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Romania vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 101-96
27-22 23-31 26-20 25-23
Position#34
Record6-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game76.8
Romania 🏆
vs
Position#37
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game73.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Pitesti Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Romania v Portugal
02 Mar 2026
ROMA101
PORT96
25 Aug 2022
ROMA59
PORT75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Romania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRomania
Date
Competition
Norway
#75
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
A21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
17-18
12-12
20-12
23-12
23-19
19-18
19-29
23-22
18-20
22-15
22-14
17-18
14-14
24-25
25-15
13-21
19-11
22-16
22-16
26-19
19-15
14-15
20-17
18-19
20-21
5-26
23-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
20-23
17-26
17-23
22-16
19-15
12-25
34-29
15-21
21-24
153.5Avg total
76.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.276.8153.0-0.655%
Season at home (5)77.471.4148.8+6.060%
Season away (6)75.281.3156.5-6.250%
Last 10 (10)76.676.9153.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)73.284.4157.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)66.787.5154.2-20.80%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.480.7150.1-11.211%
vs Weaker (15)78.769.9148.7+8.887%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 58
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 58
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 58
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 58
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 58
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
45avg 58
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
99-82
99
82
+17
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
12-17
20-14
19-21
7-33
14-21
25-11
25-11
19-19
17-24
19-13
13-19
19-20
25-12
29-34
21-15
24-21
144.4Avg total
68.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.373.3156.7+10.067%
Season at home (2)83.579.0162.5+4.550%
Season away (1)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.376.1144.4-7.840%
Last 5 (5)75.274.0149.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)61.480.5141.9-19.110%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.179.9161.0+1.238%
vs Weaker (12)77.869.2147.1+8.675%
This opponent (Romania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
RomaniaPortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#75
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A27/02
World Cup
78.2Avg total
38.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.477.3-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.439.473.9-5.021%-
Last 30 away (16)39.041.380.3-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.778.2-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.482.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.347.779.0-16.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.640.274.8-5.70%-
vs Weaker (15)40.537.778.1+2.860%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H27/02
World Cup
73.2Avg total
34.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.677.1-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.179.2+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.174.9-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.273.2-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.339.570.8-8.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.541.483.9+1.138%-
vs Weaker (12)41.836.077.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Romania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.7
43.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.3
25.3%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Romania
LLLLWWWWWW
Portugal
WLWLWLLLWL
#34
League position
#37
-6.7
Net rating
-15.3
94.2
Offensive rating
89.8
100.9
Defensive rating
105.1
46.4%
Effective FG%
41.3%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
21.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.8%
3-point %
25.3%
76.1%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Romania   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Romania wins
3
Portugal wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Portugal v Romania99-82
13/11/22Portugal v Romania92-62
25/08/22Romania v Portugal59-75
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26APortugal82-99
30/11/25HMontenegro75-80
27/11/25AGreece64-91
16/08/25AHungary66-86
13/08/25HNorth Macedonia79-66
06/08/25HHungary76-64
02/08/25ANorth Macedonia80-72
23/02/25HNorway85-71
24/11/24ALuxembourg84-78
21/11/24ANorway75-62
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HRomania99-82
30/11/25HGreece68-76
27/11/25AMontenegro83-62
06/09/25AGermany58-85
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Romania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL55%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game76.277.475.2
Allowed / game76.871.481.3
Point differential-0.6+6.0-6.2
Avg total153.0148.8156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Portugal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game83.383.583.0
Allowed / game73.379.062.0
Point differential+10.0+4.5+21.0
Avg total156.7162.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
5 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
8 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
14 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
17 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
18 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
19 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
20 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
21 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
26 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
29 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
30 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
31 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
32 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
33 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
34 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
35 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
36 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
37 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
38 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
39 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
40 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
43 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
44 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
45 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
46 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
47 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
48 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
49 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
50 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
54 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
55 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
56 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
57 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
61 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
62 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
63 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
64 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
72 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
75 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
76 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
77 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
81 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
89 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Romania27232625101
Portugal2231202396
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