PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-80 (OT)
12-26 18-12 21-22 19-10 4-10
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game62.0
Olimpia Milano
vs
Alba Berlin 🏆
Position#17
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2
European cup2022
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin
14 Jan 2025
MIL100
ABE68
09 Jan 2024
MIL82
ABE76
14 Oct 2022
MIL74
ABE80
18 Jan 2022
MIL84
ABE76
01 Dec 2020
MIL75
ABE55
03 Feb 2016
MIL91
ABE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
66-62
66
62
+4
53avg 72
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
54avg 72
A10/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
94-82
94
82
+12
89avg 72
H12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
77-62
77
62
+15
65avg 72
H14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 72
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
81-64
81
64
+17
75avg 72
H18/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
64-72 OT
64
72
-8
no box
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#8
W
78-77
78
77
+1
77avg 72
H02/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
69-62
69
62
+7
67avg 72
A06/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
75-66
75
66
+9
71avg 72
A09/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-10
15-17
22-13
16-22
23-18
15-21
16-17
14-19
31-27
17-18
30-23
16-14
16-24
24-10
15-21
22-7
12-25
25-17
21-20
20-22
29-16
14-20
18-10
20-18
12-8
14-14
12-14
21-23
22-21
14-15
11-22
31-19
14-23
27-21
15-10
13-8
33-25
22-15
14-12
6-14
145.6Avg total
75.0Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.062.0131.0+7.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)69.062.0131.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.070.6145.6+4.470%
Last 5 (5)73.468.2141.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)70.772.2142.8-1.542%
vs Weaker (17)82.272.5154.6+9.788%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
100-76
100
76
+24
no box
H29/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 81
A03/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
88avg 81
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
71-58
71
58
+13
66avg 81
A14/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
60-90
60
90
-30
52avg 81
H17/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 81
A19/06
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
79avg 81
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
85avg 81
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
100-84
100
84
+16
106avg 81
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 81
A09/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
24-18
24-24
27-17
16-15
19-22
25-12
13-18
22-20
18-23
21-19
25-11
18-16
20-10
19-17
14-15
15-23
18-29
13-20
14-18
26-17
26-19
24-18
20-27
26-25
19-20
20-18
16-15
24-20
18-20
20-20
28-20
33-18
28-25
16-18
23-23
21-19
23-17
26-16
19-29
161.4Avg total
84.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)100.084.0184.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.676.8161.4+7.890%
Last 5 (5)91.280.8172.0+10.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.787.3171.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (2)76.567.5144.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (25)88.975.7164.6+13.292%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Olimpia MilanoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A10/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H18/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A09/10
Lega A
75.7Avg total
39.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.577.4+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.477.1+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.677.7+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.575.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.675.8+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.837.274.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (17)42.938.681.5+4.259%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H29/05
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A03/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H10/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A14/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H17/06
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A19/06
BBL
Hamburg
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H28/09
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A02/10
BBL
Partizan
#6
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H07/10
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A09/10
BBL
83.2Avg total
43.9Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.439.184.5+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.940.588.4+7.481%-
Last 30 away (14)42.637.480.1+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.383.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.088.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.742.788.3+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)40.533.574.0+7.0100%-
vs Weaker (25)45.839.184.9+6.772%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.6
49.9%
53.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.2
33.0%
36.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.513.3
76.0%
78.5%13.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.3
53.5%
53.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
36.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.616.4
79.6%
78.5%16.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLWWLW
Alba Berlin
WWWWWLWWWW
#12
League position
#17
+9.0
Net rating
+10.7
106.8
Offensive rating
117.2
97.9
Defensive rating
106.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
37.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.0%
3-point %
36.2%
63.7%
Assist %
77.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 117.2Defence97.9 · 106.6Shooting49.8% · 53.8%3-point %33.0% · 36.2%Ball care14.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.9% · 37.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
18/01/22Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin84-76
03/12/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano81-76
14/01/21Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano70-84
01/12/20Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin75-55
03/02/16Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin91-78
06/01/16Alba Berlin v Olimpia Milano83-67
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/22AScafati75-66
06/10/22ALyon-Villeurbanne69-62
02/10/22HBrescia78-77
28/09/22HVirtus Bologna64-72 OT
18/06/22HVirtus Bologna81-64
16/06/22AVirtus Bologna78-84
14/06/22HVirtus Bologna77-62
12/06/22HVirtus Bologna94-82
10/06/22AVirtus Bologna68-75
08/06/22AVirtus Bologna66-62
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/22AOldenburg89-81
07/10/22HPartizan100-84
02/10/22ABamberg90-80
28/09/22HHamburg81-78
19/06/22ABayern96-81
17/06/22HBayern60-90
14/06/22ABayern71-58
10/06/22HBayern86-73
03/06/22ALudwigsburg73-67
29/05/22HLudwigsburg100-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game69.0-69.0
Allowed / game62.0-62.0
Point differential+7.0-+7.0
Avg total131.0-131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin110100%100.084.0+16.0
2 Fenerbahce220100%80.066.5+13.5
3 Baskonia110100%81.071.0+10.0
4 Monaco220100%89.079.0+10.0
5 Olympiacos220100%85.075.0+10.0
6 Olimpia Milano110100%69.062.0+7.0
7 Anadolu Efes21150%82.077.0+5.0
8 Real Madrid21150%72.071.5+0.5
9 Panathinaikos21150%72.573.0-0.5
10 Barcelona21150%72.576.5-4.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv21150%77.584.5-7.0
12 Virtus Bologna21150%66.073.0-7.0
13 Zalgiris Kaunas2020%81.587.0-5.5
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%62.069.0-7.0
15 Bayern2020%62.570.0-7.5
16 Crvena zvezda2020%67.074.5-7.5
17 Valencia1010%71.081.0-10.0
18 Partizan1010%84.0100.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Olimpia Milano12182119474
Alba Berlin261222101080
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.