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Rytas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:25
Final 98-78 (OT)
22-23 27-19 13-20 19-11 17-5
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game78.0
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis
Lithuania
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Rytas v Nevezis
02 May 2027
RYT v NEV
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
RYT v NEV
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
RYT105
NEV91
06 Dec 2025
RYT104
NEV74
01 Mar 2025
RYT99
NEV98
14 Dec 2024
RYT89
NEV69
10 Feb 2024
RYT113
NEV64
26 Apr 2023
RYT99
NEV93
21 Jan 2023
RYT98
NEV78
10 Oct 2022
RYT88
NEV92
13 Feb 2022
RYT108
NEV73
07 Mar 2020
RYT96
NEV75
04 Jan 2020
RYT90
NEV71
17 Apr 2019
RYT68
NEV70
24 Nov 2018
RYT100
NEV61
02 May 2018
RYT97
NEV77
02 Dec 2017
RYT98
NEV70
28 Jan 2017
RYT86
NEV78
22 Sep 2016
RYT89
NEV70
05 Mar 2016
RYT87
NEV70
17 Oct 2015
RYT116
NEV54
18 Mar 2015
RYT119
NEV76
03 Jan 2015
RYT98
NEV74
01 May 2014
RYT104
NEV46
07 Feb 2014
RYT67
NEV64
31 Mar 2012
RYT84
NEV86
11 Feb 2010
RYT110
NEV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
no box
H10/12
LKL
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
90-101
90
101
-11
79avg 80
H14/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 80
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 80
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
85-62
85
62
+23
89avg 80
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 80
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 80
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
98-77
98
77
+21
102avg 80
H14/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
82-63
82
63
+19
75avg 80
H17/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
24-21
18-29
21-17
18-23
17-30
31-16
24-32
22-21
28-27
17-28
24-15
17-20
28-20
23-17
17-21
31-18
23-26
17-19
15-21
23-16
23-16
19-12
20-18
14-24
15-26
24-16
23-22
23-17
11-29
24-11
20-24
19-26
39-12
19-19
21-20
18-15
23-22
22-13
19-13
173.5Avg total
89.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.078.0148.0-8.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.078.0148.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)89.683.9173.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)83.874.2158.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.0166.7-1.367%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.085.0164.0-6.033%
vs Weaker (24)86.478.7165.1+7.871%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
106-101 OT
106
101
+5
no box
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
93-84
93
84
+9
87avg 71
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 71
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 71
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 71
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 71
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
56avg 71
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 71
H16/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
24-14
30-26
17-28
16-19
27-17
28-20
22-28
14-20
23-30
24-27
24-9
26-20
20-19
23-23
20-19
18-19
16-21
23-18
21-12
23-30
21-15
19-21
16-20
21-25
35-24
18-26
25-17
18-31
26-23
19-17
21-15
16-19
15-13
27-23
13-19
26-20
15-19
25-7
17-19
169.2Avg total
86.7Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.389.1181.4+3.171%
Season at home (4)93.888.8182.5+5.0100%
Season away (3)90.389.7180.0+0.733%
Last 10 (10)86.782.5169.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)83.280.6163.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.386.3162.5-10.018%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.982.0163.9-0.150%
vs Weaker (7)92.085.3177.3+6.786%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
RytasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H10/12
LKL
Bnei Herzliya
#37
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H14/12
Champions League
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H17/12
LKL
Tenerife
#4
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H21/12
Champions League
Nevezis
#8
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A28/12
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H03/01
Champions League
BC Wolves
#3
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H07/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A11/01
Champions League
Prienai
#12
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H14/01
LKL
PAOK
#32
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H17/01
Champions League
87.5Avg total
44.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.382.5+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.338.882.1+4.569%-
Last 30 away (14)43.139.983.0+3.364%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.287.5+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.045.788.7-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.739.079.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (24)43.638.582.1+5.071%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A26/11
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/01
LKL
84.1Avg total
42.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.640.781.3-0.153%-
Last 30 away (13)40.444.584.9-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.184.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.887.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.743.583.3-3.836%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.241.680.8-2.433%-
vs Weaker (7)44.041.985.9+2.186%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.7
34.5%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
74.2%15.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
55.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.4
29.4%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
74.2%17.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWLLWWWWLW
Nevezis
WLLWLWWLWW
#9
League position
#5
+8.7
Net rating
+4.4
113.7
Offensive rating
106.7
105.0
Defensive rating
102.4
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
18.2%
39.1%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.5%
3-point %
29.4%
57.0%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 106.7Defence105.0 · 102.4Shooting54.2% · 50.5%3-point %34.5% · 29.4%Ball care20.6% · 18.2%Off. rebounds39.1% · 29.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Rytas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rytas wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
28/12/22Nevezis v Rytas84-86
07/12/22Nevezis v Rytas78-70
10/10/22Rytas v Nevezis88-92
05/03/22Nevezis v Rytas85-109
13/02/22Rytas v Nevezis108-73
30/10/21Nevezis v Rytas68-100
07/03/20Rytas v Nevezis96-75
04/01/20Rytas v Nevezis90-71
09/11/19Nevezis v Rytas68-65
17/04/19Rytas v Nevezis68-70
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/23HPAOK82-63
14/01/23HPrienai98-77
11/01/23APAOK78-81
07/01/23HBC Wolves76-88
03/01/23HPAOK85-62
28/12/22ANevezis86-84
21/12/22HTenerife85-78
17/12/22HSiauliai107-101 OT
14/12/22HBnei Herzliya90-101
10/12/22HLietkabelis109-104 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes83-65
09/01/23HJuventus71-74
28/12/22HRytas84-86
19/12/22HGargzdai99-92
12/12/22ANeptunas79-86
07/12/22HRytas78-70
04/12/22HPrienai89-81
01/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes85-86
26/11/22APieno Zvaigzdes93-84
23/11/22ASiauliai106-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total148.0-148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game92.393.890.3
Allowed / game89.188.889.7
Point differential+3.1+5.0+0.7
Avg total181.4182.5180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %29%25%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%95.079.0+16.0
2 Lietkabelis110100%85.081.0+4.0
3 Jonava86275%80.676.9+3.8
4 Nevezis75271%92.389.1+3.1
5 Neptunas85362%91.283.5+7.8
6 BC Wolves74357%87.081.7+5.3
7 Juventus84450%93.589.6+3.9
8 Siauliai73443%84.087.6-3.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes61517%82.388.0-5.7
10 Rytas1010%70.078.0-8.0
11 Prienai6060%76.899.3-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rytas222713191798
Nevezis23192011578
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