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Pesaro vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-71
26-16 22-14 14-13 22-28
Position#9
Record17-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.9
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record18-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game75.3
ItalySerie A2Round 29· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pesaro v Forli
14 Apr 2027
PES v FORL
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
PES85
FORL73
15 Mar 2025
PES84
FORL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 74
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 74
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
118-86
118
86
+32
113avg 74
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 74
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 74
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 74
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
84avg 74
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
64avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 74
H09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
25-13
23-11
22-25
25-17
13-30
28-13
18-10
17-24
16-21
23-18
24-19
29-22
34-18
30-25
25-21
18-17
27-17
19-27
27-16
19-16
21-18
15-21
16-15
23-29
25-16
26-14
23-17
18-20
30-26
17-22
12-9
22-13
19-23
16-21
12-28
22-22
19-27
24-21
13-15
168.7Avg total
88.3Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.879.9161.7+1.955%
Season at home (16)84.675.6160.2+9.175%
Season away (15)78.784.5163.3-5.833%
Last 10 (10)88.380.4168.7+7.960%
Last 5 (5)82.683.8166.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.981.0160.9-1.145%
vs Weaker (9)86.677.3163.9+9.278%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 70
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
78-73
78
73
+5
74avg 70
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
73-80
73
80
-7
61avg 70
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 70
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 70
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
81avg 70
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
61-57
61
57
+4
54avg 70
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
69-82
69
82
-13
58avg 70
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 70
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 70
H09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-32
25-19
22-23
21-19
16-28
22-11
18-19
22-15
14-21
19-18
19-18
21-23
15-14
22-11
28-17
15-19
19-17
21-25
25-17
16-18
18-15
24-24
21-17
19-20
13-14
14-18
14-18
20-7
19-25
10-19
16-20
24-18
17-12
11-24
29-14
21-26
23-21
18-16
18-24
24-21
151.9Avg total
76.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.075.3152.3+1.760%
Season at home (15)78.674.4153.0+4.267%
Season away (15)75.476.2151.6-0.853%
Last 10 (10)76.275.7151.9+0.570%
Last 5 (5)74.674.6149.2+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.580.0158.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.774.3150.0+1.555%
vs Weaker (6)81.277.5158.7+3.783%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
PesaroForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H19/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H09/03
Serie A2
85.9Avg total
44.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.783.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.040.583.5+2.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.182.9-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.085.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.085.6+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.941.981.7-2.045%-
vs Weaker (9)45.342.487.8+2.967%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A16/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/01
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A26/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H29/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Serie A2
Udine
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H26/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A02/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/03
Serie A2
73.3Avg total
34.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.174.4+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.773.0+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.237.675.8+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.473.3-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.437.671.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.044.582.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.335.073.3+3.464%-
vs Weaker (6)38.237.775.8+0.550%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.1
55.7%
50.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.9
39.8%
34.6%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
74.4%14.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.316.9
44.1%
50.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.0
35.6%
34.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
74.4%14.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWWWWLWW
Forli
WWLWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#6
+9.5
Net rating
+1.0
115.1
Offensive rating
103.4
105.5
Defensive rating
102.5
57.6%
Effective FG%
47.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.8%
3-point %
35.6%
61.7%
Assist %
64.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 103.4Defence105.5 · 102.5Shooting57.6% · 47.8%3-point %39.8% · 35.6%Ball care16.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds23.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Pesaro   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24Forli v Pesaro71-50
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HSebastiani Rieti78-85
02/03/25ABasket Torino69-85
25/02/25AOrzinuovi98-103 OT
19/02/25ACento97-76
16/02/25AFortitudo Bologna71-70
08/02/25HCividale91-77
02/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza118-86
29/01/25AAvellino Basket80-82
26/01/25HNardo84-70
19/01/25HUrania Milano97-70
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HJuVi Cremona83-82
02/03/25AVigevano78-76
26/02/25HNardo69-82
16/02/25AOrzinuovi61-57
09/02/25HUdine82-76
02/02/25ACantu81-77
29/01/25HBasket Torino80-61
26/01/25ALibertas Livorno73-80
19/01/25HRimini78-73
16/01/25AVerona77-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %55%75%33%
Points / game81.884.678.7
Allowed / game79.975.684.5
Point differential+1.9+9.1-5.8
Avg total161.7160.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%67%53%
Points / game77.078.675.4
Allowed / game75.374.476.2
Point differential+1.7+4.2-0.8
Avg total152.3153.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)50% (8)83% (6)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3123874%83.475.3+8.1
2 Rimini30201067%80.878.2+2.6
3 Cantu31201165%77.772.9+4.9
4 Urania Milano30191163%77.375.1+2.2
5 Sebastiani Rieti31191261%75.373.5+1.9
6 Cividale31191261%80.879.2+1.6
7 Forli30181260%77.075.3+1.7
8 Fortitudo Bologna31181358%75.773.4+2.4
9 Avellino Basket30171357%78.779.0-0.3
10 Verona31171455%76.273.4+2.8
11 Pesaro31171455%81.879.9+1.9
12 Brindisi32171553%76.675.7+0.9
13 Basket Torino32161650%76.575.8+0.7
14 Orzinuovi31121939%77.680.9-3.3
15 JuVi Cremona31112035%80.582.5-1.9
16 Cento31112035%72.677.9-5.3
17 Libertas Livorno32112134%74.776.7-2.0
18 Vigevano30102033%76.580.7-4.2
19 Nardo3082227%73.581.4-7.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza3262619%75.882.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2622142284
Forli1614132871
← all games of the day
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