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Gargzdai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 86-79
24-11 12-24 26-23 24-21
Position#5
Record2-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Nevezis
08 May 2027
GAR v NEV
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
GAR88
NEV81
10 Dec 2025
GAR90
NEV74
16 Nov 2025
GAR86
NEV79
16 Oct 2023
GAR97
NEV84
02 Apr 2023
GAR73
NEV87
29 Oct 2022
GAR71
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
94avg 75
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
68avg 75
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 75
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
88avg 75
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 75
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 75
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 75
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
104avg 75
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 75
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 75
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
24-16
17-10
21-23
18-28
18-19
16-29
22-26
24-26
17-30
23-17
19-16
29-14
20-20
21-24
21-16
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
22-21
26-25
19-28
20-20
25-19
25-27
24-26
28-19
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
171.9Avg total
84.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.289.1172.4-5.925%
Season at home (5)86.483.6170.0+2.840%
Season away (3)78.098.3176.3-20.30%
Last 10 (10)84.187.8171.9-3.730%
Last 5 (5)85.290.4175.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.392.5170.7-14.211%
vs Similar (8)85.982.8168.6+3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)91.385.0176.3+6.333%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
76avg 82
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 82
H04/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
72-94
72
94
-22
54avg 82
H08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
66avg 82
A12/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
107-93
107
93
+14
98avg 82
H19/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
98avg 82
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 82
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 82
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 82
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
52avg 82
H09/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-26
23-22
24-27
16-22
27-28
13-25
29-17
23-32
16-24
10-17
23-21
23-19
21-19
23-19
15-29
25-18
26-28
27-19
29-28
32-15
29-28
20-21
20-24
16-18
20-24
29-17
23-25
21-22
25-26
28-19
20-20
26-11
28-16
16-29
22-18
19-21
12-24
25-25
12-24
176.8Avg total
88.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.289.8173.0-6.538%
Season at home (5)83.689.6173.2-6.040%
Season away (3)82.790.0172.7-7.333%
Last 10 (10)88.188.7176.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)88.685.4174.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)85.591.8177.4-6.336%
vs Similar (11)90.291.1181.3-0.936%
vs Weaker (8)94.686.5181.1+8.150%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
GargzdaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#5
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A11/10
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
87.7Avg total
42.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.486.7-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.341.785.0+1.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.247.188.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.887.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.488.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.445.986.3-5.632%-
vs Similar (8)43.842.286.0+1.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)50.040.790.7+9.367%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A01/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#3
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H04/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#9
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H08/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A12/10
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H09/11
LKL
89.1Avg total
45.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.145.389.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.143.887.9+0.353%-
Last 30 away (13)44.147.391.4-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)45.044.189.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.086.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.147.288.3-6.127%-
vs Similar (11)44.146.390.4-2.245%-
vs Weaker (8)48.241.589.8+6.862%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
55.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
35.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.814.7
67.4%
74.3%14.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.3
54.4%
55.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
35.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.616.9
71.6%
74.3%16.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLWLLLWLLW
Nevezis
LWWWWWLLLL
#5
League position
#9
-4.7
Net rating
-0.3
112.8
Offensive rating
112.9
117.5
Defensive rating
113.1
55.0%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.7%
3-point %
33.2%
62.7%
Assist %
50.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 112.9Defence117.5 · 113.1Shooting55.0% · 52.8%3-point %37.7% · 33.2%Ball care16.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds28.9% · 33.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gargzdai wins
5
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
03/11/25Nevezis v Gargzdai94-87
08/10/25Nevezis v Gargzdai72-94
04/12/23Nevezis v Gargzdai92-80
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
05/11/25HSiauliai102-91
03/11/25ANevezis87-94
30/10/25HJonava84-88
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
18/10/25HJuventus91-74
15/10/25ASiauliai83-89
11/10/25ANeptunas74-102
08/10/25ANevezis94-72
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas68-94
06/11/25HJonava92-74
03/11/25HGargzdai94-87
29/10/25HJuventus88-84
23/10/25AJonava101-88
19/10/25HSiauliai107-93
12/10/25AJonava82-86
08/10/25HGargzdai72-94
04/10/25HNeptunas85-92
01/10/25ASiauliai92-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game83.286.478.0
Allowed / game89.183.698.3
Point differential-5.9+2.8-20.3
Avg total172.4170.0176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game83.283.682.7
Allowed / game89.889.690.0
Point differential-6.5-6.0-7.3
Avg total173.0173.2172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas87188%88.674.0+14.6
2 Rytas97278%92.481.6+10.9
3 Neptunas96367%93.187.6+5.6
4 Lietkabelis85362%87.983.0+4.9
5 Siauliai94544%86.690.3-3.8
6 Nevezis83538%83.289.8-6.5
7 Juventus93633%82.186.8-4.7
8 Gargzdai82625%83.289.1-5.9
9 Jonava81712%82.098.1-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2412262486
Nevezis1124232179
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