PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rostock vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-78
20-17 25-19 11-23 15-19
Position#12
Record10-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game81.4
vs
Position#6
Record8-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game83.2
GermanyBBLRound 21· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Alba Berlin
02 May 2027
ROS v ABE
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
ROS66
ABE80
12 Feb 2025
ROS71
ABE78
10 Mar 2024
ROS75
ABE76
30 Oct 2022
ROS70
ABE104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 70
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 70
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 70
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
81avg 70
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
96-85
96
85
+11
85avg 70
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 70
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 70
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
107avg 70
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-82
88
82
+6
77avg 70
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 70
A09/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-21
24-23
18-28
19-14
21-24
15-28
15-14
22-12
12-19
7-26
22-23
30-20
20-23
21-15
21-20
22-15
21-32
24-17
29-21
24-21
13-19
25-19
25-24
12-25
16-23
19-14
25-20
28-26
24-21
13-27
23-14
22-19
21-19
22-21
23-23
21-29
19-30
29-19
28-15
173.5Avg total
86.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.381.4163.7+0.956%
Season at home (10)83.381.0164.3+2.360%
Season away (8)81.181.9163.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)86.886.7173.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)93.291.6184.8+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.592.3172.8-11.727%
vs Similar (14)80.682.4163.1-1.850%
vs Weaker (4)86.875.0161.8+11.875%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
68-100
68
100
-32
52avg 77
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
79avg 77
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
92-65
92
65
+27
93avg 77
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
84-99
84
99
-15
74avg 77
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
L
92-97
92
97
-5
92avg 77
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
93avg 77
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
86-99 OT
86
99
-13
80avg 77
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
53-73
53
73
-20
46avg 77
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 77
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
92-77
92
77
+15
94avg 77
H09/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
24-24
10-31
15-22
19-23
21-27
22-20
23-15
27-19
17-15
28-15
20-16
27-27
23-25
18-18
16-29
23-22
17-18
35-28
17-29
19-22
27-26
24-15
23-24
17-17
24-21
15-24
24-18
12-25
10-12
15-18
16-18
13-15
22-25
20-19
16-18
31-18
23-16
17-22
21-21
169.0Avg total
82.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.683.2168.8+2.444%
Season at home (9)84.677.0161.6+7.667%
Season away (9)86.789.4176.1-2.822%
Last 10 (10)82.087.0169.0-5.030%
Last 5 (5)79.082.6161.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)80.592.6173.1-12.116%
vs Similar (3)78.084.7162.7-6.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.283.6172.9+5.650%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.9-1.9
RostockAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A09/02
BBL
83.2Avg total
40.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.181.0-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.179.2+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.082.9-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.683.2-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.486.4-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.744.384.0-4.527%-
vs Similar (14)39.339.478.6-0.171%-
vs Weaker (4)43.237.080.2+6.275%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A14/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A16/01
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H18/01
BBL
Bayern
#7
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/01
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A27/01
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A02/02
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/02
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/02
Euroleague
Hamburg
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H09/02
BBL
83.5Avg total
41.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.145.684.7-6.523%-
Last 30 away (17)42.444.286.5-1.835%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.083.5-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.747.587.3-7.811%-
vs Similar (3)31.741.773.3-10.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.239.586.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.7
50.6%
52.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.5
37.7%
33.6%34.5
🏀 Free throws21.316.1
75.6%
73.5%16.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.6
55.0%
52.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.6
32.2%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.712.1
77.1%
73.5%12.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWWLWWWLLL
Alba Berlin
WLLLWLLWLL
#12
League position
#6
+0.4
Net rating
-6.8
111.4
Offensive rating
107.9
111.0
Defensive rating
114.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.7%
3-point %
32.2%
41.1%
Assist %
67.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 107.9Defence111.0 · 114.7Shooting53.4% · 52.3%3-point %37.7% · 32.2%Ball care18.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds32.0% · 34.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Rostock   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rostock wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
31/12/24Alba Berlin v Rostock85-96
24/04/24Alba Berlin v Rostock91-74
10/03/24Rostock v Alba Berlin75-76
23/04/23Alba Berlin v Rostock104-79
30/10/22Rostock v Alba Berlin70-104
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25AWurzburg97-93
02/02/25HHeidelberg88-82
18/01/25HOldenburg122-118 OT
11/01/25AUlm72-82
04/01/25HVechta87-83
31/12/24AAlba Berlin96-85
26/12/24HHamburg92-78
21/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig63-80
15/12/24HBayern70-80
30/11/24AHeidelberg81-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HHamburg92-77
06/02/25HCrvena zvezda71-77
04/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas53-73
02/02/25ABayern86-99 OT
30/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-87
27/01/25AOldenburg92-97
24/01/25HBayern84-99
18/01/25HHeidelberg92-65
16/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne89-96 OT
14/01/25AOlimpia Milano68-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLWWWW60%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game82.383.381.1
Allowed / game81.481.081.9
Point differential+0.9+2.3-0.8
Avg total163.7164.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%10%12%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game85.684.686.7
Allowed / game83.277.089.4
Point differential+2.4+7.6-2.8
Avg total168.8161.6176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1813572%81.774.9+6.8
2 Basketball Braunschweig1913668%83.778.6+5.1
3 Ulm1812667%84.679.5+5.1
4 Vechta1911858%82.882.9-0.2
5 Chemnitz1911858%78.679.1-0.5
6 Rostock1810856%82.381.4+0.9
7 Heidelberg1810856%77.578.8-1.3
8 Ludwigsburg2011955%76.171.9+4.2
9 Wurzburg189950%81.879.7+2.1
10 Syntainics MBC20101050%83.584.1-0.6
11 Oldenburg1991047%89.489.4+0.0
12 Alba Berlin1881044%85.683.2+2.4
13 Bamberg1881044%82.282.8-0.6
14 Hamburg1881044%79.780.9-1.3
15 Bonn1981142%82.683.5-0.9
16 Frankfurt1851328%75.783.1-7.3
17 Gottingen171166%80.796.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2025111571
Alba Berlin1719231978
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.