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Rostock vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-74
19-25 24-13 19-21 15-15
Position#8
Record9-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.5
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#5
Record11-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.2
GermanyBBLRound 19· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rostock v Wurzburg
10 Oct 2026
ROS101
WUR62
08 Feb 2026
ROS77
WUR74
05 Oct 2024
ROS65
WUR92
20 Jan 2024
ROS78
WUR91
25 Mar 2023
ROS72
WUR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 75
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 75
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 75
H03/01
BBL
Jena
#16
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
75avg 75
A08/01
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H18/01
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
74-83
74
83
-9
68avg 75
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
74avg 75
A23/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 75
H31/01
BBL
Szombathely
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
67avg 75
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
8-23
16-22
26-16
14-18
17-22
24-16
12-29
20-14
18-10
21-30
23-23
10-16
25-24
21-12
14-18
18-14
21-24
17-23
21-24
19-12
18-22
25-18
20-25
15-26
18-16
20-22
21-19
30-26
23-17
18-13
10-21
25-26
17-23
21-21
23-18
18-21
26-15
11-22
20-20
159.1Avg total
77.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.582.5165.1+0.053%
Season at home (9)83.382.6165.9+0.856%
Season away (8)81.682.5164.1-0.950%
Last 10 (10)77.981.2159.1-3.340%
Last 5 (5)79.680.6160.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.281.0155.2-6.825%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.479.4164.9+6.067%
vs Weaker (16)84.981.0165.9+3.956%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Levice
#13
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 74
H06/01
Champions League
Levice
#13
W
74-56
74
56
+18
66avg 74
A08/01
Champions League
Vechta
#7
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
107avg 74
A11/01
BBL
Levice
#13
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
H14/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
A17/01
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
77avg 74
A21/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
79-98
79
98
-19
66avg 74
A25/01
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
68avg 74
A27/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
68avg 74
H01/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
69avg 74
H03/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
22-21
25-23
33-30
18-18
19-15
23-14
14-9
19-20
22-25
26-16
23-29
19-21
18-15
32-12
23-23
24-24
20-26
23-12
19-30
19-24
15-25
23-17
28-24
14-20
22-17
15-28
28-33
27-27
19-15
18-24
11-20
22-19
20-24
18-29
20-26
15-27
27-23
20-16
21-19
171.5Avg total
84.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.182.2165.3+0.861%
Season at home (9)88.083.3171.3+4.778%
Season away (9)78.181.1159.2-3.044%
Last 10 (10)84.786.8171.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)80.491.4171.8-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.892.5177.3-7.717%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.679.2159.8+1.350%
vs Weaker (11)84.176.8160.9+7.382%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
RostockWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
BBL
Jena
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/01
BBL
Murcia
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H18/01
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A20/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#4
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A23/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H31/01
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
76.4Avg total
37.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.280.0+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.779.5+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.680.5+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)37.638.876.4-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.539.873.2-6.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.040.883.8+2.256%-
vs Weaker (16)40.738.278.9+2.550%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levice
#13
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H06/01
Champions League
Levice
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/01
Champions League
Vechta
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A11/01
BBL
Levice
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H14/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/01
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A21/01
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A25/01
BBL
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A27/01
Champions League
Bamberg
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/02
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H03/02
Champions League
81.4Avg total
39.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.981.5-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.382.8+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.580.2-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.481.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.284.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.547.388.8-5.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.240.879.0-2.533%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.781.1+5.673%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.715.9
48.6%
53.8%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.1
33.2%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.417.1
76.3%
73.5%17.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
53.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.1
38.8%
34.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.814.3
72.2%
73.5%14.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLWLWLWWLL
Wurzburg
LLLLLLWWWL
#8
League position
#5
-3.5
Net rating
-5.1
98.5
Offensive rating
102.2
102.0
Defensive rating
107.3
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.0%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.2%
3-point %
38.8%
58.1%
Assist %
59.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 102.2Defence102.0 · 107.3Shooting49.2% · 53.0%3-point %33.2% · 38.8%Ball care16.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds31.9% · 28.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Rostock   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rostock wins
4
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Wurzburg v Rostock63-75
09/02/25Wurzburg v Rostock93-97
05/10/24Rostock v Wurzburg65-92
20/04/24Wurzburg v Rostock86-95
20/01/24Rostock v Wurzburg78-91
25/03/23Rostock v Wurzburg72-76
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HSzombathely75-78
31/01/26HBonn86-88
23/01/26ABonn81-77
20/01/26ATrefl Sopot74-83
18/01/26HSyntainics MBC82-77
14/01/26AMurcia77-85
08/01/26AJena89-82 OT
03/01/26HFrankfurt82-77
31/12/25HBayern67-85
26/12/25HAlba Berlin66-80
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HJoventut Badalona83-85
01/02/26HBamberg80-98
27/01/26AChalon/Saone75-86
25/01/26ABayern79-98
21/01/26AUnicaja85-90
17/01/26ABamberg86-92
14/01/26HLevice92-71
11/01/26AVechta104-100 OT
08/01/26ALevice74-56
06/01/26HLevice89-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL53%
HomeLLWWL56%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game82.583.381.6
Allowed / game82.582.682.5
Point differential+0.0+0.8-0.9
Avg total165.1165.9164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%22%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%11%12%
Wurzburg
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL61%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game83.188.078.1
Allowed / game82.283.381.1
Point differential+0.8+4.7-3.0
Avg total165.3171.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1816289%85.071.8+13.2
2 Alba Berlin1914574%85.977.8+8.1
3 Wurzburg1811761%83.182.2+0.8
4 Trier1811761%89.289.9-0.7
5 Bonn2012860%80.278.2+2.1
6 Ulm1911858%81.776.6+5.2
7 Bamberg1911858%88.883.7+5.1
8 Ludwigsburg1810856%83.782.2+1.4
9 Rostock179853%82.582.5+0.0
10 Frankfurt189950%83.684.1-0.5
11 Oldenburg1881044%84.181.9+2.2
12 Chemnitz1981142%84.686.7-2.2
13 Jena1871139%82.688.4-5.8
14 Hamburg1661038%84.289.7-5.5
15 Syntainics MBC1971237%83.187.5-4.4
16 Vechta1961332%85.289.7-4.6
17 Heidelberg1851328%79.885.2-5.3
18 Basketball Braunschweig1941521%78.488.1-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1924191577
Wurzburg2513211574
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