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Mazeikiai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-76
10-15 19-11 15-22 34-28
Position#9
Record3-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game90.9
vs
Position#4
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game87.9
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Telsiu sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Jonava
06 May 2025
MAZ86
JON107
05 Jan 2025
MAZ72
JON83
11 Dec 2024
MAZ78
JON76
14 Apr 2024
MAZ62
JON79
23 Sep 2023
MAZ79
JON82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
69avg 72
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 72
H03/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 72
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
90avg 72
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
100-99
100
99
+1
92avg 72
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-101
46
101
-55
31avg 72
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 72
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
68avg 72
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 72
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
87avg 72
A07/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
15-16
24-24
16-18
13-29
22-20
23-30
19-19
13-27
20-25
20-16
17-23
25-22
27-33
17-36
29-18
22-26
24-20
27-30
27-23
8-26
13-26
12-24
13-25
21-19
19-21
21-19
28-26
19-16
23-29
20-23
21-25
23-18
18-24
16-22
28-18
18-23
16-30
21-17
32-23
174.9Avg total
80.9Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.890.9170.7-11.133%
Season at home (4)79.288.2167.5-9.025%
Season away (5)80.293.0173.2-12.840%
Last 10 (10)80.994.0174.9-13.130%
Last 5 (5)78.090.8168.8-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)77.692.3170.0-14.718%
vs Similar (2)71.586.0157.5-14.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
89-74
89
74
+15
82avg 76
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
74-94
74
94
-20
51avg 76
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
78avg 76
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 76
A10/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
110-111 OT
110
111
-1
102avg 76
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H17/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 76
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 76
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
99avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
93-98
93
98
-5
85avg 76
H08/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
16-15
24-24
18-16
21-16
25-36
12-23
16-19
27-20
26-23
13-23
18-21
22-24
19-27
23-17
16-11
23-24
20-21
19-13
23-27
16-26
21-20
22-24
25-12
16-18
21-25
30-24
23-20
10-19
13-27
25-27
16-28
17-29
28-26
24-19
35-16
28-26
23-23
13-23
29-26
177.5Avg total
87.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.987.9180.8+5.067%
Season at home (5)89.481.8171.2+7.6100%
Season away (4)97.295.5192.8+1.825%
Last 10 (10)87.290.3177.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)87.091.6178.6-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.596.2176.7-15.618%
vs Similar (14)89.188.3177.4+0.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)97.883.0180.8+14.880%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.3+2.3
MazeikiaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H03/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
LKL
85.9Avg total
37.8Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.246.485.6-7.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.445.184.5-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)39.047.786.7-8.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.848.185.9-10.30%-
Last 5 (5)35.646.482.0-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.346.285.5-6.925%-
vs Similar (2)38.048.586.5-10.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H03/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A10/11
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H17/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H08/12
LKL
88.7Avg total
42.3Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.146.289.3-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.544.187.6-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.848.391.1-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)42.346.488.7-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.647.886.4-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.847.887.6-8.09%-
vs Similar (14)44.946.891.6-1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.641.086.6+4.660%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.9
53.7%
55.0%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.2
39.9%
36.6%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
74.4%13.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.322.1
54.8%
55.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.77.7
30.0%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.918.9
79.1%
74.4%18.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LWLWLWLLLL
Jonava
LWLWWLWLLW
#9
League position
#4
-17.3
Net rating
-4.0
107.7
Offensive rating
111.3
124.9
Defensive rating
115.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.9%
3-point %
30.0%
58.4%
Assist %
53.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 111.3Defence124.9 · 115.3Shooting56.5% · 51.0%3-point %39.9% · 30.0%Ball care20.7% · 16.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 32.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mazeikiai wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
31/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai89-74
19/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai103-83
14/04/24Mazeikiai v Jonava62-79
03/02/24Jonava v Mazeikiai87-96
23/09/23Mazeikiai v Jonava79-82
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24ANevezis87-93
03/12/24AJuventus85-82
30/11/24HRytas83-93
27/11/24HNevezis89-85
17/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas46-101
13/11/24ASiauliai100-99
09/11/24ARytas98-109
06/11/24HNeptunas70-91
03/11/24HNevezis77-98
31/10/24AJonava74-89
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HJuventus93-98
04/12/24ASiauliai104-90
01/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-101
27/11/24HJuventus90-87
17/11/24HLietkabelis84-82
13/11/24ANeptunas110-111 OT
10/11/24AJuventus80-79
06/11/24ANevezis84-87
03/11/24HRytas74-94
31/10/24HMazeikiai89-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game79.879.280.2
Allowed / game90.988.293.0
Point differential-11.1-9.0-12.8
Avg total170.7167.5173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game92.989.497.2
Allowed / game87.981.895.5
Point differential+5.0+7.6+1.8
Avg total180.8171.2192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %11%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jonava96367%92.987.9+5.0
2 Siauliai106460%96.796.5+0.2
3 Neptunas95456%96.489.8+6.7
4 Nevezis105550%91.089.7+1.3
5 Juventus93633%88.090.2-2.2
6 Mazeikiai93633%79.890.9-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1019153478
Jonava1511222876
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