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Sencur vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-64
27-22 17-11 18-12 15-19
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.7
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game73.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 4· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sencur v LTH Castings
12 Nov 2024
SENC75
LTH 81
18 Oct 2024
SENC77
LTH 64
03 Apr 2024
SENC85
LTH 74
15 Dec 2023
SENC79
LTH 72
10 Oct 2022
SENC72
LTH 65
19 Apr 2017
SENC77
LTH 80
26 Nov 2016
SENC92
LTH 72
26 Apr 2016
SENC78
LTH 65
27 Feb 2016
SENC79
LTH 47
16 Dec 2015
SENC91
LTH 68
17 Apr 2010
SENC80
LTH 88
09 Jan 2010
SENC50
LTH 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
69avg 66
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 66
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
60avg 66
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
82avg 66
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 66
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 66
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
57-79
57
79
-22
42avg 66
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
91-100 OT
91
100
-9
80avg 66
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 66
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#31
W
108-78
108
78
+30
no box
A15/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
18-21
16-8
15-14
19-31
26-16
28-14
25-17
24-12
13-12
18-17
20-26
21-21
25-24
27-13
20-23
28-26
15-20
21-28
22-24
10-24
22-29
23-24
21-26
16-21
11-12
16-27
14-19
24-17
22-24
15-28
25-17
18-14
24-18
22-19
19-18
24-25
25-17
35-19
24-17
167.2Avg total
84.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.082.7159.7-5.733%
Season at home (1)91.0100.0191.0-9.00%
Season away (2)70.074.0144.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.682.6167.2+2.060%
Last 5 (5)83.085.8168.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.5-13.08%
vs Similar (13)76.676.0152.6+0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)85.073.2158.2+11.875%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
64avg 68
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
55avg 68
H12/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 68
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 68
A26/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
54avg 68
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 68
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 68
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 68
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
79-60
79
60
+19
72avg 68
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
8-8
14-11
22-22
17-22
22-21
10-16
17-20
23-19
19-23
18-18
23-18
19-19
12-30
23-17
15-15
25-21
13-25
13-28
23-24
24-21
15-19
21-19
22-30
22-22
13-20
19-31
20-11
17-17
14-20
16-17
26-21
17-16
19-13
24-21
19-20
23-19
9-9
25-21
22-11
154.9Avg total
75.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.373.0148.3+2.333%
Season at home (1)79.060.0139.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)73.579.5153.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.979.0154.9-3.140%
Last 5 (5)77.475.6153.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)74.482.0156.4-7.625%
vs Similar (16)79.382.2161.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (1)97.081.0178.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
SencurLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#31
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/10
Slovenian Cup
81.7Avg total
40.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.880.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.641.283.8+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.578.0-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.181.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.279.4-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.843.781.5-5.817%-
vs Similar (13)40.939.680.5+1.369%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.836.077.8+5.850%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A26/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Rogaska
#7
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H14/10
Liga Nova KBM
73.8Avg total
35.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.977.8-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.536.174.6+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)37.343.881.1-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.138.773.8-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.635.269.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.840.477.2-3.625%-
vs Similar (16)38.140.678.7-2.644%-
vs Weaker (1)50.034.084.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.3
52.0%
53.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.1
27.4%
32.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
72.0%13.2
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.0
52.4%
53.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.8
27.3%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.610.8
74.0%
72.0%10.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
WWLLLLWWWW
LTH Castings
WWLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#10
-2.0
Net rating
-7.6
101.9
Offensive rating
99.1
103.9
Defensive rating
106.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.5%
Turnover %
21.1%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.4%
3-point %
27.3%
61.2%
Assist %
54.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 99.1Defence103.9 · 106.7Shooting48.0% · 47.5%3-point %27.4% · 27.3%Ball care16.5% · 21.1%Off. rebounds27.9% · 36.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sencur   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
03/04/24Sencur v LTH Castings85-74
15/12/23Sencur v LTH Castings79-72
16/10/23LTH Castings v Sencur108-72
13/03/23LTH Castings v Sencur81-74
16/12/22LTH Castings v Sencur85-86
10/10/22Sencur v LTH Castings72-65
19/04/17Sencur v LTH Castings77-80
25/03/17LTH Castings v Sencur62-92
25/02/17LTH Castings v Sencur75-73 OT
26/11/16Sencur v LTH Castings92-72
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24AGorica108-78
12/10/24AZlatorog Lasko83-69
07/10/24HPerspektiva Ilirija91-100 OT
30/09/24AHelios Domzale57-79
19/05/24ACedevita Olimpija76-103
15/05/24HCedevita Olimpija86-98
08/05/24HPerspektiva Ilirija93-81
02/05/24APerspektiva Ilirija75-67
27/04/24HTajfun Sentjur98-78
20/04/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek79-73 OT
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/24HRogaska79-60
09/10/24AGrosuplje79-70
05/10/24ATajfun Sentjur73-75
28/09/24AZlatorog Lasko74-84
07/05/24HKK Krka Novo mesto82-89
04/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
26/04/24APerspektiva Ilirija69-81
20/04/24ATajfun Sentjur83-78
12/04/24HHelios Domzale66-79
08/04/24HRogaska80-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.091.070.0
Allowed / game82.7100.074.0
Point differential-5.7-9.0-4.0
Avg total159.7191.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%100%0%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game75.379.073.5
Allowed / game73.060.079.5
Point differential+2.3+19.0-6.0
Avg total148.3139.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek330100%78.072.7+5.3
2 KK Krka Novo mesto32167%85.770.0+15.7
3 Perspektiva Ilirija32167%85.778.3+7.3
4 Tajfun Sentjur32167%68.778.3-9.7
5 Helios Domzale42250%71.265.8+5.5
6 LTH Castings31233%75.373.0+2.3
7 Rogaska31233%73.075.7-2.7
8 Sencur31233%77.082.7-5.7
9 Zlatorog Lasko31233%73.083.7-10.7
10 KK Triglav Kranj2020%57.571.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2717181577
LTH Castings2211121964
← all games of the day
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