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Rostock vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 70-80
19-14 21-24 15-28 15-14
Position#12
Record4-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record6-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game74.3
GermanyBBLRound 11· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Bayern
01 Nov 2026
ROS69
BAY67
31 Dec 2025
ROS67
BAY85
15 Dec 2024
ROS70
BAY80
07 Jan 2024
ROS85
BAY91
03 Jan 2023
ROS65
BAY78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
77-79
77
79
-2
60avg 71
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
75avg 71
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
102-74
102
74
+28
108avg 71
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
64-70
64
70
-6
61avg 71
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
65-92
65
92
-27
61avg 71
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 71
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
49avg 71
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 71
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 71
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 71
A30/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
21-21
19-15
19-18
20-19
22-20
16-15
18-22
21-19
23-17
35-13
23-25
17-18
15-16
17-24
15-12
15-23
12-24
6-26
32-19
23-24
17-12
26-20
23-19
17-16
20-19
12-12
11-21
23-16
22-25
18-16
20-9
13-12
22-15
9-25
20-17
18-14
21-21
24-23
18-28
153.5Avg total
77.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.276.0153.2+1.244%
Season at home (5)74.873.8148.6+1.040%
Season away (4)80.278.8159.0+1.550%
Last 10 (10)77.276.3153.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)75.472.8148.2+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.295.5177.7-13.314%
vs Similar (10)77.283.0160.2-5.820%
vs Weaker (5)86.677.6164.2+9.060%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 80
A12/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
115-88
115
88
+27
113avg 80
H14/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
99avg 80
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
100-78
100
78
+22
94avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
77-101
77
101
-24
68avg 80
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 80
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
86avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
89avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
100avg 80
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
96avg 80
H12/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
9-22
28-32
18-20
28-27
34-17
34-14
19-30
22-20
28-17
24-17
19-19
28-21
20-17
29-20
23-20
19-25
23-25
10-29
25-22
14-21
21-24
24-16
18-17
22-27
26-29
25-18
17-27
23-23
21-21
25-17
25-19
31-16
25-19
20-17
27-15
22-30
21-20
24-22
31-21
176.9Avg total
92.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.474.3154.8+6.167%
Season at home (5)78.871.8150.6+7.080%
Season away (4)82.577.5160.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)92.384.6176.9+7.760%
Last 5 (5)92.483.8176.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.290.5172.8-8.225%
vs Similar (14)86.182.4168.5+3.679%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.674.9160.5+10.773%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
RostockBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A14/09
German Cup
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A22/09
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H28/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A02/10
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
BBL
75.6Avg total
38.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.383.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.081.1-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.785.8-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.675.6+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.234.874.0+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.246.188.4-3.921%-
vs Similar (10)38.639.177.7-0.560%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A12/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
62-44
62
44
+18
H14/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H17/11
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/12
Euroleague
89.2Avg total
45.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.082.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.640.484.0+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.541.880.3-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)45.843.489.2+2.440%-
Last 5 (5)45.246.091.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.045.281.2-9.20%-
vs Similar (14)42.141.483.4+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.138.680.7+3.555%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.9
51.8%
52.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
33.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.110.8
67.1%
73.5%10.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.420.1
60.2%
52.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.813.4
40.9%
33.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws13.211.3
85.6%
73.5%11.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWLWLLWWL
Bayern
WWWLLLWWWL
#12
League position
#1
+1.3
Net rating
+11.7
106.3
Offensive rating
123.2
105.0
Defensive rating
111.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
60.7%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.4%
3-point %
40.9%
55.4%
Assist %
61.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 123.2Defence105.0 · 111.5Shooting51.7% · 60.7%3-point %34.4% · 40.9%Ball care17.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.8% · 33.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Rostock   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
12/05/24Bayern v Rostock101-73
07/01/24Rostock v Bayern85-91
26/04/23Bayern v Rostock108-76
03/01/23Rostock v Bayern65-78
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24AHeidelberg81-86
10/11/24HBonn64-69
01/11/24HFrankfurt83-66
27/10/24HChemnitz60-68
20/10/24ABamberg89-75
05/10/24HWurzburg65-92
02/10/24ALudwigsburg64-70
28/09/24HGottingen102-74
22/09/24ASyntainics MBC87-84 OT
14/09/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-79
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-93
09/12/24HVechta103-67
05/12/24HBaskonia94-80
03/12/24AAnadolu Efes90-101
01/12/24HVechta77-78
29/11/24ACrvena zvezda77-101
22/11/24HBarcelona100-78
17/11/24HBonn93-73
14/11/24HAlba Berlin115-88
12/11/24AFenerbahce76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWLLWL40%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game77.274.880.2
Allowed / game76.073.878.8
Point differential+1.2+1.0+1.5
Avg total153.2148.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%25%
Bayern
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game80.478.882.5
Allowed / game74.371.877.5
Point differential+6.1+7.0+5.0
Avg total154.8150.6160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Heidelberg118373%82.178.6+3.5
2 Ulm107370%83.077.5+5.5
3 Wurzburg96367%80.873.1+7.7
4 Bayern96367%80.474.3+6.1
5 Chemnitz96367%80.078.1+1.9
6 Ludwigsburg95456%77.173.2+3.9
7 Syntainics MBC95456%85.884.0+1.8
8 Basketball Braunschweig95456%76.475.6+0.9
9 Vechta105550%80.783.2-2.5
10 Bonn105550%82.185.0-2.9
11 Rostock94544%77.276.0+1.2
12 Hamburg94544%81.680.9+0.7
13 Oldenburg94544%84.685.1-0.6
14 Alba Berlin93633%82.982.8+0.1
15 Bamberg93633%81.884.7-2.9
16 Frankfurt102820%77.684.3-6.7
17 Gottingen81712%77.197.0-19.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1921151570
Bayern1424281480
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