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Bayern vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 91-66
29-13 27-14 18-13 17-26
Position#1
Record16-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#12
Record11-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.9
GermanyBBLRound 25· BMW Park
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bayern v Rostock
13 Apr 2027
BAY v ROS
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
BAY86
ROS64
22 Mar 2025
BAY91
ROS66
12 May 2024
BAY101
ROS73
26 Apr 2023
BAY108
ROS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-56
70
56
+14
65avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
93-95
93
95
-2
85avg 79
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
81avg 79
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
W
94-72
94
72
+22
88avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
100-82
100
82
+18
99avg 79
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
84avg 79
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
L
68-69
68
69
-1
59avg 79
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
92-97
92
97
-5
88avg 79
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
W
70-62
70
62
+8
60avg 79
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
89-112
89
112
-23
82avg 79
A20/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
28-13
20-9
8-12
20-22
23-26
30-25
20-22
15-23
23-24
30-24
20-22
12-17
30-25
29-14
23-16
20-22
32-15
25-18
23-27
26-19
22-19
22-15
17-25
15-13
22-23
16-17
15-16
17-26
20-25
30-14
25-32
10-11
18-19
19-17
23-15
21-25
27-25
23-33
18-29
166.7Avg total
85.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.374.0155.4+7.373%
Season at home (11)81.272.5153.7+8.691%
Season away (11)81.575.5157.0+5.955%
Last 10 (10)85.181.6166.7+3.550%
Last 5 (5)81.283.6164.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.895.2175.0-15.420%
vs Similar (14)86.184.1170.2+1.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.173.5156.5+9.682%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
W
96-85
96
85
+11
85avg 69
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 69
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 69
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
107avg 69
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-82
88
82
+6
77avg 69
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 69
A09/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
50avg 69
H12/02
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 69
A01/03
BBL
Hamburg
#13
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 69
A08/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 69
H15/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
21-32
24-17
29-21
24-21
13-19
25-19
25-24
12-25
16-23
19-14
25-20
28-26
24-21
13-27
23-14
22-19
21-19
22-21
23-23
21-29
19-30
29-19
28-15
20-17
25-19
11-23
15-19
17-20
16-23
16-18
23-22
13-19
28-15
12-22
24-22
17-21
27-16
12-14
28-25
172.4Avg total
86.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.280.9162.1+0.350%
Season at home (12)82.380.3162.7+2.058%
Season away (10)79.881.6161.4-1.840%
Last 10 (10)86.685.8172.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.281.6161.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)81.288.9170.1-7.733%
vs Similar (17)80.181.8161.9-1.747%
vs Weaker (3)85.075.0160.0+10.067%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.8+3.8
BayernRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
German Cup
Paris
#9
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/02
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A02/03
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H06/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/03
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A11/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H14/03
Euroleague
Ulm
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H17/03
BBL
Baskonia
#14
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A20/03
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
41.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.281.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.778.9+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.783.6+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.482.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.644.084.6-3.440%-
vs Similar (14)39.939.979.8+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.738.981.6+3.864%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A09/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A08/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/03
BBL
83.5Avg total
40.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.780.2-1.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.738.178.8+2.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.981.5-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.983.5-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.882.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.244.084.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (17)39.339.178.4+0.271%-
vs Weaker (3)39.337.777.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.716.7
58.2%
52.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.1
35.5%
33.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.814.8
78.7%
73.5%14.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.0
49.3%
52.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.1
36.4%
33.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.018.4
80.0%
73.5%18.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLLWWWLLW
Rostock
WLLLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#12
+5.0
Net rating
+0.9
115.3
Offensive rating
110.4
110.2
Defensive rating
109.5
55.5%
Effective FG%
51.8%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.5%
3-point %
36.4%
67.0%
Assist %
47.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 110.4Defence110.2 · 109.5Shooting55.5% · 51.8%3-point %35.5% · 36.4%Ball care17.0% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
15/12/24Rostock v Bayern70-80
12/05/24Bayern v Rostock101-73
07/01/24Rostock v Bayern85-91
26/04/23Bayern v Rostock108-76
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/25ABaskonia89-112
17/03/25HUlm70-62
14/03/25HAnadolu Efes92-97
11/03/25ABamberg68-69
09/03/25HHeidelberg87-78
06/03/25HCrvena zvezda100-82
02/03/25AChemnitz94-72
27/02/25AParis88-93
15/02/25HSyntainics MBC93-95
11/02/25HFrankfurt70-56
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HSyntainics MBC84-76
08/03/25AHamburg77-78
01/03/25ABonn72-83
12/02/25HAlba Berlin71-78
09/02/25AWurzburg97-93
02/02/25HHeidelberg88-82
18/01/25HOldenburg122-118 OT
11/01/25AUlm72-82
04/01/25HVechta87-83
31/12/24AAlba Berlin96-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%91%55%
Points / game81.381.281.5
Allowed / game74.072.575.5
Point differential+7.3+8.6+5.9
Avg total155.4153.7157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%45%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%58%40%
Points / game81.282.379.8
Allowed / game80.980.381.6
Point differential+0.3+2.0-1.8
Avg total162.1162.7161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2216673%81.374.0+7.3
2 Ulm2316770%85.778.7+7.0
3 Basketball Braunschweig2314961%83.482.3+1.1
4 Vechta2314961%83.282.3+0.9
5 Chemnitz2213959%79.580.5-0.9
6 Heidelberg2112957%79.179.6-0.5
7 Alba Berlin22111150%86.582.7+3.8
8 Ludwigsburg22111150%75.072.4+2.7
9 Wurzburg22111150%83.281.2+2.0
10 Oldenburg22111150%89.989.3+0.6
11 Rostock22111150%81.280.9+0.3
12 Syntainics MBC22111150%84.484.9-0.5
13 Bonn22101245%83.083.1-0.1
14 Hamburg22101245%79.881.9-2.1
15 Bamberg23101343%82.183.3-1.2
16 Frankfurt2161529%76.382.9-6.5
17 Gottingen221215%80.294.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2927181791
Rostock1314132666
← all games of the day
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