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Alba Berlin vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 94-65
17-9 26-24 21-12 30-20
Position#17
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game79.0
Alba Berlin 🏆
vs
Panathinaikos
Position#15
Record1-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game73.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2022
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos
03 Oct 2024
ABE77
PAO87
10 Nov 2023
ABE85
PAO99
19 Oct 2022
ABE94
PAO65
06 Apr 2022
ABE87
PAO78
26 Feb 2021
ABE74
PAO65
06 Feb 2015
ABE59
PAO65
16 Jan 2013
ABE73
PAO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
88avg 81
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
71-58
71
58
+13
66avg 81
A14/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
60-90
60
90
-30
52avg 81
H17/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 81
A19/06
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
79avg 81
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 81
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
100-84
100
84
+16
106avg 81
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
80-74 OT
80
74
+6
no box
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
98-95
98
95
+3
no box
H17/10
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
21-19
25-11
18-16
20-10
19-17
14-15
15-23
18-29
13-20
14-18
26-17
26-19
24-18
20-27
26-25
19-20
20-18
16-15
24-20
18-20
20-20
28-20
33-18
28-25
16-18
23-23
21-19
23-17
26-16
19-29
26-12
12-18
22-21
10-19
24-27
21-22
30-20
23-26
164.5Avg total
85.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.079.0169.0+11.0100%
Season at home (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)80.074.0154.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.179.4164.5+5.790%
Last 5 (5)91.482.8174.2+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.787.3171.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (2)83.576.0159.5+7.5100%
vs Weaker (24)89.975.5165.4+14.496%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Larisa
#6
W
89-43
89
43
+46
95avg 74
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
61-74
61
74
-13
50avg 74
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
72-78
72
78
-6
66avg 74
H14/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 74
A17/06
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
no box
H01/10
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
52-67
52
67
-15
no box
H02/10
Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
68-71
68
71
-3
51avg 74
H06/10
Euroleague
Aris
#7
L
65-69
65
69
-4
62avg 74
A09/10
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 74
A13/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
W
93-70
93
70
+23
95avg 74
H16/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
18-11
27-12
16-8
4-23
16-15
18-17
23-19
21-20
25-12
10-29
16-17
26-28
14-27
13-8
21-30
20-18
16-14
25-25
11-10
15-18
19-19
9-19
9-11
22-23
15-15
14-16
17-17
15-16
5-13
25-16
20-24
18-24
24-14
15-18
20-19
20-18
32-22
24-17
17-13
143.0Avg total
72.3Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.573.0145.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
Season away (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.370.7143.0+1.640%
Last 5 (5)71.070.4141.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.175.8145.9-5.730%
vs Similar ◀ (2)77.581.0158.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (18)83.669.6153.2+14.083%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
Alba BerlinPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A14/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H17/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A19/06
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/10
BBL
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H17/10
German Cup
83.8Avg total
43.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.939.585.4+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.741.088.7+6.776%-
Last 30 away (13)43.537.681.1+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.083.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.685.6+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.742.788.3+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.035.076.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (24)46.339.185.5+7.275%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larisa
#6
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H08/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
20-38
20
38
-18
A11/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A17/06
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#4
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
Super Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H02/10
Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H06/10
Euroleague
Aris
#7
L
20-29
20
29
-9
A09/10
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/10
Euroleague
Lavrio
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H16/10
Basket League
73.5Avg total
37.3Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.276.7+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.934.878.7+9.275%-
Last 30 away (14)36.737.874.5-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.273.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.473.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.838.876.6-1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.041.082.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (18)42.134.276.2+7.972%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.3
53.5%
53.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.616.4
79.6%
78.5%16.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.4
50.1%
53.5%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.7
33.6%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.513.6
69.7%
78.5%13.6
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWLWW
Panathinaikos
WWLLLWLLLW
#17
League position
#15
+10.7
Net rating
+3.1
117.2
Offensive rating
103.5
106.6
Defensive rating
100.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
20.3%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.2%
3-point %
33.6%
77.2%
Assist %
64.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 103.5Defence106.6 · 100.4Shooting53.8% · 50.2%3-point %36.2% · 33.6%Ball care18.2% · 20.3%Off. rebounds37.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
06/04/22Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos87-78
10/12/21Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-67
26/02/21Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos74-65
17/12/20Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin92-69
02/04/15Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin66-68
06/02/15Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos59-65
15/03/13Panathinaikos v Alba Berlin82-58
16/01/13Alba Berlin v Panathinaikos73-79
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/22HBonn98-95
14/10/22AOlimpia Milano80-74 OT
09/10/22AOldenburg89-81
07/10/22HPartizan100-84
02/10/22ABamberg90-80
28/09/22HHamburg81-78
19/06/22ABayern96-81
17/06/22HBayern60-90
14/06/22ABayern71-58
10/06/22HBayern86-73
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/22HLavrio93-70
13/10/22ACrvena zvezda77-75
09/10/22AAris65-69
06/10/22HReal Madrid68-71
02/10/22HOlympiacos52-67
01/10/22HKolossos Rhodes72-67
17/06/22AOlympiacos74-93
14/06/22HOlympiacos72-78
11/06/22AOlympiacos61-74
08/06/22HLarisa89-43

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.0100.080.0
Allowed / game79.084.074.0
Point differential+11.0+16.0+6.0
Avg total169.0184.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game72.568.077.0
Allowed / game73.071.075.0
Point differential-0.5-3.0+2.0
Avg total145.5139.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce330100%81.365.3+16.0
2 Alba Berlin220100%90.079.0+11.0
3 Olympiacos220100%85.075.0+10.0
4 Baskonia220100%92.083.5+8.5
5 Monaco32167%82.778.7+4.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%74.372.3+2.0
7 Barcelona32167%76.375.3+1.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv32167%77.779.7-2.0
9 Real Madrid21150%72.071.5+0.5
10 Panathinaikos21150%72.573.0-0.5
11 Anadolu Efes31233%85.082.0+3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas31233%77.079.7-2.7
13 Valencia31233%79.783.0-3.3
14 Virtus Bologna31233%65.771.3-5.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%67.376.3-9.0
16 Crvena zvezda2020%67.074.5-7.5
17 Bayern3030%66.074.7-8.7
18 Partizan3030%85.094.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1726213094
Panathinaikos924122065
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