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Rostock vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 66-80
16-19 8-23 16-22 26-16
Position#8
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game83.7
Rostock
Germany
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.6
GermanyBBLRound 12· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Alba Berlin
02 May 2027
ROS v ABE
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
ROS66
ABE80
12 Feb 2025
ROS71
ABE78
10 Mar 2024
ROS75
ABE76
30 Oct 2022
ROS70
ABE104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#31
W
94-77
94
77
+17
94avg 77
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
75-63
75
63
+12
62avg 77
A09/11
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 77
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
96-68
96
68
+28
no box
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 77
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 77
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
97-72
97
72
+25
97avg 77
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
93avg 77
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 77
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 77
A20/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
27-20
23-11
24-28
15-11
27-19
19-15
14-18
22-18
17-19
14-19
22-7
23-14
26-23
20-20
27-11
20-24
21-24
27-25
19-18
25-22
15-17
24-16
23-19
21-20
30-12
21-23
25-17
14-23
20-20
21-18
24-18
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
27-25
24-27
25-24
16-21
165.4Avg total
88.3Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.083.7168.7+1.350%
Season at home (4)91.884.0175.8+7.875%
Season away (6)80.583.5164.0-3.033%
Last 10 (10)88.377.1165.4+11.280%
Last 5 (5)91.281.8173.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)86.070.5156.5+15.5100%
vs Similar (14)85.081.6166.6+3.457%
vs Weaker (13)86.081.5167.5+4.554%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
84-70
84
70
+14
79avg 79
A02/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-80
88
80
+8
84avg 79
H08/11
BBL
Nymburk
#30
W
88-75
88
75
+13
86avg 79
A12/11
Champions League
Jena
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
82avg 79
H17/11
German Cup
Chemnitz
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 79
A23/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
92avg 79
H07/12
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
100-91
100
91
+9
107avg 79
A09/12
Champions League
Hamburg
#14
L
80-99
80
99
-19
69avg 79
A14/12
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
W
106-82
106
82
+24
105avg 79
H16/12
Champions League
Ulm
#6
L
66-67
66
67
-1
61avg 79
H20/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-9
10-23
23-21
26-17
17-25
23-20
24-15
24-20
20-19
21-16
20-15
27-25
23-24
22-27
25-6
21-21
19-28
25-20
23-24
22-13
23-8
20-31
23-27
23-17
25-24
22-25
24-18
29-24
17-18
21-31
22-23
20-27
25-24
17-22
33-12
31-24
22-21
24-16
8-16
12-14
169.1Avg total
88.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Season at home (5)80.477.6158.0+2.860%
Season away (5)88.485.6174.0+2.860%
Last 10 (10)88.181.0169.1+7.180%
Last 5 (5)88.284.4172.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.066.5131.5-1.550%
vs Similar (7)78.680.4159.0-1.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.579.7170.2+10.880%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
RostockAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#31
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Wurzburg
#5
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A09/11
BBL
Antwerp Giants
#14
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/12
BBL
82.4Avg total
43.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.681.0+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.736.780.4+7.062%-
Last 30 away (17)41.440.181.4+1.341%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.082.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.083.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (14)43.038.681.6+4.450%-
vs Weaker (13)41.240.081.2+1.238%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A02/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/11
BBL
Nymburk
#30
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/11
Champions League
Jena
#7
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H17/11
German Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A23/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H07/12
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A09/12
Champions League
Hamburg
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A14/12
BBL
Sabah Baku
#37
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H16/12
Champions League
Ulm
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/12
BBL
85.2Avg total
42.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.482.7+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.439.082.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.339.883.1+3.557%-
Last 10 (10)42.143.185.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.087.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.042.075.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (7)42.340.082.3+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.038.883.7+6.270%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.9
51.1%
53.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.916.9
77.2%
73.5%16.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.0
58.4%
53.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
34.0%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
73.5%15.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWWWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
LWLWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#3
+13.8
Net rating
+9.1
117.7
Offensive rating
113.9
103.9
Defensive rating
104.8
53.3%
Effective FG%
56.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
36.3%
54.9%
Assist %
72.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.7 · 113.9Defence103.9 · 104.8Shooting53.3% · 56.8%3-point %37.4% · 36.3%Ball care16.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds34.4% · 31.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Rostock   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Rostock v Alba Berlin71-78
31/12/24Alba Berlin v Rostock85-96
24/04/24Alba Berlin v Rostock91-74
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25AChemnitz92-97
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
15/12/25HLudwigsburg96-89 OT
10/12/25HTrefl Sopot97-72
08/12/25ABamberg87-74
21/11/25HVechta87-91
19/11/25HFC Porto96-68
11/11/25AAntwerp Giants75-63
09/11/25AWurzburg75-63
05/11/25ATartu Ulikool94-77
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HUlm66-67
16/12/25HSabah Baku106-82
14/12/25AHamburg80-99
09/12/25AChalon/Saone100-91
07/12/25HFrankfurt89-83
23/11/25AChemnitz89-85
17/11/25HJena91-78
12/11/25ANymburk88-75
08/11/25HSyntainics MBC88-80
02/11/25ABonn84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game85.091.880.5
Allowed / game83.784.083.5
Point differential+1.3+7.8-3.0
Avg total168.7175.8164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game84.480.488.4
Allowed / game81.677.685.6
Point differential+2.8+2.8+2.8
Avg total166.0158.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern109190%85.073.2+11.8
2 Trier108280%89.887.4+2.4
3 Wurzburg118373%81.177.7+3.4
4 Syntainics MBC117464%84.083.8+0.2
5 Bamberg106460%89.982.2+7.7
6 Alba Berlin106460%84.481.6+2.8
7 Ulm116555%80.578.2+2.3
8 Frankfurt116555%84.582.5+2.0
9 Rostock105550%85.083.7+1.3
10 Ludwigsburg105550%85.085.7-0.7
11 Vechta105550%84.284.9-0.7
12 Bonn126650%77.680.0-2.4
13 Chemnitz115645%87.586.5+0.9
14 Jena104640%83.090.1-7.1
15 Basketball Braunschweig113827%79.887.9-8.1
16 Hamburg102820%84.393.6-9.3
17 Heidelberg112918%82.084.4-2.4
18 Oldenburg112918%81.884.9-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock168162666
Alba Berlin1923221680
← all games of the day
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