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Mazeikiai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-83
19-22 13-17 19-17 21-27
Position#10
Record2-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game95.2
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record6-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game91.8
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Jonava
06 May 2025
MAZ86
JON107
05 Jan 2025
MAZ72
JON83
11 Dec 2024
MAZ78
JON76
14 Apr 2024
MAZ62
JON79
23 Sep 2023
MAZ79
JON82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
98-109
98
109
-11
90avg 73
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
100-99
100
99
+1
92avg 73
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-101
46
101
-55
31avg 73
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
89-85
89
85
+4
86avg 73
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
68avg 73
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 73
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-93
87
93
-6
87avg 73
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
71avg 73
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 73
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
85avg 73
A29/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
27-33
17-36
29-18
22-26
24-20
27-30
27-23
8-26
13-26
12-24
13-25
21-19
19-21
21-19
28-26
19-16
23-29
20-23
21-25
23-18
18-24
16-22
28-18
18-23
16-30
21-17
32-23
10-15
19-11
15-22
34-28
22-14
22-22
19-12
30-39
19-20
23-25
23-21
29-29
177.3Avg total
85.3Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.495.2177.6-12.815%
Season at home (7)83.693.6177.1-10.029%
Season away (6)81.097.2178.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)85.392.0177.3-6.750%
Last 5 (5)87.486.6174.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.592.0170.6-13.521%
vs Similar (2)71.586.0157.5-14.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
110-111 OT
110
111
-1
102avg 76
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
76avg 76
H17/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
90-87
90
87
+3
79avg 76
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
49avg 76
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
99avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
93-98
93
98
-5
85avg 76
H08/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
66avg 76
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
93-103
93
103
-10
84avg 76
A16/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
57avg 76
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
86-82
86
82
+4
83avg 76
H28/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
20-21
19-13
23-27
16-26
21-20
22-24
25-12
16-18
21-25
30-24
23-20
10-19
13-27
25-27
16-28
17-29
28-26
24-19
35-16
28-26
23-23
13-23
29-26
15-10
11-19
22-15
28-34
25-30
16-13
20-32
32-28
17-24
18-23
22-22
20-26
20-18
21-20
23-30
22-14
180.4Avg total
87.7Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.391.8179.2-4.546%
Season at home (7)88.089.3177.3-1.357%
Season away (6)86.594.8181.3-8.333%
Last 10 (10)87.792.7180.4-5.040%
Last 5 (5)85.091.2176.2-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.596.2176.7-15.618%
vs Similar (13)91.090.5181.5+0.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)94.282.2176.3+12.067%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
MazeikiaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
A17/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A07/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
LKL
83.1Avg total
39.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.845.884.6-7.023%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.944.183.1-5.231%-
Last 30 away (14)38.747.786.4-9.014%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.083.1-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.478.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.945.684.5-6.725%-
vs Similar (2)38.048.586.5-10.50%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H17/11
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A01/12
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H08/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A11/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A16/12
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H22/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/12
LKL
82.0Avg total
37.9Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.587.7-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.044.787.7-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.546.387.7-4.820%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.182.0-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.847.887.6-8.09%-
vs Similar (13)44.246.590.8-2.338%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.339.081.3+3.350%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.9
53.1%
55.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.511.3
39.6%
35.9%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
75.0%17.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.6
55.4%
55.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
35.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
75.0%19.3
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LWWLWLWLWL
Jonava
WLLLLWLWWL
#10
League position
#5
-8.3
Net rating
-6.7
111.5
Offensive rating
110.0
119.7
Defensive rating
116.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
51.1%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.6%
3-point %
29.4%
56.4%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 110.0Defence119.7 · 116.7Shooting56.1% · 51.1%3-point %39.6% · 29.4%Ball care19.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds28.3% · 34.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mazeikiai wins
4
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Mazeikiai v Jonava78-76
31/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai89-74
19/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai103-83
14/04/24Mazeikiai v Jonava62-79
03/02/24Jonava v Mazeikiai87-96
23/09/23Mazeikiai v Jonava79-82
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ABC Wolves94-95
14/12/24HLietkabelis93-87
11/12/24HJonava78-76
07/12/24ANevezis87-93
03/12/24AJuventus85-82
30/11/24HRytas83-93
27/11/24HNevezis89-85
17/11/24AZalgiris Kaunas46-101
13/11/24ASiauliai100-99
09/11/24ARytas98-109
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HNeptunas86-82
22/12/24HBC Wolves77-95
16/12/24ASiauliai93-103
11/12/24AMazeikiai76-78
08/12/24HJuventus93-98
04/12/24ASiauliai104-90
01/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas64-101
27/11/24HJuventus90-87
17/11/24HLietkabelis84-82
13/11/24ANeptunas110-111 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %15%29%0%
Points / game82.483.681.0
Allowed / game95.293.697.2
Point differential-12.8-10.0-16.2
Avg total177.6177.1178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW46%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game87.388.086.5
Allowed / game91.889.394.8
Point differential-4.5-1.3-8.3
Avg total179.2177.3181.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%91.872.1+19.7
2 Rytas1411379%90.282.4+7.9
3 BC Wolves1310377%92.787.2+5.5
4 Juventus147750%83.485.4-2.0
5 Jonava136746%87.391.8-4.5
6 Lietkabelis146843%82.483.1-0.7
7 Neptunas146843%85.189.4-4.3
8 Siauliai135838%92.899.1-6.2
9 Nevezis1431121%86.089.8-3.8
10 Mazeikiai1321115%82.495.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1913192172
Jonava2217172783
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