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Rytas vs Nevezis Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 13:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.6/10
Below normal
5.3/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record1-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaLKL· Active Vilnius Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Rytas v Nevezis
02 May 2027
RYT v NEV
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
RYT v NEV
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
RYT105
NEV91
06 Dec 2025
RYT104
NEV74
01 Mar 2025
RYT99
NEV98
14 Dec 2024
RYT89
NEV69
10 Feb 2024
RYT113
NEV64
26 Apr 2023
RYT99
NEV93
21 Jan 2023
RYT98
NEV78
10 Oct 2022
RYT88
NEV92
13 Feb 2022
RYT108
NEV73
07 Mar 2020
RYT96
NEV75
04 Jan 2020
RYT90
NEV71
17 Apr 2019
RYT68
NEV70
24 Nov 2018
RYT100
NEV61
02 May 2018
RYT97
NEV77
02 Dec 2017
RYT98
NEV70
28 Jan 2017
RYT86
NEV78
22 Sep 2016
RYT89
NEV70
05 Mar 2016
RYT87
NEV70
17 Oct 2015
RYT116
NEV54
18 Mar 2015
RYT119
NEV76
03 Jan 2015
RYT98
NEV74
01 May 2014
RYT104
NEV46
07 Feb 2014
RYT67
NEV64
31 Mar 2012
RYT84
NEV86
11 Feb 2010
RYT110
NEV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#24
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 86
H06/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 86
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#31
L
65-93
65
93
-28
57avg 86
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
97avg 86
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 86
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
94-76
94
76
+18
94avg 86
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
97-81
97
81
+16
93avg 86
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-18
22-19
21-16
18-22
22-18
27-21
19-16
17-21
13-14
15-31
20-27
21-27
27-15
28-24
19-22
21-24
12-17
24-16
22-14
30-25
21-17
20-10
23-24
25-22
21-7
26-28
25-24
21-25
28-17
20-28
20-24
27-22
22-22
12-22
30-21
21-20
25-22
14-23
21-20
168.4Avg total
85.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.685.4175.0+4.262%
Season at home (3)92.392.0184.3+0.333%
Season away (5)88.081.4169.4+6.680%
Last 10 (10)85.982.5168.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)90.484.6175.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.787.3162.0-12.70%
vs Similar (7)92.083.1175.1+8.986%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.784.8176.4+6.970%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 69
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
52avg 69
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 69
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 69
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 69
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 69
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 69
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 69
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
14-24
22-17
17-25
10-34
12-21
19-14
21-20
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
160.7Avg total
78.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.982.5156.4-8.612%
Season at home (4)77.878.0155.8-0.225%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)78.182.6160.7-4.520%
Last 5 (5)80.876.2157.0+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.292.1172.3-11.917%
vs Similar (4)80.085.5165.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (2)84.575.0159.5+9.550%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
RytasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/10
Champions League
Neptunas
#4
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H10/10
LKL
Nanterre
#31
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A13/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A17/10
LKL
Taurage
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A21/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A25/10
LKL
Trabzonspor
#26
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/10
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A05/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
43.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.686.2+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.139.784.8+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)44.143.587.6+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)43.139.582.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.888.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
vs Similar (7)40.639.980.4+0.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.942.589.4+4.470%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A27/09
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
83.6Avg total
38.8Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.546.185.5-6.627%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.745.584.2-6.831%-
Last 30 away (17)40.146.586.5-6.424%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.883.6-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.685.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.046.485.3-7.429%-
vs Similar (4)41.243.885.0-2.50%-
vs Weaker (2)42.047.089.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.6
58.7%
55.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.3
33.9%
35.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws27.618.8
68.1%
70.8%18.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
LWLWWWWLWW
Nevezis
LWLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#10
+2.5
Net rating
-10.2
99.7
Offensive rating
88.9
97.2
Defensive rating
99.1
55.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
29.3%
61.9%
Assist %
59.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 88.9Defence97.2 · 99.1Shooting55.3% · 48.3%3-point %33.9% · 29.3%Ball care15.0% · 14.8%Free throws0.44 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Rytas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Rytas wins
0
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
13/05/26Nevezis v Rytas88-117
04/04/26Rytas v Nevezis105-91
06/12/25Rytas v Nevezis104-74
21/09/25Nevezis v Rytas64-82
21/05/25Nevezis v Rytas101-105
01/03/25Rytas v Nevezis99-98
14/12/24Rytas v Nevezis89-69
20/10/24Nevezis v Rytas83-93
30/03/24Nevezis v Rytas79-88
10/02/24Rytas v Nevezis113-64
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALietkabelis81-85
05/11/26AJonava91-87
02/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas89-94
28/10/26HTrabzonspor97-81
25/10/26AJuventus94-76
21/10/26ATaurage79-71
17/10/26ASiauliai95-88
13/10/26ANanterre65-93
10/10/26HNeptunas86-77
06/10/26HSabah Baku82-73
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
03/10/26ANeptunas62-89
27/09/26AJuventus77-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%33%80%
Points / game89.692.388.0
Allowed / game85.492.081.4
Point differential+4.2+0.3+6.6
Avg total175.0184.3169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.977.870.0
Allowed / game82.578.087.0
Point differential-8.6-0.2-17.0
Avg total156.4155.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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