15
11-23
28-10
162.3Avg total
82.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)82.177.9160.1+4.270%
Season at home (18)83.279.0162.2+4.272%
Season away (19)81.176.9158.0+4.168%
Last 10 (10)82.979.4162.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)86.677.4164.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.095.0181.0-9.00%
vs Similar (18)81.479.9161.3+1.556%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)80.673.4154.0+7.391%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 65
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-98
73
98
-25
57avg 65
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 65
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
107-65
107
65
+42
109avg 65
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 65
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 65
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
62avg 65
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-92
77
92
-15
67avg 65
A06/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
72-99
72
99
-27
48avg 65
H13/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
103-83
103
83
+20
95avg 65
H19/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
19-10
20-16
18-24
16-28
18-26
26-24
13-20
18-20
16-15
18-23
13-18
25-8
30-24
22-17
30-16
23-24
19-20
27-24
8-19
24-13
8-25
20-13
22-19
22-21
15-26
19-23
17-17
20-30
12-21
25-16
20-25
11-24
13-29
20-28
28-18
31-15
20-15
25-28
27-25
162.9Avg total
80.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)75.481.8157.1-6.430%
Season at home (19)79.480.1159.4-0.747%
Season away (18)71.183.6154.7-12.411%
Last 10 (10)80.382.6162.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)79.886.2166.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)73.882.3156.2-8.522%
vs Similar (7)80.779.7160.4+1.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -0.5-0.5
RiminiNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H02/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H21/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A26/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A30/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A13/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/04
Serie A2
82.0Avg total
42.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.878.5+2.973%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.238.678.8+1.669%-
Last 30 away (17)41.137.278.3+3.876%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.682.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.283.0+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.043.087.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (18)40.738.479.1+2.272%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.536.476.8+4.173%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A06/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H13/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H19/04
Serie A2
79.8Avg total
38.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.340.878.2-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.378.0-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.478.3-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.379.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.879.0-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.641.579.1-3.935%-
vs Similar (7)36.438.775.1-2.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
50.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.1
40.1%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.2
67.9%
74.4%11.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
50.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.1
36.9%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws14.611.8
80.8%
74.4%11.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
WLWWWWWLLL
Nardo
WLLLWLWLLW
#3
League position
#19
+3.8
Net rating
-2.6
110.9
Offensive rating
109.4
107.1
Defensive rating
112.0
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.1%
3-point %
36.9%
57.0%
Assist %
39.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 109.4Defence107.1 · 112.0Shooting56.0% · 54.2%3-point %40.1% · 36.9%Ball care18.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Rimini   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rimini wins
1
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Nardo v Rimini67-82
21/01/24Rimini v Nardo83-65
12/11/23Nardo v Rimini72-68
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AFortitudo Bologna84-75
13/04/25AUdine86-95
06/04/25HVigevano87-71
03/04/25HJuVi Cremona88-76
30/03/25AAvellino Basket88-70
26/03/25ASebastiani Rieti82-69
21/03/25HPesaro99-81
09/03/25ACantu74-84
02/03/25HOrzinuovi61-88
26/02/25HBasket Torino80-85
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HOrzinuovi103-83
13/04/25HCento72-99
06/04/25ALibertas Livorno77-92
02/04/25HCantu73-87
30/03/25HAssigeco Piacenza74-70
23/03/25AFortitudo Bologna77-87
15/03/25HVigevano107-65
09/03/25HBrindisi65-76
02/03/25AJuVi Cremona73-98
26/02/25AForli82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeLLWWW72%
AwayLWWLW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %70%72%68%
Points / game82.183.281.1
Allowed / game77.979.076.9
Point differential+4.2+4.2+4.1
Avg total160.1162.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%28%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeWWLLW47%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %30%47%11%
Points / game75.479.471.1
Allowed / game81.880.183.6
Point differential-6.4-0.7-12.4
Avg total157.1159.4154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3729878%83.475.2+8.2
2 Rimini37261170%82.177.9+4.2
3 Cantu37241365%78.273.8+4.4
4 Forli37231462%77.775.4+2.2
5 Cividale37221559%80.478.8+1.6
6 Sebastiani Rieti37221559%75.574.2+1.3
7 Verona37211657%77.674.5+3.2
8 Fortitudo Bologna37201754%75.573.9+1.6
9 Basket Torino37201754%77.075.9+1.1
10 Urania Milano37201754%76.777.3-0.6
11 Pesaro37191851%82.080.4+1.6
12 Brindisi37191851%76.876.1+0.7
13 Avellino Basket37191851%79.479.9-0.6
14 Orzinuovi37162143%78.280.5-2.3
15 Cento37142338%73.577.5-4.0
16 Libertas Livorno37132435%76.077.9-1.9
17 JuVi Cremona37132435%80.882.8-2.0
18 Vigevano37122532%75.781.2-5.5
19 Nardo37112630%75.481.8-6.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza3773019%76.583.2-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2722152084
Nardo1723252186
← all games of the day
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