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Rytas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 104-74
27-23 20-15 30-16 27-20
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game80.5
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#9
Record3-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game90.0
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Rytas v Nevezis
02 May 2027
RYT v NEV
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
RYT v NEV
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
RYT105
NEV91
06 Dec 2025
RYT104
NEV74
01 Mar 2025
RYT99
NEV98
14 Dec 2024
RYT89
NEV69
10 Feb 2024
RYT113
NEV64
26 Apr 2023
RYT99
NEV93
21 Jan 2023
RYT98
NEV78
10 Oct 2022
RYT88
NEV92
13 Feb 2022
RYT108
NEV73
07 Mar 2020
RYT96
NEV75
04 Jan 2020
RYT90
NEV71
17 Apr 2019
RYT68
NEV70
24 Nov 2018
RYT100
NEV61
02 May 2018
RYT97
NEV77
02 Dec 2017
RYT98
NEV70
28 Jan 2017
RYT86
NEV78
22 Sep 2016
RYT89
NEV70
05 Mar 2016
RYT87
NEV70
17 Oct 2015
RYT116
NEV54
18 Mar 2015
RYT119
NEV76
03 Jan 2015
RYT98
NEV74
01 May 2014
RYT104
NEV46
07 Feb 2014
RYT67
NEV64
31 Mar 2012
RYT84
NEV86
11 Feb 2010
RYT110
NEV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#29
L
83-92
83
92
-9
70avg 87
A15/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 87
H18/10
LKL
Promitheas
#31
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 87
H22/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
92avg 87
H25/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 87
A02/11
LKL
Heidelberg
#29
W
116-90
116
90
+26
118avg 87
H05/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
104-72
104
72
+32
104avg 87
H09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
105-100
105
100
+5
104avg 87
A15/11
LKL
Legia
#33
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 87
A18/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
105-71
105
71
+34
105avg 87
A22/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
21-21
20-28
16-22
21-17
33-27
19-20
24-29
29-19
24-20
24-18
21-22
32-24
25-21
21-21
16-13
21-15
17-27
14-22
23-15
31-23
28-22
33-21
24-24
28-21
36-25
20-16
20-10
19-22
27-20
31-27
28-31
22-25
20-17
17-16
20-19
29-14
26-19
29-19
21-19
178.8Avg total
95.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)93.780.5174.2+13.280%
Season at home (4)98.579.2177.8+19.2100%
Season away (6)90.581.3171.8+9.267%
Last 10 (10)95.683.2178.8+12.480%
Last 5 (5)101.882.0183.8+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.184.0165.1-2.929%
vs Similar (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)95.282.7177.9+12.582%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
98avg 81
H19/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
98avg 81
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 81
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 81
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 81
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
52avg 81
H09/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
59avg 81
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 81
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
79-96
79
96
-17
61avg 81
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
no box
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
26-28
27-19
29-28
32-15
29-28
20-21
20-24
16-18
20-24
29-17
23-25
21-22
25-26
28-19
20-20
26-11
28-16
16-29
22-18
19-21
12-24
25-25
12-24
11-24
24-12
23-26
21-24
25-17
21-19
18-14
19-28
23-22
17-25
16-24
23-25
20-25
18-22
26-27
26-16
177.3Avg total
89.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.490.0172.4-7.630%
Season at home (6)82.890.7173.5-7.833%
Season away (4)81.889.0170.8-7.225%
Last 10 (10)89.388.0177.3+1.370%
Last 5 (5)82.290.8173.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)86.292.9179.2-6.738%
vs Similar (10)88.191.0179.1-2.940%
vs Weaker (7)96.687.0183.6+9.657%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.7-1.7
RytasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#29
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A15/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H18/10
LKL
Promitheas
#31
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H22/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H25/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A02/11
LKL
Heidelberg
#29
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H05/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H09/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/11
LKL
Legia
#33
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Jonava
#8
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A22/11
LKL
93.5Avg total
51.5Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.041.288.2+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.342.193.4+9.279%-
Last 30 away (16)43.340.483.7+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)51.542.093.5+9.580%-
Last 5 (5)53.241.694.8+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.036.974.9+1.157%-
vs Similar (1)54.044.098.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)49.642.492.0+7.264%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H09/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
85.5Avg total
43.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.245.589.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.944.989.8+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)43.546.189.6-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.785.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.280.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)40.846.887.6-5.923%-
vs Similar (10)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)50.143.093.1+7.157%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 94.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.4
38.0%
35.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.819.0
76.6%
74.3%19.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.9
53.0%
55.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.2
33.5%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws23.116.3
70.6%
74.3%16.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWWWWLWWWL
Nevezis
WLWLLWWWWW
#2
League position
#9
+16.2
Net rating
+1.7
125.3
Offensive rating
112.8
109.2
Defensive rating
111.1
57.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
44.6%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.0%
3-point %
33.5%
55.8%
Assist %
50.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence125.3 · 112.8Defence109.2 · 111.1Shooting57.6% · 52.0%3-point %38.0% · 33.5%Ball care18.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds44.6% · 33.7%Free throws0.38 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Rytas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Rytas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
21/09/25Nevezis v Rytas64-82
21/05/25Nevezis v Rytas101-105
01/03/25Rytas v Nevezis99-98
14/12/24Rytas v Nevezis89-69
20/10/24Nevezis v Rytas83-93
30/03/24Nevezis v Rytas79-88
10/02/24Rytas v Nevezis113-64
24/09/23Nevezis v Rytas85-97
26/04/23Rytas v Nevezis99-93
21/01/23Rytas v Nevezis98-78 OT
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AJonava105-71
18/11/25ALegia79-77
15/11/25ASiauliai105-100
09/11/25HJonava104-72
05/11/25HHeidelberg116-90
02/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas75-79
25/10/25HSiauliai94-79
22/10/25HPromitheas98-79
18/10/25HNeptunas97-93
15/10/25AHeidelberg83-92
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25AJuventus102-100 OT
23/11/25HJuventus79-96
19/11/25HSiauliai83-78
16/11/25AGargzdai79-86
09/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas68-94
06/11/25HJonava92-74
03/11/25HGargzdai94-87
29/10/25HJuventus88-84
23/10/25AJonava101-88
19/10/25HSiauliai107-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game93.798.590.5
Allowed / game80.579.281.3
Point differential+13.2+19.2+9.2
Avg total174.2177.8171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game82.482.881.8
Allowed / game90.090.789.0
Point differential-7.6-7.8-7.2
Avg total172.4173.5170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%87.874.3+13.4
2 Rytas108280%93.780.5+13.2
3 Neptunas96367%93.187.6+5.6
4 Lietkabelis106460%87.683.0+4.6
5 Juventus104640%83.586.0-2.5
6 Gargzdai104640%84.687.5-2.9
7 Siauliai104640%86.290.7-4.5
8 Nevezis103730%82.490.0-7.6
9 Jonava101910%81.298.6-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas27203027104
Nevezis2315162074
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