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Rostock vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-91
13-23 27-23 14-22 24-23
Position#15
Record6-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game93.6
vs
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game78.6
GermanyBBLRound 17· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Wurzburg
10 Oct 2026
ROS101
WUR62
08 Feb 2026
ROS77
WUR74
05 Oct 2024
ROS65
WUR92
20 Jan 2024
ROS78
WUR91
25 Mar 2023
ROS72
WUR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
63avg 79
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 79
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 79
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 79
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
107-89
107
89
+18
109avg 79
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
97avg 79
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
101avg 79
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 79
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
94-111
94
111
-17
94avg 79
H13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
12-20
21-25
20-18
25-16
21-19
15-25
25-21
20-27
25-23
26-20
25-22
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
28-18
27-34
29-18
23-19
32-16
20-26
23-15
26-21
30-24
21-27
19-22
28-19
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
16-27
23-24
18-16
28-24
20-26
37-26
13-36
24-23
180.3Avg total
90.6Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.193.6185.7-1.540%
Season at home (8)98.697.1195.8+1.562%
Season away (7)84.789.6174.3-4.914%
Last 10 (10)90.689.7180.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)91.891.4183.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)86.396.2182.5-9.923%
vs Similar (4)94.088.0182.0+6.075%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
87-54
87
54
+33
79avg 66
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
83-88
83
88
-5
78avg 66
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 66
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
80avg 66
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
97-78
97
78
+19
96avg 66
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
80avg 66
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
20avg 66
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 66
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
69avg 66
A14/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
15-14
27-19
19-12
19-25
22-20
15-19
27-24
24-22
13-17
27-15
24-18
19-17
27-16
24-20
17-22
34-16
12-11
24-23
27-28
28-19
19-25
21-32
30-20
23-13
5-22
27-28
28-15
14-17
19-14
26-18
24-29
19-19
19-22
24-24
25-22
17-17
20-25
14-22
31-26
170.5Avg total
89.5Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.978.6162.5+5.367%
Season at home (7)80.377.6157.9+2.757%
Season away (8)87.179.5166.6+7.675%
Last 10 (10)89.581.0170.5+8.580%
Last 5 (5)90.688.6179.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.079.7142.7-16.70%
vs Similar (14)81.082.5163.5-1.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.478.0169.4+13.4100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
RostockWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A17/11
BBL
Jonava
#33
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gottingen
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H13/01
BBL
91.0Avg total
45.2Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.088.0+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.942.789.6+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)41.245.386.5-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)45.245.891.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.093.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.248.591.7-5.431%-
vs Similar (4)50.548.298.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A11/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H19/11
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A27/11
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/01
BBL
75.4Avg total
39.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.877.4-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.338.977.2-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.677.6-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.075.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.638.675.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.441.173.6-8.714%-
vs Similar (14)38.040.478.4-2.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.137.978.0+2.262%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.7
55.9%
54.6%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.511.3
42.6%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.216.2
80.2%
76.0%16.2
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.2
51.7%
54.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.8
38.4%
35.4%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
76.0%16.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLLWWWLWWL
Wurzburg
LWWWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#4
+2.8
Net rating
+10.1
121.2
Offensive rating
116.0
118.4
Defensive rating
105.9
59.3%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.6%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.6%
3-point %
38.4%
67.2%
Assist %
47.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence121.2 · 116.0Defence118.4 · 105.9Shooting59.3% · 54.5%3-point %42.6% · 38.4%Ball care16.1% · 14.6%Off. rebounds28.5% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Rostock   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
2
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
25/03/23Rostock v Wurzburg72-76
19/11/22Wurzburg v Rostock97-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HHamburg94-111
07/01/24HBayern85-91
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT
26/12/23HBonn98-92
17/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig101-78
03/12/23AUlm107-89
28/11/23ABamberg83-93
25/11/23HGottingen96-92
21/11/23HJonava86-81
17/11/23AChemnitz75-85
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24AAlba Berlin82-90
08/01/24ATubingen107-101 OT
29/12/23HOldenburg83-78
27/12/23ABamberg83-78
23/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins98-96
16/12/23HBonn97-78
01/12/23HVechta87-75
27/11/23ASyntainics MBC88-72
19/11/23HUlm83-88
11/11/23AHeidelberg87-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%62%14%
Points / game92.198.684.7
Allowed / game93.697.189.6
Point differential-1.5+1.5-4.9
Avg total185.7195.8174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %20%25%14%
Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%57%75%
Points / game83.980.387.1
Allowed / game78.677.679.5
Point differential+5.3+2.7+7.6
Avg total162.5157.9166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%29%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1614288%87.274.6+12.6
2 Bayern1411379%88.176.4+11.7
3 Ulm1713476%93.488.0+5.4
4 Alba Berlin139469%92.485.2+7.2
5 Vechta1611569%91.181.2+9.8
6 Wurzburg1510567%83.978.6+5.3
7 Hamburg1510567%88.988.9+0.0
8 Ludwigsburg1610662%89.479.8+9.6
9 Bonn1710759%90.284.6+5.6
10 Oldenburg167944%85.285.8-0.5
11 Rostock156940%92.193.6-1.5
12 Bamberg1761135%86.990.4-3.5
13 Basketball Braunschweig1761135%82.887.4-4.5
14 Syntainics MBC1651131%83.488.2-4.8
15 Tubingen1641225%86.396.8-10.4
16 Gottingen1431121%89.3101.1-11.9
17 Heidelberg1631319%81.694.2-12.6
18 Crailsheim Merlins1631319%78.494.7-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock1327142478
Wurzburg2323222391
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