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Nevezis-OPTIBET vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 47-78
18-22 14-23 8-12 7-21
Position#10
Record6-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#1
Record12-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game69.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Nevezis-OPTIBET v Zalgiris Kaunas
06 Feb 2021
NOP53
ZAL108
02 Feb 2021
NOP47
ZAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBET winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nevezis-OPTIBETLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis-OPTIBET
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
78avg 71
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 71
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
47avg 71
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 71
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
74avg 71
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
69avg 71
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-98
69
98
-29
64avg 71
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
59-94
59
94
-35
54avg 71
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
76avg 71
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
H31/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
33-27
16-20
23-20
22-25
15-24
16-16
17-22
12-27
12-23
20-18
14-13
23-17
12-33
31-16
19-21
23-24
19-18
29-23
20-31
24-23
18-17
14-22
22-20
14-29
17-21
23-23
15-25
10-27
14-17
25-30
10-20
24-15
11-14
18-19
26-28
18-24
18-12
12-32
16-21
161.5Avg total
73.8Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.084.3162.3-6.333%
Season at home (9)79.282.7161.9-3.456%
Season away (9)76.885.9162.7-9.111%
Last 10 (10)73.887.7161.5-13.910%
Last 5 (5)69.887.8157.6-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.087.1164.1-10.122%
vs Similar (9)79.081.4160.4-2.444%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
98-82
98
82
+16
no box
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
W
102-75
102
75
+27
108avg 80
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
61avg 80
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
51avg 80
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
103-77
103
77
+26
no box
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
81-79
81
79
+2
84avg 80
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
94-59
94
59
+35
91avg 80
H24/01
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
79avg 80
A27/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
68-81
68
81
-13
66avg 80
A29/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
81avg 80
A31/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
28-24
23-17
22-15
22-20
17-28
39-13
24-14
11-18
21-27
20-15
21-23
14-17
22-19
13-20
16-21
30-18
24-19
22-27
27-13
26-20
19-24
18-16
18-19
27-10
17-14
30-25
20-10
20-20
27-18
13-17
19-23
20-21
16-24
12-16
20-20
28-22
24-24
24-19
11-25
163.1Avg total
85.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.169.1157.2+18.986%
Season at home (7)86.364.9151.1+21.486%
Season away (7)89.973.4163.3+16.486%
Last 10 (10)85.078.1163.1+6.960%
Last 5 (5)81.877.4159.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar (15)79.579.3158.8+0.153%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)93.873.5167.3+20.392%
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Nevezis-OPTIBETZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nevezis-OPTIBETLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A22/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H01/12
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
L
24-50
24
50
-26
H28/12
LKL
CBet
#5
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A03/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A20/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A24/01
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H27/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/01
LKL
78.9Avg total
35.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)38.040.778.7-2.739%-
Last 30 at home (9)39.239.478.7-0.256%-
Last 30 away (9)36.841.978.7-5.122%-
Last 10 (10)35.243.778.9-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.873.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.342.079.3-4.733%-
vs Similar (9)38.739.378.0-0.744%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Khimki M.
#18
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H08/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A13/01
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A15/01
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H22/01
Euroleague
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H24/01
LKL
Valencia
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A27/01
Euroleague
Baskonia
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A29/01
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A31/01
LKL
85.1Avg total
43.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.881.9+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.438.381.7+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.282.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.385.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.343.077.3-8.70%-
vs Similar (15)40.541.381.9-0.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.137.083.1+9.183%-
This opponent (Nevezis-OPTIBET) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezis-OPTIBETtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis-OPTIBET: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.7
50.3%
54.2%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
36.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
75.2%12.7
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.2
54.8%
54.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.6
40.2%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws13.411.1
82.8%
75.2%11.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis-OPTIBET
LWLLLLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWWWWLLWW
#10
League position
#1
-18.0
Net rating
+7.0
95.6
Offensive rating
114.6
113.6
Defensive rating
107.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
24.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.0%
3-point %
40.2%
61.2%
Assist %
64.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 114.6Defence113.6 · 107.6Shooting49.9% · 56.7%3-point %33.0% · 40.2%Ball care24.1% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Nevezis-OPTIBET   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis-OPTIBET wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
24/01/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Nevezis-OPTIBET94-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes64-89
27/01/21HNeptunas79-76
24/01/21AZalgiris Kaunas59-94
20/01/21ALietkabelis69-98
14/01/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-82
09/01/21ARytas91-96
03/01/21ACBet85-87
28/12/20HPieno Zvaigzdes58-81
01/12/20HJuventus70-87
22/11/20ASiauliai85-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21AJuventus87-90
29/01/21ABaskonia68-81
27/01/21AValencia79-78
24/01/21HNevezis-OPTIBET94-59
22/01/21HOlympiacos81-79
18/01/21HPieno Zvaigzdes103-77
15/01/21AZenit Petersburg65-77
13/01/21ACSKA Moscow73-83
08/01/21HKhimki M.102-75
05/01/21APieno Zvaigzdes98-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis-OPTIBET
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLLWL56%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%56%11%
Points / game78.079.276.8
Allowed / game84.382.785.9
Point differential-6.3-3.4-9.1
Avg total162.3161.9162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game88.186.389.9
Allowed / game69.164.973.4
Point differential+18.9+21.4+16.4
Avg total157.2151.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%71%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1412286%88.169.1+18.9
2 Rytas1712571%88.681.1+7.5
3 Juventus1712571%86.985.5+1.4
4 Lietkabelis1611569%83.974.4+9.5
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes178947%78.980.4-1.4
6 CBet2071335%86.591.3-4.9
7 Alytaus Dzukija124833%80.984.0-3.1
8 Nevezis-OPTIBET1861233%78.084.3-6.3
9 Neptunas1861233%78.385.1-6.8
10 Siauliai1541127%81.392.7-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis-OPTIBET18148747
Zalgiris Kaunas2223122178
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