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Wurzburg vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-95
26-21 17-22 21-21 22-31
Position#4
Record20-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#15
Record7-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game93.6
GermanyBBLRound 29· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Rostock
20 Mar 2027
WUR v ROS
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
WUR63
ROS75
09 Feb 2025
WUR93
ROS97
20 Apr 2024
WUR86
ROS95
19 Nov 2022
WUR97
ROS87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
104-65
104
65
+39
101avg 72
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 72
A14/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
86-80
86
80
+6
77avg 72
H01/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 72
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
85-60
85
60
+25
84avg 72
H13/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
96-76
96
76
+20
94avg 72
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
70avg 72
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 72
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
67avg 72
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
82-90
82
90
-8
68avg 72
H14/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
25-21
23-14
24-16
24-24
16-24
28-21
26-22
28-23
17-18
15-21
26-18
31-17
24-18
18-13
23-28
19-9
17-17
28-16
21-18
21-15
26-23
18-19
31-19
13-22
33-26
9-22
24-17
26-17
25-25
22-13
23-26
16-21
14-13
24-16
21-17
17-20
19-25
23-20
23-25
166.6Avg total
89.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.078.8164.8+7.271%
Season at home (14)84.876.4161.2+8.471%
Season away (14)87.281.1168.3+6.171%
Last 10 (10)89.377.3166.6+12.080%
Last 5 (5)85.680.2165.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.382.3153.7-11.00%
vs Similar (11)82.681.1163.7+1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.576.1166.6+14.393%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
90-94
90
94
-4
74avg 77
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 77
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 77
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 77
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 77
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 77
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 77
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 77
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 77
H14/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
18-26
19-19
27-26
24-29
19-29
23-25
23-22
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
176.6Avg total
83.7Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.493.6182.0-5.226%
Season at home (15)89.094.9183.9-5.933%
Season away (12)87.792.1179.8-4.417%
Last 10 (10)83.792.9176.6-9.210%
Last 5 (5)80.891.2172.0-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)83.893.4177.1-9.612%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker (8)89.282.6171.9+6.675%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -7.6-7.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -7.6-7.6
WurzburgRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#11
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/02
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A09/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H13/03
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H30/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A07/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/04
BBL
83.5Avg total
44.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.279.2+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.078.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.579.7+0.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.283.5+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.339.776.0-3.333%-
vs Similar (11)40.638.979.5+1.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.737.579.2+4.367%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
88.4Avg total
43.6Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.944.888.7-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.344.288.5+0.141%-
Last 30 away (13)43.545.589.0-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.888.4-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)42.747.189.8-4.424%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker (8)44.137.581.6+6.688%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.3
51.5%
54.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.8
39.9%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.616.5
80.1%
76.0%16.5
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
54.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.5
34.5%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.614.1
75.8%
76.0%14.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWWLWWWWWW
Rostock
LWLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#15
+16.8
Net rating
-12.0
120.2
Offensive rating
106.9
103.3
Defensive rating
118.9
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.9%
3-point %
34.5%
57.8%
Assist %
57.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence120.2 · 106.9Defence103.3 · 118.9Shooting55.3% · 52.6%3-point %39.9% · 34.5%Ball care14.1% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.6% · 24.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wurzburg wins
0
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
20/01/24Rostock v Wurzburg78-91
25/03/23Rostock v Wurzburg72-76
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HBayern82-90
07/04/24AGottingen75-67
30/03/24HTubingen96-81
23/03/24AUlm79-87
17/03/24HHamburg96-76
13/03/24HGottingen85-60
09/03/24AOldenburg96-76
01/03/24HCrailsheim Merlins86-80
14/02/24ALudwigsburg94-91
09/02/24HBamberg104-65
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92
10/02/24AHamburg89-105
03/02/24HChemnitz90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game86.084.887.2
Allowed / game78.876.481.1
Point differential+7.2+8.4+6.1
Avg total164.8161.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%43%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL26%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %26%33%17%
Points / game88.489.087.7
Allowed / game93.694.992.1
Point differential-5.2-5.9-4.4
Avg total182.0183.9179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%7%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %19%20%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2723485%89.677.1+12.4
2 Chemnitz2823582%89.277.9+11.4
3 Alba Berlin2621581%91.481.6+9.8
4 Wurzburg2820871%86.078.8+7.2
5 Ulm2819968%91.885.9+5.8
6 Vechta29181162%89.082.4+6.5
7 Bonn28171161%89.585.5+4.0
8 Ludwigsburg29171259%88.481.8+6.7
9 Oldenburg28141450%84.984.5+0.4
10 Hamburg29141548%85.386.5-1.2
11 Bamberg28121643%88.190.6-2.5
12 Basketball Braunschweig28121643%83.085.9-2.9
13 Syntainics MBC2882029%85.492.3-7.0
14 Gottingen2882029%86.093.9-7.9
15 Rostock2772026%88.493.6-5.2
16 Heidelberg2872125%82.494.4-12.0
17 Crailsheim Merlins2862221%80.792.7-12.0
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2617212286
Rostock2122213195
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