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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-78
16-24 22-19 18-15 11-20
Position#2
Record6-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game96.1
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#7
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals· Svyturio arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 82
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 82
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 82
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 82
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 82
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 82
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 82
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 82
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 82
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 82
A15/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
178.0Avg total
87.5Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)96.189.0185.1+7.160%
Season at home (5)101.889.4191.2+12.460%
Season away (5)90.488.6179.0+1.860%
Last 10 (10)87.590.5178.0-3.050%
Last 5 (5)83.890.0173.8-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.885.8166.7-5.038%
vs Similar (4)88.890.2179.0-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.891.5186.2+3.346%
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#35
W
103-83
103
83
+20
102avg 88
H30/10
Champions League
Jonava
#5
W
94-74
94
74
+20
95avg 88
A03/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
109-98
109
98
+11
104avg 88
H09/11
LKL
Szombathely
#35
W
82-72 OT
82
72
+10
74avg 88
A13/11
Champions League
BC Wolves
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 88
H17/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 88
A30/11
LKL
Reggiana
#26
W
94-84 OT
94
84
+10
89avg 88
H04/12
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
60avg 88
A08/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
93avg 88
H14/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#38
W
98-88
98
88
+10
89avg 88
A18/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
21-18
24-27
30-20
16-21
36-25
23-12
19-16
22-25
33-27
36-17
18-29
21-15
13-25
19-17
15-11
15-11
22-15
17-29
17-27
16-19
29-23
23-20
25-21
23-23
23-22
16-10
19-26
21-19
11-20
16-18
19-21
24-21
20-16
23-17
22-15
29-17
22-27
24-19
23-25
171.1Avg total
90.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)90.081.1171.1+8.980%
Last 5 (5)88.280.4168.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.083.0162.0-4.050%
vs Similar (4)90.590.0180.5+0.575%
vs Weaker (24)94.083.3177.3+10.679%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
87.7Avg total
41.5Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.386.2+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.440.685.0+3.869%-
Last 30 away (17)43.643.587.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.546.287.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)37.448.886.2-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.342.883.1-2.546%-
vs Similar (4)48.042.290.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)46.341.888.1+4.569%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szombathely
#35
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H30/10
Champions League
Jonava
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A03/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H09/11
LKL
Szombathely
#35
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/11
Champions League
BC Wolves
#4
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H17/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A30/11
LKL
Reggiana
#26
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/12
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A08/12
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H14/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#38
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A18/12
Champions League
85.2Avg total
44.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.942.888.7+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.588.4+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)45.943.189.1+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.785.2+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
vs Similar (4)43.545.288.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (24)46.842.989.6+3.967%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.9
55.1%
55.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.3
32.9%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
74.4%15.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.525.0
56.2%
55.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.7
32.5%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
74.4%15.9
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWLLWWLW
Rytas
WWLWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#7
-4.4
Net rating
+11.6
111.7
Offensive rating
115.8
116.1
Defensive rating
104.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
32.5%
66.2%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 115.8Defence116.1 · 104.3Shooting52.4% · 53.6%3-point %32.9% · 32.5%Ball care19.0% · 16.2%Off. rebounds37.3% · 35.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
21/09/24Rytas v Neptunas84-90
16/03/24Rytas v Neptunas83-84
23/12/23Neptunas v Rytas70-77
11/11/23Rytas v Neptunas93-75
14/05/23Neptunas v Rytas91-95
12/05/23Rytas v Neptunas107-99 OT
10/04/23Neptunas v Rytas86-90
28/01/23Neptunas v Rytas70-82
29/09/22Rytas v Neptunas93-67
28/04/22Neptunas v Rytas93-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24ASlask Wroclaw98-88
14/12/24HNevezis89-69
08/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas67-78
04/12/24HReggiana94-84 OT
30/11/24AMazeikiai93-83
17/11/24HBC Wolves71-82
13/11/24ASzombathely82-72 OT
09/11/24HMazeikiai109-98
03/11/24AJonava94-74
30/10/24HSzombathely103-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game96.1101.890.4
Allowed / game89.089.488.6
Point differential+7.1+12.4+1.8
Avg total185.1191.2179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %20%40%0%
Rytas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas106460%96.189.0+7.1
2 Jonava106460%91.286.9+4.3
3 Siauliai106460%96.796.5+0.2
4 Nevezis105550%91.089.7+1.3
5 Mazeikiai104640%79.689.4-9.8
6 Juventus103730%87.490.5-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1622181167
Rytas2419152078
← all games of the day
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