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Jonava vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 86-82
20-18 21-20 23-30 22-14
Position#5
Record5-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game92.7
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#7
Record6-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game89.2
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Neptunas
08 May 2027
JON v NEP
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
JON83
NEP84
21 Mar 2026
JON81
NEP64
07 Dec 2025
JON117
NEP124
20 May 2025
JON93
NEP98
28 Dec 2024
JON86
NEP82
15 Oct 2024
JON88
NEP84
08 Apr 2024
JON78
NEP81
29 Oct 2023
JON88
NEP77
01 Feb 2023
JON83
NEP66
21 Jan 2023
JON76
NEP75
16 Dec 2021
JON64
NEP89
21 Oct 2021
JON86
NEP92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 76
A10/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
110-111 OT
110
111
-1
102avg 76
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H17/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 76
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 76
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
99avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
93-98
93
98
-5
85avg 76
H08/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 76
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
93-103
93
103
-10
84avg 76
A16/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
57avg 76
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
19-27
23-17
16-11
23-24
20-21
19-13
23-27
16-26
21-20
22-24
25-12
16-18
21-25
30-24
23-20
10-19
13-27
25-27
16-28
17-29
28-26
24-19
35-16
28-26
23-23
13-23
29-26
15-10
11-19
22-15
28-34
25-30
16-13
20-32
32-28
17-24
18-23
22-22
20-26
179.5Avg total
87.1Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.492.7180.1-5.242%
Season at home (6)88.390.5178.8-2.250%
Season away (6)86.594.8181.3-8.333%
Last 10 (10)87.192.4179.5-5.340%
Last 5 (5)88.692.8181.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.596.2176.7-15.618%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.893.2183.9-2.446%
vs Weaker (6)94.282.2176.3+12.067%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 82
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 82
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 82
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 82
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 82
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 82
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 82
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 82
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 82
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 82
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
176.4Avg total
85.1Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.189.2175.3-3.250%
Season at home (4)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
Season away (8)90.192.4182.5-2.250%
Last 10 (10)85.191.3176.4-6.240%
Last 5 (5)84.690.8175.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.885.8166.7-5.038%
vs Similar ◀ (4)88.890.2179.0-1.550%
vs Weaker (13)94.090.7184.7+3.346%
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
JonavaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A10/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H17/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H08/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
83.3Avg total
37.9Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.246.488.7-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.145.288.4-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)41.447.588.9-6.119%-
Last 10 (10)37.945.483.3-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.684.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.847.887.6-8.09%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.248.792.9-4.531%-
vs Weaker (6)42.339.081.3+3.350%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
87.3Avg total
40.1Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.742.386.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.840.684.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)43.643.587.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.147.287.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.650.088.6-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.342.883.1-2.546%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)48.042.290.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker (13)45.841.887.5+4.062%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.622.1
54.4%
55.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.4
29.2%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.319.5
80.2%
75.0%19.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.7
53.7%
55.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.7
31.0%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
75.0%15.6
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLLLWLWWLW
Neptunas
LLWLWLLWWL
#5
League position
#7
-7.7
Net rating
-8.0
109.6
Offensive rating
108.4
117.3
Defensive rating
116.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
50.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
18.4%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.2%
3-point %
31.0%
54.9%
Assist %
64.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 108.4Defence117.3 · 116.4Shooting50.4% · 50.4%3-point %29.2% · 31.0%Ball care18.0% · 18.4%Off. rebounds33.3% · 35.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Jonava   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Jonava wins
5
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
13/11/24Neptunas v Jonava111-110 OT
15/10/24Jonava v Neptunas88-84
29/09/24Neptunas v Jonava90-87
08/04/24Jonava v Neptunas78-81
10/12/23Neptunas v Jonava69-64
29/10/23Jonava v Neptunas88-77
26/03/23Neptunas v Jonava76-70
01/02/23Jonava v Neptunas83-66
21/01/23Jonava v Neptunas76-75
04/01/23Neptunas v Jonava80-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HBC Wolves77-95
16/12/24ASiauliai93-103
11/12/24AMazeikiai76-78
08/12/24HJuventus93-98
04/12/24ASiauliai104-90
01/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-101
27/11/24HJuventus90-87
17/11/24HLietkabelis84-82
13/11/24ANeptunas110-111 OT
10/11/24AJuventus80-79
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HRytas67-78
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game87.488.386.5
Allowed / game92.790.594.8
Point differential-5.2-2.2-8.3
Avg total180.1178.8181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game86.178.090.1
Allowed / game89.283.092.4
Point differential-3.2-5.0-2.2
Avg total175.3161.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1210283%89.071.4+17.6
2 Rytas129375%89.983.2+6.7
3 BC Wolves118373%91.585.2+6.4
4 Juventus126650%83.380.8+2.6
5 Lietkabelis126650%82.582.0+0.5
6 Neptunas126650%86.189.2-3.2
7 Siauliai115645%92.698.4-5.7
8 Jonava125742%87.492.7-5.2
9 Nevezis1221017%83.088.7-5.7
10 Mazeikiai1221017%81.495.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2021232286
Neptunas1820301482
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