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Nevezis vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 94-87
21-22 25-26 28-19 20-20
Position#9
Record2-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game89.5
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Nevezis v Gargzdai
04 Apr 2027
NEV v GAR
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
NEV87
GAR76
14 Oct 2026
NEV86
GAR101
26 Apr 2026
NEV85
GAR90
03 Nov 2025
NEV94
GAR87
08 Oct 2025
NEV72
GAR94
04 Dec 2023
NEV92
GAR80
19 Dec 2022
NEV99
GAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
47avg 82
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 82
A25/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
76-100
76
100
-24
65avg 82
A28/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
76avg 82
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 82
H04/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
54avg 82
H08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
66avg 82
A12/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
98avg 82
H19/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
98avg 82
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 82
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
14-27
16-17
13-15
29-20
25-22
15-23
21-19
13-27
13-30
28-21
22-22
19-20
26-26
23-22
24-27
16-22
27-28
13-25
29-17
23-32
16-24
10-17
23-21
23-19
21-19
23-19
15-29
25-18
26-28
27-19
29-28
32-15
29-28
20-21
20-24
16-18
20-24
29-17
23-25
175.5Avg total
85.7Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.089.5173.5-5.533%
Season at home (3)85.389.0174.3-3.733%
Season away (3)82.790.0172.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)85.789.8175.5-4.140%
Last 5 (5)90.089.0179.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)87.792.8180.5-5.130%
vs Similar (12)91.890.8182.6+1.142%
vs Weaker (8)96.589.0185.5+7.550%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
85-93
85
93
-8
71avg 74
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
49avg 74
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
68-72
68
72
-4
60avg 74
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
103-73
103
73
+30
91avg 74
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 74
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
68avg 74
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 74
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 74
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 74
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 74
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
22-18
23-24
19-28
19-29
16-31
21-14
17-25
24-12
18-18
15-22
11-20
32-8
27-21
21-23
23-21
32-23
24-16
17-10
21-23
18-28
18-19
16-29
22-26
24-26
17-30
23-17
19-16
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
167.9Avg total
82.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.288.3171.5-5.233%
Season at home (4)88.082.2170.2+5.850%
Season away (2)73.5100.5174.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)82.885.1167.9-2.330%
Last 5 (5)81.088.4169.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)77.791.4169.1-13.814%
vs Similar (7)86.782.0168.7+4.757%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)93.580.5174.0+13.050%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
NevezisGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/09
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A25/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
26-57
26
57
-31
A28/09
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A12/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
90.4Avg total
43.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.446.191.5-0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.244.688.9-0.457%-
Last 30 away (16)46.547.493.9-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.447.090.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.245.091.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)43.447.991.3-4.540%-
vs Similar (12)45.145.890.8-0.750%-
vs Weaker (8)48.544.492.9+4.162%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/09
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-60
35
60
-25
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
59-29
59
29
+30
H04/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
86.5Avg total
43.7Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.144.586.6-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.486.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.546.787.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.886.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.886.2-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.946.085.9-6.124%-
vs Similar (7)46.342.088.3+4.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)51.038.089.0+13.050%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.9
53.2%
55.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
35.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.816.3
71.5%
74.3%16.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.8
56.0%
55.4%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.3
33.0%
35.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.712.7
61.4%
74.3%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WWWLLLLLWL
Gargzdai
LLWLLWWLLL
#9
League position
#5
-5.7
Net rating
-2.3
111.3
Offensive rating
111.0
117.0
Defensive rating
113.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
59.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.8%
3-point %
33.0%
52.2%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 111.0Defence117.0 · 113.3Shooting51.7% · 53.8%3-point %32.8% · 33.0%Ball care15.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Nevezis   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevezis wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
08/10/25Nevezis v Gargzdai72-94
04/12/23Nevezis v Gargzdai92-80
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25HJuventus88-84
23/10/25AJonava101-88
19/10/25HSiauliai107-93
12/10/25AJonava82-86
08/10/25HGargzdai72-94
04/10/25HNeptunas85-92
01/10/25ASiauliai92-95
28/09/25ALietkabelis76-100
25/09/25AJuventus90-84
21/09/25HRytas64-82
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25HJonava84-88
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
18/10/25HJuventus91-74
15/10/25ASiauliai83-89
11/10/25ANeptunas74-102
08/10/25ANevezis94-72
04/10/25HJonava103-73
01/10/25HJuventus68-72
24/09/25ARytas73-99
21/09/25HSiauliai85-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game84.085.382.7
Allowed / game89.589.090.0
Point differential-5.5-3.7-7.3
Avg total173.5174.3172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game83.288.073.5
Allowed / game88.382.2100.5
Point differential-5.2+5.8-27.0
Avg total171.5170.2174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas76186%87.974.9+13.0
2 Rytas75271%89.080.3+8.7
3 Lietkabelis74357%87.783.4+4.3
4 Neptunas74357%93.789.4+4.3
5 Siauliai84450%84.988.5-3.6
6 Juventus73443%82.485.6-3.1
7 Gargzdai62433%83.288.3-5.2
8 Nevezis62433%84.089.5-5.5
9 Jonava71614%83.497.3-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2125282094
Gargzdai2226192087
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