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Rostock vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-76
20-13 18-23 13-17 21-23
Position#8
Record12-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#11
Record12-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game84.2
GermanyBBLRound 25
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rostock v Wurzburg
10 Oct 2026
ROS101
WUR62
08 Feb 2026
ROS77
WUR74
05 Oct 2024
ROS65
WUR92
20 Jan 2024
ROS78
WUR91
25 Mar 2023
ROS72
WUR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 76
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 76
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 76
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
86avg 76
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 76
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
62-77
62
77
-15
50avg 76
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
no box
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
78-102
78
102
-24
66avg 76
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
80avg 76
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
95avg 76
A18/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
22-24
22-22
17-24
21-13
18-23
25-23
28-24
19-23
19-14
21-24
20-16
24-32
20-14
26-20
21-15
18-15
19-18
19-23
17-24
20-26
14-20
5-13
23-18
24-20
19-11
30-17
14-23
18-25
21-27
17-30
22-20
21-15
19-17
20-22
26-25
30-20
18-21
19-26
27-21
165.7Avg total
82.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.888.7173.5-3.950%
Season at home (12)80.285.8166.1-5.642%
Season away (12)89.491.6181.0-2.258%
Last 10 (10)82.383.4165.7-1.160%
Last 5 (5)81.483.4164.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.990.3170.2-10.427%
vs Similar ◀ (18)86.584.4170.9+2.172%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
91-84
91
84
+7
78avg 72
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
63avg 72
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 72
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
77-74
77
74
+3
66avg 72
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 72
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 72
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 72
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
55avg 72
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 72
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
no box
H17/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
20-23
19-23
23-25
21-19
24-22
14-20
17-18
24-17
19-26
22-21
17-29
19-22
29-17
11-13
18-22
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
20-12
11-27
12-20
19-23
21-27
24-27
15-23
13-17
23-19
24-25
14-19
17-15
164.0Avg total
82.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.784.2167.9-0.650%
Season at home (13)85.182.2167.3+2.854%
Season away (11)82.086.6168.6-4.645%
Last 10 (10)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)80.886.8167.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.085.0160.0-10.029%
vs Similar ◀ (15)85.983.7169.5+2.253%
vs Weaker (2)97.586.0183.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
RostockWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/01
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/01
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H05/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H12/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/03
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A18/03
BBL
80.8Avg total
40.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.743.184.8-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.640.179.7-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)43.746.289.9-2.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.480.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.048.389.3-7.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.240.482.6+1.850%-
vs Weaker (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/03
BBL
86.7Avg total
44.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)43.243.486.6-0.256%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.841.285.0+2.671%-
Last 30 away (11)42.546.288.6-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.286.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.088.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.944.685.4-3.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.542.285.7+1.360%-
vs Weaker (2)48.548.597.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.1
53.4%
54.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.5
35.0%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.117.6
76.2%
75.8%17.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.6
52.6%
54.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.18.0
41.9%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.612.1
72.9%
75.8%12.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
WWLWLLWWWL
Wurzburg
WLLWLWWLLW
#8
League position
#11
-1.4
Net rating
+1.1
106.8
Offensive rating
112.7
108.3
Defensive rating
111.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
55.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
41.9%
57.2%
Assist %
45.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 112.7Defence108.3 · 111.6Shooting53.0% · 55.7%3-point %35.0% · 41.9%Ball care18.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 32.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Rostock   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
1
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23ABamberg94-88
12/03/23HCrailsheim Merlins86-79
04/03/23ASyntainics MBC78-102
15/02/23ABasketball Braunschweig87-71
12/02/23HBonn62-77
05/02/23HOldenburg73-80
03/02/23AHamburg91-81
28/01/23HSyntainics MBC79-77
20/01/23ABayreuth92-83
18/01/23HChemnitz81-96
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23HBayreuth96-89 OT
11/03/23ABonn73-94
03/03/23HUlm62-82
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56
03/02/23HChemnitz77-74
28/01/23AHeidelberg82-93
23/01/23HAlba Berlin76-79
14/01/23AUlm91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLWLLW42%
AwayWWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%42%58%
Points / game84.880.289.4
Allowed / game88.785.891.6
Point differential-3.9-5.6-2.2
Avg total173.5166.1181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%8%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW54%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %50%54%45%
Points / game83.785.182.0
Allowed / game84.282.286.6
Point differential-0.6+2.8-4.6
Avg total167.9167.3168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2321291%90.273.6+16.7
2 Alba Berlin2321291%90.179.9+10.3
3 Bayern2317674%82.376.3+6.0
4 Oldenburg2416867%85.381.0+4.3
5 Gottingen2214864%86.885.1+1.7
6 Ludwigsburg2415962%89.085.3+3.7
7 Ulm24131154%87.284.5+2.7
8 Bamberg25131252%87.886.5+1.3
9 Wurzburg24121250%83.784.2-0.6
10 Rostock24121250%84.888.7-3.9
11 Chemnitz23101343%84.384.4-0.2
12 Syntainics MBC2591636%82.888.3-5.4
13 Crailsheim Merlins2481633%86.590.6-4.1
14 Hamburg2481633%81.585.9-4.4
15 Heidelberg2481633%86.091.1-5.2
16 Basketball Braunschweig2471729%79.384.6-5.3
17 Frankfurt2461825%79.287.4-8.2
18 Bayreuth2442017%81.889.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2018132172
Wurzburg1323172376
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