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Rostock vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 85-91
16-27 23-24 18-16 28-24
Position#15
Record6-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game92.5
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game76.3
GermanyBBLRound 15· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Bayern
01 Nov 2026
ROS69
BAY67
31 Dec 2025
ROS67
BAY85
15 Dec 2024
ROS70
BAY80
07 Jan 2024
ROS85
BAY91
03 Jan 2023
ROS65
BAY78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-97
85
97
-12
71avg 78
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-92
98
92
+6
93avg 78
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 78
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 78
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 78
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 78
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
107-89
107
89
+18
109avg 78
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
97avg 78
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
101avg 78
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
26-28
17-23
18-21
22-19
23-21
24-27
29-25
22-22
12-20
21-25
20-18
25-16
21-19
15-25
25-21
20-27
25-23
26-20
25-22
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
28-18
27-34
29-18
23-19
32-16
20-26
23-15
26-21
30-24
21-27
19-22
28-19
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
179.4Avg total
91.0Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)92.592.5185.0+0.146%
Season at home (6)101.795.8197.5+5.883%
Season away (7)84.789.6174.3-4.914%
Last 10 (10)91.088.4179.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)94.087.4181.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)85.795.4181.1-9.627%
vs Similar (6)88.088.2176.2-0.250%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 75
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 75
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 75
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
96-74
96
74
+22
90avg 75
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 75
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 75
A05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
28-13
18-19
28-22
22-20
16-16
22-23
22-23
25-22
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
12-19
15-15
20-16
15-26
161.3Avg total
82.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.776.3164.0+11.375%
Season at home (6)90.575.2165.7+15.3100%
Season away (6)84.877.5162.3+7.350%
Last 10 (10)82.978.4161.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)81.875.2157.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.785.9158.6-13.10%
vs Similar (11)82.679.7162.4+2.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.675.5164.1+13.282%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
RostockBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/11
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
89.9Avg total
45.1Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.543.186.6+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.141.487.5+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.344.585.8-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.889.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.691.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)42.348.090.3-5.727%-
vs Similar (6)47.244.791.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
Tubingen
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
79.6Avg total
40.6Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.180.4+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.039.383.3+4.762%-
Last 30 away (17)39.239.078.2+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.079.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.674.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.742.376.0-8.60%-
vs Similar (11)41.640.782.4+0.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.535.980.4+8.582%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.7
54.9%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.9
41.4%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.717.2
79.3%
76.0%17.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.8
52.7%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.4
38.1%
35.4%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.813.3
79.2%
76.0%13.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWWLWWLWL
Bayern
LLWWWLWWLW
#15
League position
#1
+5.6
Net rating
+6.4
118.9
Offensive rating
113.7
113.3
Defensive rating
107.3
57.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.4%
3-point %
38.1%
65.8%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 113.7Defence113.3 · 107.3Shooting57.9% · 54.6%3-point %41.4% · 38.1%Ball care15.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
26/04/23Bayern v Rostock108-76
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT
26/12/23HBonn98-92
17/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig101-78
03/12/23AUlm107-89
28/11/23ABamberg83-93
25/11/23HGottingen96-92
21/11/23HJonava86-81
17/11/23AChemnitz75-85
15/11/23AKarhu Basket98-92
10/11/23HSyntainics MBC85-97
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24AOlimpia Milano62-76
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
28/12/23HValencia85-84
26/12/23ATubingen96-74
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
10/12/23ABonn86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%83%14%
Points / game92.5101.784.7
Allowed / game92.595.889.6
Point differential+0.1+5.8-4.9
Avg total185.0197.5174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %23%33%14%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game87.790.584.8
Allowed / game76.375.277.5
Point differential+11.3+15.3+7.3
Avg total164.0165.7162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1513287%87.474.5+12.9
2 Ulm1512380%93.587.6+5.9
3 Bayern129375%87.776.3+11.3
4 Alba Berlin118373%94.084.4+9.6
5 Wurzburg139469%82.376.0+6.3
6 Vechta1510567%90.179.9+10.2
7 Hamburg149564%87.488.6-1.2
8 Ludwigsburg159660%88.381.1+7.1
9 Bonn159660%89.984.7+5.2
10 Rostock136746%92.592.5+0.1
11 Oldenburg146843%83.984.2-0.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig1661038%82.887.6-4.8
13 Bamberg145936%88.291.7-3.5
14 Tubingen1441029%85.994.8-8.9
15 Syntainics MBC1541127%81.388.9-7.5
16 Gottingen1331023%89.6100.8-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins1531220%79.793.9-14.2
18 Heidelberg1521313%81.595.0-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1623182885
Bayern2724162491
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