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Rytas vs Lietkabelis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 16 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:50
Scheduled
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.3
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rytas v Lietkabelis
16 May 2027
RYT v LIE
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
RYT v LIE
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
RYT96
LIE81
21 Feb 2026
RYT106
LIE89
13 Dec 2025
RYT73
LIE84
08 Jun 2025
RYT94
LIE70
04 Jun 2025
RYT87
LIE86
30 May 2025
RYT86
LIE82
10 May 2025
RYT90
LIE72
28 Dec 2024
RYT90
LIE78
07 Apr 2024
RYT113
LIE100
17 Feb 2024
RYT86
LIE94
22 Oct 2023
RYT94
LIE73
25 Mar 2023
RYT92
LIE91
19 Feb 2023
RYT88
LIE91
10 Dec 2022
RYT109
LIE104
07 Jun 2022
RYT79
LIE76
01 Jun 2022
RYT85
LIE63
26 May 2022
RYT68
LIE77
19 Feb 2022
RYT80
LIE82
09 Oct 2021
RYT85
LIE71
30 May 2021
RYT87
LIE80
25 May 2021
RYT97
LIE72
09 Mar 2021
RYT81
LIE67
30 Jan 2021
RYT78
LIE72
07 May 2020
RYT v LIE
upcoming
28 Dec 2019
RYT82
LIE77
19 Jan 2019
RYT75
LIE96
05 Dec 2018
RYT83
LIE94
20 Jan 2018
RYT96
LIE67
27 Sep 2017
RYT81
LIE97
20 May 2017
RYT73
LIE81
14 May 2017
RYT96
LIE85
20 Apr 2017
RYT92
LIE60
28 Sep 2016
RYT68
LIE66
03 May 2016
RYT83
LIE78
27 Apr 2016
RYT79
LIE74
20 Apr 2016
RYT91
LIE69
19 Dec 2015
RYT87
LIE67
24 Jan 2015
RYT101
LIE95
30 Nov 2014
RYT90
LIE61
26 Feb 2014
RYT85
LIE74
19 Nov 2011
RYT80
LIE55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 84
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 84
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 84
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 84
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 84
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 84
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
102-82
102
82
+20
no box
H11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
21-20
25-22
14-23
21-20
32-16
20-20
22-25
28-21
171.3Avg total
87.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.685.4175.0+4.262%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)87.983.4171.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)92.085.8177.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.584.5164.0-5.00%
vs Similar (5)93.085.6178.6+7.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.884.5175.3+6.370%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLietkabelis
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
93avg 68
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
73-72
73
72
+1
66avg 68
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
64-57
64
57
+7
54avg 68
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 68
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
68-86
68
86
-18
54avg 68
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
W
99-79
99
79
+20
91avg 68
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
61-99
61
99
-38
no box
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
27-18
24-24
21-22
20-19
22-9
20-21
11-23
13-10
20-15
16-20
15-12
14-27
23-12
22-16
21-28
25-22
17-28
9-17
17-19
19-33
29-20
25-11
26-15
14-24
14-21
17-22
21-13
20-21
22-25
23-14
20-21
19-22
16-25
9-32
17-20
22-21
23-21
19-15
17-16
156.8Avg total
77.2Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.780.3160.0-0.660%
Season at home (5)83.678.4162.0+5.280%
Season away (5)75.882.2158.0-6.440%
Last 10 (10)77.279.6156.8-2.460%
Last 5 (5)78.482.4160.8-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.087.2165.2-9.231%
vs Similar (12)78.878.3157.1+0.442%
vs Weaker (5)74.471.8146.2+2.680%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
RytasLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#38
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#8
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
LKL
Nanterre
#38
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H11/11
Champions League
83.7Avg total
44.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.486.2+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.485.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)43.843.787.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.383.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)48.438.687.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.042.085.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (5)39.842.482.2-2.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.041.287.1+4.870%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/10
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A17/10
LKL
Balkan
#32
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A20/10
Eurocup
Gargzdai
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/10
LKL
Ulm
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#5
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H31/10
LKL
Manresa
#8
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H04/11
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/11
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/11
LKL
81.7Avg total
40.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.342.080.3-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.142.280.3-4.120%-
Last 30 away (15)38.641.780.3-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.241.581.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.686.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.844.283.9-4.415%-
vs Similar (12)37.043.180.1-6.117%-
vs Weaker (5)37.833.671.4+4.280%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.3
51.6%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.8
35.0%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
70.8%14.6
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLWLWWWWLW
Lietkabelis
WLWLWLLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+2.5
Net rating
-2.7
99.7
Offensive rating
95.5
97.2
Defensive rating
98.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
35.0%
61.9%
Assist %
56.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 95.5Defence97.2 · 98.3Shooting55.3% · 51.9%3-point %33.9% · 35.0%Ball care15.0% · 15.3%Free throws0.44 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Rytas   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rytas wins
6
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Lietkabelis v Rytas85-81
03/05/26Lietkabelis v Rytas96-71
22/03/26Rytas v Lietkabelis96-81
21/02/26Rytas v Lietkabelis106-89
13/12/25Rytas v Lietkabelis73-84
11/10/25Lietkabelis v Rytas89-84
08/06/25Rytas v Lietkabelis94-70
06/06/25Lietkabelis v Rytas87-76
04/06/25Rytas v Lietkabelis87-86
01/06/25Lietkabelis v Rytas76-73
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HNanterre102-82
07/11/26ALietkabelis81-85
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATaurage81-73
11/11/26ABahcesehir Kol.61-99
07/11/26HRytas85-81
04/11/26HManresa66-80
31/10/26HNeptunas99-79
27/10/26HUlm68-86
24/10/26AGargzdai80-83
20/10/26ABalkan64-57
17/10/26ANevezis73-72
13/10/26HPAOK95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%33%80%
Points / game89.692.388.0
Allowed / game85.492.081.4
Point differential+4.2+0.3+6.6
Avg total175.0184.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game79.783.675.8
Allowed / game80.378.482.2
Point differential-0.6+5.2-6.4
Avg total160.0162.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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